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Mar 2 31 tweets 9 min read
With the Manchester United job up for grabs, there's only one direction the club should look in, & that's towards sunny Amsterdam!

Erik ten Hag is an *ELITE* coach who's 4-3-3 showcases elements of Guardiola's on-ball style & Klopp's off-ball style. Scary good.

COLLOSAL-THREAD.
ten Hag's Ajax set up in a 4-3-3 with the two #8's between the lines in the half spaces & the fullbacks pushed on high & wide with the wingers stretching the play on either flank. However, they're not rigid. It is a fluid system BUT rigidity of positioning is key.

Let me explain
ten Hag's team are rigid in the sense that the occupation of each lane on the pitch between the lines is constantly covered. The players can interchange at will within those zones, but each zone must be occupied. There are many examples we can use to demonstrate this.
Here, Gravenberch drops into the half space allowing the fullback to push onto the flank with Tadic coming inside to combine, much like Pep does with Cancelo, Gundogan & Sterling or Arteta does with Tierney, Xhaka & Martinelli. It's all about maintaining good angles to combine in
Here, Blind (the left back) finds himself in the left half space between the lines and Mazraoui (the right back) drops deep to create an angle to play out on the right-hand side. However, Blind does this to increase the quality of the passing lane to the wide player (Tadic).
This type of movement from Blind epitomises this Ajax team - a run into space to A) create a passing angle to the isolated wide player but also B) to maintain the occupation of the zones across the pitch.

It's elite coaching.
This type of fluidity but rigidity of positioning is fantastic because it means the structure in which the team play in is always present. The players understand the importance of maintaining team shape, thus suggesting that ten Hag is a fantastic coach. The structure is superb.
Both fullbacks regularly find themselves in central areas which A) creates a free passing lane for the wide players to receive in isolation before combining or using the 1v1 they have but also B) maintains compactness in defensive transition when play breaks down. Look at them!
Much like Arteta at Arsenal, Pep at City, or Xavi at Barca, the left-hand side of the pitch is primarily used for combinations whereas the right is used for isolation and 1v1 situations. Blind often inverts, but not as often as Mazraoui.

Look at the angle he creates for Antony.
This is a situation we see Saka, Mahrez and Adama receive at constantly for their respective clubs, and it's no different at ten Hag's Ajax thanks to the usage of the inverted fullback and emphasis he puts on positional play.

It's the perfect position for a 1v1 specialist.
Alternatively, Antony can combine with the player in the right half space between the lines or the right back who has license to overlap or underlap where possible. Then, within those situations, the #8's, CF and far side wide player attacks the box to offer a goal threat.
This type of attacking structure is absolutely fantastic, particularly when considering that Mazraoui inverts or the conservative Blind stays back to keep the unit compact if the attack breaks down. The structure enables sustainment of attacks, penetration & top chance creation.
However, although what I have just described is incredibly similar to Arteta, Xavi, & Pep's 4-3-3, where ten Hag's philosophy differs is in relation to fluidity. Mazraoui has more offensive license than a Walker or a Tomiyasu does at their respective clubs.
Ajax's build-up is very much so a 2-1 with high and wide fullbacks whereas Tomiyasu and Walker are often slightly deeper and each teams build-up can resemble a 3-1 shape as opposed to a 2-1. In settled attacks, Mazraoui is regularly as high up the pitch as Antony.
However, as I implied, this isn't a big issue because of Ajax's fluidity. They still build with a 3 at the back on occasion when Blind/Mazraoui drop deep to create extra passing angles, and the far side fullback drops to keep sufficient players behind the ball in d. transition.
The key to success of any team that attempts to dominate the game with the ball is compactness as soon as possession is lost i.e. the ball can be regained as quickly as possible and attacks can be sustained.

