Thanks to all the people on Twitter, as well as those who are working with Bellingcat directly, for volunteering their time this weekend to help gathered and share reliable information about the conflict in Ukraine. May our children and partners forgive us in time.
Personally I've been astonished by how quickly a community has come together to collect and process this information, and I think it's really having a genuine impact on how the world has seen the build up to the conflict and how it's unfolding each day.
I had expected the Ukraine community that's been following the conflict since 2014 to play a big part in understanding what's happening, but I've also seen a lot of new names getting involved, so kudos to those of you who have gotten involved.
We're also in a better place to collect, verify, and archive material. We're collaborating with @CITeam_en@Cen4infoRes and @mnemonicorg to ensure as much archived material from the conflict is available for future use in accountability efforts.
This was an ad hoc collaboration that formed in the build recent Russian military build up, and it's a credit to all the organisations involved they were able to come together so rapidly to perform such a important task.
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We're seeing a lot of images of cluster munitions being used in Ukraine, so there's a few things I want to highlight to assist with reporting of the incidents. There's two types of rockets, fired by BM-27 and BM-30 multiple rocket launchers.
These things are big, this is a reconstruction of one from when they first started being used in Syria, and the diagram on the right gives you a sense of the position of the cluster munitions at the front of the rocket, and the rocket motor behind them.
Generally when these munitions deploy their submunitions in the air the rocket motor and cluster munition section separate, and land in the ground, just like in this video from Ukraine, showing the cluster section impacting the ground.
The actual difference now is unlike 10 years ago, when the Arab Spring was being documented through social media, journalists are more open to using social media because the open source community has become more established and trusted, and verifies social media rapidly.
The current conflict in Ukraine is so well documented because of the widespread use of social media, the pre-established open source investigation community who followed events in Ukraine from 2014 onwards, and there's more journalists seeking out that kind of information.
Back in 2011 open source investigation seemed like a magic trick performed by a bunch of outsiders. It's taken a decade to get to the point where it's seen as a reliable field of expertise, not just one weird trick to document conflict.
Thanks to everyone who shared cluster munitions images with us from Ukraine, we've been examining where they've been used and there's clear examples of them falling in densely populated civilian areas bellingcat.com/news/2022/02/2…
In one of the most concerning examples we found the remains of a cluster munition close to a kindergarten in Okhtyrka that had multiple cluster munition like impacts on the building.
The remains of the cluster munition was found 200m to the east of the kindergarten with a trajectory that indicates it could have released its cluster submunitions over the kindergarten.
These remains of rocket motors from BM-30 multiple rocket launcher rockets have been documented in various civilian areas, and considering these are usually associated with cluster munition use it raises concerns of cluster munitions being used by Russia in civilian areas.
What would be particularly significant is the documentation of the part of the rocket that holds the cluster munitions, as seen below. armamentresearch.com/9m27k-series-c…
We'd also be looking for unexploded submunitions. It should be stressed that these should not be moved or touched if encountered, as they can still explode. cat-uxo.com/explosive-haza…
We'll endeavour to ensure any open source evidence is collected, archived, and made accessible to any accountability body that needs it, including the ICC. If you want to support that work you can donate here bellingcat.com/donate
We've developed a process for archiving and investigation specifically focused on accountability and meeting legal standards for use by bodies just like the ICC, first developing it with our Yemen project yemen.bellingcat.com
Doing these detailed investigations is a time-consuming process, so we've been working on fundraising to hire full time researchers to work on those investigations, and ensure material is correctly archived with the help of partners like @mnemonicorg
We've confirmed @john_marquee's geolocation (47.2739, 38.3309) which places this video inside separatist territory right on the border with Russia. This appears to be yet another fabricated videos for another false flag. Seeing a pattern yet?
I believe this footage became available about an hour ago, and we've already debunked it in less time than it took to make it.
It also looks like building supposedly destroyed by Ukrainian saboteurs was geolocated very close to where that fake video was filmed. I suspect that's not a coincidence.