But thanks to a tangle of factors—perpetual secrecy in trusts and shell companies, anti-money laundering loopholes for real estate and private equity, perpetually under-resourced law enforcement—we have no idea where they are.
There’s this notion that all of these oligarchic assets can be seized at the drop of the hat. They can—if we know about them.
But the world of offshoring—with the US at the center—has created such webs of intractable anonymity that unwinding single networks can take *years*.
Which is why I hope—much as I can—that this Russian invasion is an inflection point for the West’s propping up of the global offshore system.
And it might be. We’ve seen early signs (Biden admin leadership, UK economic crime bill, etc). But far too early to tell.
Because it’s not just “Londongrad” that needs to be cleaned. It’s Malta. It’s the Isle of Man. It’s South Dakota and Delaware and Wyoming. It’s Canada and Germany and Australia.
It’s all these jurisdictions that still provide these laundering tools, to whomever wants one.
And it’s the law firms that make this all possible. More than the real estate industry. More than the art market. More than private equity industry.
Tackling the legal industry’s role is key. Because they are all too often at the center of these offshoring webs.
Which is why sanctions are, yes, years overdue. But they are far less effective than otherwise if we don’t end anonymity in these sectors.
And if we don’t end the ability for American, British, and other Western lawyers to be foot-soldiers for despots.
Want to learn how we got here? I wrote a whole book about the US’s transformation into this global offshoring behemoth:
Want to actually *do* something? Contact your legislator. Pressure your industry trade lobby. Talk about this with colleagues.
Because this—Putin, and the potential destruction of Ukraine—is the end result of offshoring. It’s a billionaire nationalist, convinced the West won’t do anything because we’re too busy cycling his and his pals’ money, and taking a cut along the way.
Prove him wrong.
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Scenes from the pro-Ukrainian protest in London right now, outside Whitehall—many of the signs highlighting the UK’s role in protecting dirty Russian money:
One sign listing all of the key Russian oligarchs the UK is yet to sanction: Deripaska, Usmanov, Abramovich, and more.
“Support Ukraine: target Russia’s oligarchs. Seize their UK-based assets today!”
Putin's invasion is such a glaringly obvious strategic blunder, built on top of an entire range of delusions about Ukraine, about the realities of regime change, about what this will mean for Russia following initial invasion.
Putin was obviously a nationalistic conspiracy theorist before the last few months. (Remember when he spouted that the US wanted to steal Siberia? Or that the Panama Papers were actually an attempt to destabilize Russia?)
But this is all qualitatively different. This is insane.
This honestly seems like the best explanation at the moment for Putin’s historic blunder—and one that jibes with his collapse into madman territory.
It’s the march of a personalist dictator, couple with Covid isolation spinning him into unreality.
In addition to unleashing the full barrage of sanctions and seizing oligarchic assets, now begin:
—Fast-tracking organization (and potential membership) between NATO and Sweden/Finland
—Fast-track pro-transparency regulations in real estate, private investments, and art market
—Fast-tracking new anti-money laundering regulations on lawyers and law firms
—Fast-tracking legislation barring former officials from working for autocracies
—Significant increase in law enforcement asset tracing and seizure programs
This chart is from my book, illustrating how Russian (and other) oligarchs launder their wealth in the West.
Clamp down on every one of these industries, across the board. Force transparency. End anonymity. And consider sanctioning those Westerners who refuse to comply.
It’s time to see Putin’s Russia for what it’s long been: a European empire that never fully decolonized—and dedicated to revanchism, no matter the cost.
Putin’s monomania about controlling Ukraine stems mainly from pure, unadulterated neo-imperialism—and a desire to reclaim territories the dictator believes belong to Moscow.
Watching this return to outright empire is jarring. (European imperial colonization was supposed to be behind us!)
But there was always one European empire that never fully decolonized—never even came close to it: Russia.
Finally reading through Hirsch’s “Empire of Nations,” on the creation of Soviet republics, and one thing is clear: the Bolsheviks had absolutely no idea what they were doing, and looked for any excuse to simply continue as much of tsarist-era colonization as possible.
Pre-1917, the Bolsheviks were talking all about the exploitative nature of colonization.
And then they came to power—and realized how maintaining Moscow’s setter-colonial empire would be to their benefit.
“Between 1919 and 1921, the Bolsheviks used military force, intrigue, and diplomatic measures to… exert control over the newly independent states of the former Russian empire…. In many regions, though, the Bolsheviks had no indigenous support whatsoever.”