Ajax take risks with their fluidity, but largely remain compact.
However, what is key to note is that the teams that Ajax play against are regularly incapable of exploiting them in defensive transition. This is because of A) a lack of quality and B) Ajax primarily have sufficient players behind the ball to prevent counter attacks.
So, ten Hag's team have a big advantage in that regard, but let's not act like their only dominant because of their superior quality. Ajax have only conceded 7 league goals in 24 games whilst scoring 71 themselves. They also walked a tricky CL group with ease - that's coaching.
So, it's absolutely clear that ten Hag is a special coach in possession. His teams are compact so can sustain attacks, constantly occupy each zone on the pitch so attack amazingly well thanks to their rotations, and are balanced in terms of "to feet" players and direct runners.
However, what makes or breaks coaches at the *highest* level is the off-ball game. Ajax are expected to be good in possession because they dominate the ball in virtually every domestic game due to the sheer disparity in quality in their league. buttt.. they're elite off the ball.
As explained, ten Hag's men are compact in defensive transition thanks to the inversion of their fullbacks. However, settled defensive play is where the very best teams get tested - every PL team is good enough to keep the ball for periods, so you've gotta be compact as hell.
In settled defensive play, Ajax press in a Liverpool-esque narrow 4-3-3. The two wide players invert, the midfielders match-up man-for man in midfield, and the fullbacks push on to support the press. They attempt to collapse the play on the ball side flank.
The 4-3-3 is such a hard pressing system to implement because it requires a lot of moving pieces to be in sync. Where teams fall down is by A) defending in a 4-5-1 & failing to pressure the CB's sufficiently or B) defending in a narrow 4-3-3 with no support from the fullbacks.
The optimal solution is the narrow 4-3-3 with aggressive fullbacks because each area can be pressurised, and that's how Ajax defend.

Below, Antony and Tadic are narrow and as Benfica use the fullback, Mazraoui pushes on and condenses the play with Timber covering the winger.
That requires special, special, coaching. ten Hag's Ajax play like Pep Guardiola's Man City on the ball and Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool off the ball, and that's not an exaggeration. The style and execution is very, very similar (with slight tweaks) in each facet of play.

Wow good.
Alright, so, with all that in mind, how does ten Hag fit in with Manchester United Football Club? Well, tactically and coaching wise, he's elite, that much is very clear, but management is more than that, and particularly at such a big club.
How will he deal with pressure from the big personalities in the club? How will he deal with scrutiny from the media and the fans? Is he mentally strong enough to deal with difficult times? How good is he in the transfer market and with more money than he's ever had?
Listen, ten Hag ticks all of the tactical and coaching boxes, but the psychological factors within the role combined with transfer market dealings means there's a lot of question marks surrounding the fit, but they're questions the Dutchman has earned the right to answer.
Tactically, at Manchester United, ten Hag has also implemented a superbly balanced 4-2-3-1 at Ajax, so that could be a short-term solution for the club whilst he signs players that are suited to his ideal 4-3-3 system. The likes of Fred & McTominay are more suited to a d. pivot.
However, again, that alone opens up a whole new line of questioning. How does he rebuild a team with big personalities? How does he manage players like Bruno Fernandes and Cristiano Ronaldo if they aren't adhering to his system?

Time will tell and reveal all!
All in all, despite the question marks surrounding the appointment, Manchester United would be crazy to appoint anyone other than Erik ten Hag. He's elite tactically and a proven winner. The only question marks are questions he deserves a chance to answer!

Thanks for your time.

