2 of 4 - Russian accusations that Ukraine intends to use chemical and biological weapons continue. We have seen no evidence to support these accusations.
3 of 4 - Russia could possibly be planning to use chemical or biological weapons in a ‘false-flag’ operation. Such an operation could take the form of a faked attack, a staged ‘discovery’ of agents or munitions or fabricated evidence ...
Continued … of alleged Ukrainian planning to use such weapons. A ‘false-flag’ attack would almost certainly be accompanied by extensive disinformation to complicate attribution.
4 of 4 - Intelligence suggests Russia likely intended to use ‘false-flag’ operations to justify their initial invasion of Ukraine on 24 February.
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Russian forces are struggling to overcome the challenges posed by Ukraine’s terrain.
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Russian forces have remained largely tied to Ukraine’s road network and have demonstrated a reluctance to conduct off-road manoeuvre. The destruction of bridges by Ukrainian forces has also played a key role in stalling Russia’s advance.
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Russia is increasingly seeking to generate additional troops to bolster and replace its personnel losses in Ukraine. As a result of these losses it is likely Russia is struggling to conduct offensive operations in the face of sustained Ukrainian resistance.
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Continued personnel losses will also make it difficult for Russia to secure occupied territory.
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Multiple demonstrations have taken place over several days in the Russian occupied cities of Kherson, Melitopol and Berdyansk.
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Reporting suggests that Russia may seek to stage a “referendum” in Kherson in an attempt to legitimise the area as a “breakaway republic” similar to Donetsk, Luhansk and Crimea.
This #CommonwealthDay rediscover how the UK Armed Forces work with our Commonwealth partners around the globe. 🌎🌍🌏
👇🧵
Last year the UK and Australia, together with the US, signed a historic defence pact to ensure security in the Asia-Pacific. 🇬🇧🇦🇺🇺🇸
In February the UK and Nigeria agreed to work even more closely on defence and security, with the UK providing training to the Nigerian Armed Forces. 🇬🇧🇳🇬
(2/4) More than 2,500,000 refugees have been forced from their homes as a result of President Putin’s attack on Ukraine.
(3/4) Indiscriminate Russian shelling and air attacks are causing widespread destruction. The UN have reported that there have already been 1,663 civilian casualties since the Russian invasion began.
(2/4) Russian naval forces have established a distant blockade of Ukraine’s Black Sea coast, effectively isolating Ukraine from international maritime trade.
(3/4) Russian naval forces are also continuing to conduct missile strikes against targets throughout Ukraine.