Ten lessons from my book “The Ultimate Guide to Chart Patterns”
A thread 🧵
Trendlines are the identifiers and connectors of resistance and support price levels on chart patterns.
Trendlines are used to measure and quantify the path of least resistance for a chart in your time frame.
Trendlines are identifiers of the trend in your trading time frame.
You increase your odds of success in vertical price channels by buying in the direction of the channel’s trend.
When trendlines connect higher highs and higher lows, you increase your odds of success by buying the dip in price to the lower trendline.
A bull flag is a powerful bullish chart pattern that is found during strong bull markets. These patterns are often formed in leading growth stocks that have gone parabolic.
A pennant pattern is very similar to a flag pattern, except a flag is rectangular and descending and the pennant is triangular.
A bull pennant chart pattern occurs after an uptrend that follows a previous price base earlier in the chart.
Cup and handle patterns are not good probability trades if the general market is in a correction or a bear market.
The pattern has better odds if the stock is in a strong sector that has increasing earnings
Look for a ‘U’ shape and volume that dries up near the cup’s low. Volume that dries up at the bottom suggests funds lost interest in selling. U-shaped bases are more likely to work than V-shaped.
Volume will often contract as a chart pattern approaches a breakout. A breakout with higher than average volume can give a buy signal a higher rate of success.
Increase your odds by selling rallies into upper trendlines when they connect lower highs and lower lows.
You improve your odds of success in horizontal price channels by buying support and selling resistance.
Trendlines should connect at least two price levels in a direct path to be considered viable. The more connections that a trendline has, the more meaningful it is.
Different chart patterns identify different types of markets: sideways, uptrend, downtrend and reversing.
The purpose of using chart patterns is to identify current price action patterns and trade using signals that capitalize on them.
6 Lessons most New Traders Learn Too Late in their Journey: Thread 🧵👇
Risk/Reward Ratio Is More Important Than Entry Signals.
Your potential maximum risk of loss versus your potential for maximum gain on any individual trade is more important than an entry signal.
An entry signal can just be an indication that there is a greater probability of one thing happening than another.
An entry signal without the context of position sizing, stop loss, trailing stop, and profit target is meaningless as it doesn’t define your risk/reward ratio.
Stop Losses Are More Important Than Profit Targets.
How much you can lose is more important than how much you can make. Big losses can cause you to be unprofitable and theoretical profits don’t matter as much as potential losses.
If you want to be a profitable trader you must remove the potential for big losses from your trading strategy.
Exit early when you are proven wrong at a key level that price shouldn’t go if the trade is going to be a winner.
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All your trades should end in one of four ways: ⬇️
1. A small win: You take a profitable exit, this is usually a short term trade.
2. A big win: You let a winning trade run when you’re on the right side of a trend. This is the biggest contributor to profitable trading as it increases the reward side of your risk/reward ratio. Trailing stops are the best tool for creating big winning trades. Let winners run.
1/12 Educate yourself on the basics of trading your market through reading online articles, books, videos, and eCourses to master the basic vocabulary.
If there are any holy grails in trading, these are it:
1/5 Big wins and small losses. With a 3:1 risk/reward ratio you can be a winning trader with a 33% win rate.
2/5 Never lose more than 1% of your total trading capital in a single trade. This brings your risk of ruin down to zero, & turns the volume of your emotions down to a manageable level. This risk management rule causes a trader to be disciplined in their position sizing & stops.