In evaluating the performance of the Nigerian military we realise that as of today, 35,000 terrorists have so far surrendered to Nigerian forces. Attacks against civilians is expected to spike dramatically during his period as is traditionally the case.
For years Nigeria expected partner nations Chad, France and the U.S to clear ISWAP safe-havens on Chadian soil with their fighter jets and MQ-9 Reaper drones, not turn a blind eye to their sanctuaries in Chad via which they launch attacks in Nigeria and retreat to the relative
safety of their camps in Chad. Nigeria's suspicions about France tacitly supporting terrorists were inflamed when former American ambassador to Mali, Vicki Huddleston, said France paid $17 million in ransoms to free French hostages. The French of course denied.
France had earlier payed $3 million to Boko Haram in Nigeria and tried to hide it. Francois Holland in 2013/2014 and Macron in 2019. Two different presidents. If this is not a national policy then i don't know what is.
So in Nigeria's decade long struggle to stabilise the region, France deliberately supported terrorists to maintain geopolitical leverage. ISWAP was operating along vast swatches of land running along the border. As cross border attacks increased, repeated requests
for them to deny ISWAP sanctuary in Chad was ignored. The result? A Jihadi Proto-State in the Lake Chad Basin. As the years passed, ISWAP proved increasingly able in military terms, launching devastating attacks in Nigeria and retreating to their sanctuaries in Lac Province.
America's excuse for sharing real estate with ISWAP is that its mission in the region is to help in capacity building, not direct intervention, hence U.S drones, though based in Chad, Niger and Cameroon will not be used against ISWAP camps in Chad,
even as they launch drones strikes against targets in Libya and Somalia from bases in West Africa. Rather than ask the obvious question: how is ISWAP able to run a pro state sharing real estate with two of the most powerful militaries in the West, the Nigerian military was
..subjected to relentless ridicule in the western media. At some point it becomes very difficult to ask a favour when we have been asking for a favour for some time and never got a positive answer. The solution: Do it yourself. Build the capacity.
The arrival of the A-29 Super Tucano and JF-17 Thunder, Wing Long II and CH-4 armed attack drones gave the NAF the leg it needs. Massive air strikes by the A-29 and JF-17 flattened ISWAP camps and logistical bases in the Tunbuns. Boko Haram continue to surrender in droves.
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France is closing 2023 with a diminished presence in the restive Sahel region and Al-Qaeda is livid with rage against the putchist in Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso, going as far as calling them trecherous.
The leader of Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Magreb recently released a 22 minutes tape where he branded the new military rulers of Niger, Burkina Faso and Mali "treacherous"and called on the citizens of these countries to turn on their leaders.
Why is AQIM upset about the French exit
from the Sahel and lashing out at the junters? It's bad for business.
The supply of money and weapons has come under threat. They've been raking in millions thanks to the geopolitical aspirations of a former colonial power determined to maintain a strategic foothold in Africa.
Nigeria gave France 48 hours to close down its Embassy in Lagos and to pack out of the country in retaliation against France exploding three nuclear devices in the Sahara despite vehement protests by Nigeria and other newly independent
African countries. Nigeria also banned French ships and aeroplanes from calling at her ports. The French Embassy in Lagos remained shut until October 1965. This unprecedented demonstration of power and resolve by an African country was a source of worry for France.
The French were worried that the size and potential strength of Nigeria might lead to a re-orientation of French West African countries away from France and towards Nigeria. Paris was preoccupied with the re-establishment and preservation of French imperial power which had been
For the NAF to transform it's self from a tactical, defensive force within Nigeria to one capable of strategic missions beyond territorial borders we need to up our numbers game.
The NAF already has the quality based on current and projected platforms.
A decade+ long insurgency, that necessitated on-going reforms changed the NAF's equipment priorities, from modernizing high tech hardware to platforms optimized for COIN and network-centric warfare.
The air force has progressed considerably towards building
and fielding a formidable force, and has assumed responsibilities that accompany the projection of national power in the sub region.
Only problem is the limited number of air superiority fighters. The smallest number of fighters in decades.
Still feeling under the weather 🤕. It gets worse as evening approaches.
However, after going through the comment section I've decided it's time to make the case for an ECOWAS intervention in Niger before analysing the capabilities of the potential belligerent of this crises.
ECOWAS weak response to recent coup 'd'etats paved the way for what is now a belt of dictatorships that stretches all the way from Guinea, Burkina Faso, Mali and now Niger. They plotters gained the perception that ECOWAS is weak and could be challenged.
Failure of the regional bloc to respond militarily gave them the perception that they can push ECOWAS further without ramifications.
The latest coup in Niger has fundamentally changed the region. A new cold war between democratic states and military junta's...
In 1983 Maj. General Muhammadu Buhari, GOC of the 3rd Division in Jos flushed out Chadian forces that invaded Nigerian communities in dramatic fashion. 40 years later he presides over what is arguably the biggest military build-up in Nigeria's history.
The President realised the nation was in need of an overhaul of the military. Nigeria had been humiliated in the early stages of the insurgency and the terrorists seemed secure in their unrelenting mission of conquest. Boko Haram captured and occupied 22 LGA's in the northeast.
The Nigerian military was plagued by low morale, low pay, outdated equipment, and zero maintenance on what did exist. Soldiers were tired. It just wasn't worth it to them. There were instances of soldiers refusing to fight. Some fleeing to Cameroon on two occasions.
NAF A-29 with its panoply of GBU Paveway II laser guided bombs, 70mm rockets with Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System (APKWS) and 589 kilogram bombs. The cutting edge of American precision guided munitions and the NAF is the only in sub-sahara Africa to employ them.
The GBU paveway II integrates the most advanced guidance system that basically converts "dumb" Gravity bombs into precision guided munitions. A semi-active laser seeker and pneumatically controlled canards guide the weapon to its targets with pin point accuracy.
Enter the hydra rockets.
In their basic configurations these are basic 70mm unguided rockets. Not different from unguided rockets used by the L-39ZA or Alpha jets.
However the APKWS they came with transforms these "dumb" rockets into laser-guided weapons.