Joe Weisenthal Profile picture
Mar 4 8 tweets 2 min read
BREAKING:

Jobs report crushes expectations.

678,000 new jobs. WAY ahead of expectations. Unemployment rate falls to 4.8% from 4.0%. Labor Force Participation rises again to 62.3%

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
One area that was a miss was average hourly earnings, which grew 5.1% vs. expectations of 5.8%. It's still a robust number. From an inflation perspective, doves may take some solace in it being slightly cooler than expected. Less indication of an upward spiral in wages.
Very clear here how the pandemic easing is helping the labor market improve.

Fewer and fewer people being prevented from working due to pandemic-related factors.
Oh, first tweet, should say 3.8% instead of 4.8%.
Here's the key chart. The US labor market recovery continues to be extremely rapid from a historical perspective, with a return to normal much faster than many shallower downturns.
From Southbay Research:

"A back-to-the-office trend is clearly in place as well: Laundry and Dry Cleaning payrolls jumped +9K"
We're still down about 136,000 jobs in laundry services
Overall, very strong report. Great headline gains. Strong breadth across industries. Evidence that the fading of Omicron is helping too ease labor supply. Of course it feels like old news, but encouraging to see that the labor market did have this much momentum.

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More from @TheStalwart

Mar 2
FROM THE NEW ODD LOTS:

@tracyalloway and I talked with the legend, Zoltan Pozsar about the state of the world.

It was a wide ranging conversation, but he believes this moment could be the beginning of the end for US dollar global dominance.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@tracyalloway He also believes that we're in a new era for gold, which has suddenly taken on increased importance. And that the ruble itself could go gold-backed, with Russia having lost access to its foreign FX reserves.
And of course, you can listen to the episode on all the apps

Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/zol…

Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/7xDQrG…

Etc
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Feb 27
Very interesting. The Ethereum address posted by the @ukraine account, which Bloomberg confirmed is legit, has taken in far more money than the Bitcoin one.

$4.1 million worth of ETH and other tokens vs. ~$1.1 million of BTC.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@Ukraine Here you can see all of the different ETH-based tokens that the address has received. The 4th biggest holding of the address is a coin called Saitoki Inu etherscan.io/tokenholdings?…
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Feb 16
WHY NAILS $$ HAVE SURGED AND BECOME HARDER TO FIND

There was tons of interest in our episode on nails. So I wanted to understand what's going on now. Joe Leffler, the CEO of Power Tools maker Metabo-HPT explained to me what's really driving the surge. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
A big part of it, per Leffler, is the simple math on freight.

Here's what it looks like: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
And thanks to @fcastofthemonth for his insanely granular knowledge of BLS categories, knowing the two key lines to track nail (and other construction adhesive) prices.
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Feb 7
TRANSCRIPT:

The full text of our conversation with @DanSichel1 about the price of nails is out.

Just a fascinating discussion about the history of nails that touched on so many different topics. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@DanSichel1 In 1695, one talented nailsmith could make one mail every minute.

Today, a worker at a nail factory can make about 3500 mails a minute.

Productivity going up! bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@DanSichel1 Meanwhile, the price of nails has surged lately, amid a perfect storm of factors driving up the costs.
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Feb 4
BOOOM. Jobs report crushes expectations.

467K new jobs in January vs. expectatiosn of 125K. So much for the big Omicron jump.

The unemployment rate rose to 4%, however, this is in the context of a big LFPR jump.

Also HUGE upward revision to last month.
The big story, IMO, are the big upward revisions to last month.

Labor market 🔥🔥🔥🔥
Big jump in 2-year yields.

March hike more than locked in, it would seem. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Feb 3
NEW ODD LOTS

@tracyalloway and I talked to @evabeylin, a director at The Graph and a member of the mostly anonymous crypto investing collective @egirl_capital.

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What’s great about Eva’s perspective, is that she’s an investor and builder in the space, so basically the perfect person to talk to about what’s happening in the space right now.
Also I’ve met @CL207 in person, and it really is a cat in a hazmat suit,
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