1/ “On Feb. 23, Razil Malikov, a tank driver in the Russian Army, called his family and said he would be home soon; his unit’s military drills in Crimea were just about wrapping up.” nytimes.com/2022/03/02/wor…
2/ “The next morning, Russia invaded Ukraine, and Mr. Malikov hasn’t been heard from since.
3/ “The reality of war is dawning across Russia.”
4/ “Russians who long avoided engaging with politics are now realizing that their country is fighting a deadly conflict, even as the Kremlin gets ever more aggressive in trying to shape the narrative.”
5/ “Its slow-motion crackdown on freedoms has become a whirlwind of repression of late, as the last vestiges of a free press faced extinction.”
6/ “This week, lawmakers proposed a 15-year prison sentence for people who post “fakes” about the war, and rumors are swirling about soon-to-be-closed borders or martial law.”
7/ “Seizing on the worries of Russian families, Ukraine has pushed to publicize the fact that many young Russian soldiers were dying or being taken prisoner — a reality that the Russian military did not acknowledge until Sunday”
8/ “Ukrainian government agencies and volunteers have published videos of disoriented Russian prisoners of war saying they had no idea they were about to be part of an invasion until just before it began. . .”
9/ “. . . and photographs and footage showed the bodies of Russian soldiers strewn on streets and fields.”
10/ “The videos are reaching some Russians directly. Yevgeniya A. Ivanova, for instance, identified a friend of hers, Viktor A. Golubev, who appeared in one of the videos.”
11/ “In it, Mr. Golubev said he “feels guilty for his wrong actions” on Ukrainian soil and calls on President Vladimir V. Putin “to find a compromise to avoid war.”
12/ “To some Russians, the toll in human lives is reason enough to oppose the war, and OVD-Info, an activist group that tallies arrests, has counted at least 7,359 Russians detained during seven days of protests in scores of cities across the country.”
13/ “Aleksei A. Navalny, the opposition leader, wrote in a social media post from prison on Wednesday, calling on Russians to continue to rally despite the withering police crackdown. “Let’s not ‘be against war.’ Let’s fight against war.”
14/ “Members of the Russian elite also continued to speak out. Lyudmila Narusova, a member of Russia’s . . . Parliament [said] that dead Russian soldiers in Ukraine lay “unburied; wild, stray dogs gnawing on bodies that in some cases cannot be identified because they are burned.”
15/ “The Russian International Affairs Council, a government-funded think tank, published an article by a prominent expert describing the war as a strategic debacle.”
16/ “But the discontent showed no sign of affecting Mr. Putin’s campaign, as Russia’s assault on Ukraine widened, with heavy fighting reported for the port city of Mariupol on the Sea of Azov.”
17/ “The government signaled it would only intensify its crackdown against the war’s critics — including those who called it a “war” rather than, in the Kremlin’s anodyne term, a “special military operation.”
18/ “Individuals who carry out falsification must be punished in the most severe way,” said Vasily Piskaryov, a senior lawmaker in Mr. Putin’s party.”
19/ “His proposed punishment: 15 years in prison.”
20/ “Some feared that Mr. Putin could go even further, repressing dissent to an extent unseen in Russia since Soviet times.”

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More from @rogertansey

Mar 3
“The chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court opened an investigation on Wednesday into allegations of war crimes, crimes against humanity or genocide committed in Ukraine since 2013 and during Russia’s current invasion of the country.”
“The prosecutor, Karim Khan, had previously said that he planned to seek approval from the court’s presidency to launch the investigation but he said 39 nations had referred allegations to the court, enabiling his his office to move forward immediately.”
“Mr. Khan had said on Monday that his office has “already found a reasonable basis to believe crimes within the jurisdiction of the court had been committed, and had identified potential cases that would be admissible.”

NY Times
Read 4 tweets
Mar 2
1/ “Foreigners, who hold around half Russia's hard currency debt, are focusing on March 16 when it must pay $107 million in coupons across two bonds.” reuters.com/markets/europe…
2/ “March 16 is the first of several payments, with another $359 million due on a 2030 bond due on March 31 . The first principal payment is due on April 4 when a $2 billion bond matures.”
3/ “In theory, Russia has ample reserves to cover debt. In practice, the asset freeze has shrunk what the central bank has available to make payments.
Second, executing payments will be trickier after sanctions limited Moscow's access to the SWIFT global payment systems.”
Read 4 tweets
Mar 2
1/ “China’s strategic partnership with Russia has the potential to be a lifeline for a Russian economy foundering under crippling Western sanctions. . .” washingtonpost.com/world/2022/03/…
2/ “. . . but Beijing appears to be holding back over practical constraints and fears of secondary sanctions on Chinese institutions.”
3/ “As Russia’s largest trading partner and one of the few countries globally that has not condemned President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. . “
Read 6 tweets
Mar 2
1/ Now we get to the fun part.

“Western allies plan to confiscate yachts, jets, luxury apartments from Russian elites in hopes of undercutting Moscow over invasion” washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2022…
Will Putin start watching his back?

2/ “Senior Biden administration officials are preparing to dramatically expand the number of Russian oligarchs subject to U.S. sanctions, aiming to punish the financial elite close to President Vladimir Putin”
3/ “The U.S. sanctions would also probably include travel restrictions and the seizure of overseas assets that could run into the billions.”
Read 18 tweets
Feb 28
Good show everyone!

1/ “The decisions by the United States, Britain and the European Union restricting the Russian Central Bank’s access to much of its $643 billion in foreign currency reserves . . . “
2/ “. . . have undone much of the Kremlin’s careful efforts to soften the impact of potential sanctions.”
3/ “And with dozens of countries closing their airspace to Russian planes, major foreign investors pulling out and the West placing debilitating restrictions on Russia’s biggest banks. . . “
Read 6 tweets
Feb 28
1/ “The effect has been dramatic. Russia’s stock markets suffered one of the worst drops in history, according to Bloomberg.” washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2022…
2/ “The S&P credit rating agency also downgraded Russia’s debt to junk status shortly after the U.S. actions were released. Reports have emerged of Russians crowding ATMs to make emergency cash withdrawals.”
3/ “The Bank of Russia announced Monday morning that it will not open its stock exchange in face of the unprecedented pressure.”
Read 4 tweets

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