Starting momentarily is a House space subcommittee hearing on NASA’s Artemis program. Webcast, in all its 480p glory:
Subcommittee chair Rep. Beyer (D-Va.): Artemis is facing serious challenges: delays, cost growth and a “confusing mishmash” of contract types.
Subcommittee ranking member Rep. Babin (R-Texas): we have the correct goal and the right path, but waiting on the right plan.
Science committee ranking member Rep. Lucas (R-Okla.): NASA needs to give us an updated plan, schedule and realistic budget. Artemis must be NASA’s highest priority.
GAO’s William Russell: schedule for Artemis 3 (no earlier than 2025) remains challenging, including schedule risk for HLS because of 7-month delay starting program.
Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel chair Patricia Sanders reiterates the panel’s past recommendations, including a single manager for Artemis (something Lucas also called for in his remarks.)
NASA inspector general Paul Martin: we estimate first four Artemis missions to cost $4.1B each, which strikes us as unsustainable. Expect crewed lunar landing to slip to at least 2026.
Beyer: why don’t we have a clear strategy at NASA for Artemis?
Daniel Dumbacher, AIAA: need a clear story and understanding; understand the agency is working on that.
Jim Free, NASA: The strategy is putting people on Mars: two people on Mars for 30 days and back safely. Everything we do should be driven by that.
Martin: we saw poor contractor performance by Boeing on SLS. The cost-plus contracts for SLS/Orion worked to the contractors’ advantage, not NASA.
Rep. Norcross (D-N.J.): what bout covid impacts on workforce and supply chain?
Free: did well keeping workforce connected. From a supply chain perspective, still TBD; dealing with issues with tanks and valves.
Lucas polls the panel on when the Artemis 3 landing will take place:
Free: 2025
Martin: NET 2026
Russell: 2025 “is not impossible but seems improbable”
Sanders: 2025 “is a stretch goal”
Dumbacher: 2025-27 is realistic
Achievement unlocked: Rep. Perlmutter (D-Colo.) shows off his Mars 2033 bumper sticker. One of the last times he’ll be able to do it since he’s not running for reelection.
Martin: did some work looking at potential Mars missions, but no reliable estimates on what a Mars mission would cost.
Free announces that Romania signed the Artemis Accords as of 10:30 am Eastern today.
Martin: should be an Artemis-wide life cycle cost estimate. It’s not clear why NASA has failed to agree to such an estimate.
Martin: we support use of fixed-price contracts, so long as they’re used with a more firm design to avoid costs of modifications down the road.
End of the hearing. Mostly a reiteration of earlier concerns from GAO, ASAP, and NASA OIG about the progress on Artemis.
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NASA Admin. Bill Nelson at start of the NAC meeting: despite the challenges here on Earth, committed to the 7 astronauts and cosmonauts on ISS. Continuing working relationship with international partners.
Nelson is giving us the highlights of the last year for the committee: Perseverance/Ingenuity, DART, Lucy and JWST.
Nelson promises three NAC meetings this year. The last NAC meeting before this was in late 2019, when Nelson himself was one of the council’s newest members.
Beck says Rocket Lab, with MDA, beat out many other major companies in a “highly competitive” bid process for the Globalstar satellite contract announced last week. Notes these are not cubesats but “large, complex” satellites weighing 500 kg.
Rocket Lab projects $42-47M in revenue, including from two launches (one of which just took place). Adjusted EBITDA loss of $3-5M.
Analyst asks if Neutron development can be accelerated if Soyuz is no longer available on the market because of sanctions. Beck: we’re working on Neutron as fast as we can.
NASA’s Kathy Lueders says at the briefing for Ax-1 that ISS operations are normal for now, but continuing to monitor the situation. That includes having Mark Vande Hei come back on a Soyuz in a month.
SpaceX’s Benji Reed says there’s margin in the schedules of both Ax-1 (launching March 30) and Crew-4 (mid-April), so even if Ax-1 were to slip a few days it shouldn’t be a problem. Ax-1 will fly the Crew Dragon Endeavour, while Crew-4 will use a new Crew Dragon.
Lueders reiterates that ISS operations remain normal, just like three weeks ago. Would be a “sad day” if could not peacefully cooperate in space.
Virgin Galactic CEO Michael Colglazier says the company expects VSS Unity to begin commercial flights in the 4th quarter, flying monthly. VSS Imagine will begin testing in the fall and revenue flights in 1Q/23, initially with research payloads. It will fly twice a month.
Colglazier says the company plans to have 1,000 customers (“future astronauts”) signed up when commercial flights begin late this year. About 250 seats remaining. Once full, VG will build a “highly qualified reservation pipeline.”
Colglazier: will work with “tier one” suppliers to provide major subassemblies for future Delta-class spaceships and new mothership. Plan to have new final assembly facility operational by late 2023, capable of producing six spaceships a year.