If you watched Russian troops move into Belarus for “exercises” after surrounding Ukraine and didn’t expect the invasion we got, I really don’t know how you reached that conclusion. Troops in Belarus means Kyiv is in the crosshairs. How could it have meant anything less? 1/3
This matters because all these idiotic debates about Putin just “trying to extract concessions” (which concessions exactly?) delayed the arming of Ukrainian forces. They could’ve been in a much better position if this was taken seriously like it should have been. 2/3
What was there to lose by arming Ukraine? What problems would it have caused as Russia denies they wanted to invade? Would it matter if it was seen as a provocation. I doubt it. 3/3
Denied*
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‘It was one in an avalanche of precedent-shattering moves, unfolding in ministries and boardrooms from Washington to London and Brussels to Berlin.’ Brilliant piece by @kbennhold, @MarkLandler, @MatinaStevis, & many, many more. 1/4 nytimes.com/2022/03/05/wor…
‘To trace the 10-day period before and after Russia’s invasion in the worlds of geopolitics, business, culture and sports, is to see how Mr. Putin’s brazen attack made the inconceivable suddenly inevitable.’ 2/4
‘Ten days on, Europeans are girding themselves for a prolonged siege in Ukraine, facing a future that is menacing and unmoored. On Saturday, Mr. Putin likened the West’s sanctions to a “declaration of war.”’ 3/4
Flashbang Thread: Updates From the Ongoing Crackdowns in Russia & Belarus. Naturally, @navalny will be kept in jail past the date of Russia's next election on trumped up charges. We'll start with that story. There are 6 total and one podcast below.
'On August 11, the Investigative Committee -- a top law enforcement body whose chief is a close Putin ally -- announced that he has been charged with creating an organization that infringes on the rights and personal safety of citizens...' Absurd. rferl.org/a/week-in-russ…
'A court in southwestern Russia has handed a three-year prison term to a Jehovah's Witness amid an ongoing crackdown on the religious group that has been banned in Russia since 2017.' Apparently Jehovah's are an "extremist organization." rferl.org/a/russia-jehov…