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More from @EBL2017

Mar 3
Watching Dušan Tadić makes me think a lot about Bruno Fernandes. Tadić is elite at every facet of #10 play, but he *CRUCIALLY* stays in position. He lets the rest of the team build play before finding him in the final third whereas Bruno Fernandes roams wherever he wants.
The output is sensational from both, but I know who's a better player, and it's not Bruno Fernandes. However, what I would say is Bruno's current role lacks direction. Rangnick isn't a strict positional play coach and Bruno was superb under Ole. I'd love to see him under ten Hag.
If he doesn't stay high positionally, he will have big problems, and ten Hag might even move him on should he gets the job, and rightly so. Contributing to build-up on occasion is okay because football is a fluid game, but the system is the be all and end all for elite coaches.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 3
The biggest risk ten Hag's Ajax take is with line-breaking passes from CB's or the pivot player in situations like this. If the pass isn't successful, there's only 1 player in midfield and at least 2 are needed to maintain compactness. It's why elite on-ball qualities are needed. Image
He puts such an emphasis on technical quality at CB that his starting duo are Lisandro Martinez (5'7) and Jurrien Timber (5'8). Daley Blind has also played there a lot too who's only 5'9. If ten Hag does get the United job, the club will have to target elite ball playing CB's.
Obviously common sense would prevail in the Premier League and ten Hag wouldn't opt for such small centre backs, but the point stands. His system requires elite technical levels at centre back and in the pivot, much like Arsenal, City's, and Barca's system require.
Read 10 tweets
Mar 1
These managers give their team the best possible chance of winning every week, they have a translatable style, are elite in the market and tactically, understand balance.. whatever.

Arteta has shown mental resilience, the ability to rebuild, and deal with pressure, so him.
However, the comparison is nonsensical because Xavi hasn't even had the opportunity to do that in his career. Arteta at Arsenal is like Pep at Arsenal except reality. They're on a similar level quality-wise, but Arteta is undergoing a challenge harder than Pep has ever had.
So, what I'm saying is, based on the evidence at hand, the likelihood is Pep would also rebuild Arsenal in a similarly successful manner, and so would Xavi (although they are far more unknowns surrounding him - defensive block, settled press, dealing with pressure, etc).
Read 4 tweets
Feb 27
Barca's upturn in form is no coincidence. They're very close to being an elite team already. In fact, with their best XI, they already are - top 5 in the world. They have an elite structure, balance in terms of natural runners in behind vs technical quality, and 1v1 threats.
Xavi has achieved this with one transfer window - just ONE, and the players he's signed aren't even ideal in terms of quality (Adama). They're just perfect profiles for HIS elite system which provide balanced to an already elite technical team in the first and second phase.
Barca fans created nonsensical problems over the last few years centering around how legends of their club aren't good enough anymore (J. Alba, Busquets, Pique, etc). It was disrespectful and in fact clueless. These guys are still *TOP* class. They just needed balance (runners).
Read 4 tweets
Feb 25
Liverpool-Chelsea is a phenomenal match-up of two elite heavyweight titans. There is little to separate the teams each time they play, and I expect the same to be the case in Sunday's final at Wembley. Below, in this in-depth thread, I discuss the match-up in detail.

THREAD!
On paper, Liverpool's press matches up perfectly with Chelsea's 3-4-3. As such, when pressing high, Liverpool can get success, control, and create within these moments. However, Chelsea's technical quality is elite and their players are in close proximity positionally for passes.
As such, there will be mixed moments here. Liverpool can create via pressing, and Chelsea can create via playing through Liverpool's pressing and directly exploiting them in transition or in settled play against their high line like the last fixture between the two sides.
Read 19 tweets
Feb 24
It's much easier for a manager who's entering a new club in the middle of a rebuild to enter into a squad without finished stars and players like that (i.e. Arteta with Özil). Klopp's transition to Liverpool was seamless because he had no personalities to contend with.
United's new manager is heading down a similar path. It'll be beneficial for whoever comes in if Pogba leaves because he's the epitome of a big personality who's not good enough. Similar can be said for Ronaldo at this stage in his career. The lower the profiles the better.
Klopp had a clean slate at Liverpool. He was the leader of the pack with no personality issues to contend with. Arteta inherited Arsenal with personality issues so has had to deal with extra noise making his rebuild even harder in terms of building a harmonious squad.
Read 5 tweets

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