The Russian invasion of Ukraine has largely stalled on all fronts.
(2/3)
Russian forces have made minimal progress on land, sea or air in recent days and they continue to suffer heavy losses.
(3/3)
Ukrainian resistance remains staunch and well-coordinated. The vast majority of Ukrainian territory, including all major cities, remains in Ukrainian hands.
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(2/4) Russian forces have made minimal progress this week.
(3/4) Ukrainian forces around Kyiv and Mykolaiv continue to frustrate Russian attempts to encircle the cities. The cities of Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Sumy and Mariupol remain encircled and subject to heavy Russian shelling.
(2/4) Logistical problems continue to beset Russiaβs faltering invasion of Ukraine.
(3/4) Reluctance to manoeuvre cross-country, lack of control of the air and limited bridging capabilities are preventing Russia from effectively resupplying their forward troops with even basic essentials such as food and fuel.
Given the delays in achieving their objectives and failure to control Ukrainian airspace, Russia has probably expended far more stand-off air launched weapons than originally planned.
(2/3)
As a result, it is likely Russia is resorting to the use of older, less precise weapons, which are less militarily effective and more likely to result in civilian casualties.
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Russian forces are struggling to overcome the challenges posed by Ukraineβs terrain.
(2/4)
Russian forces have remained largely tied to Ukraineβs road network and have demonstrated a reluctance to conduct off-road manoeuvre. The destruction of bridges by Ukrainian forces has also played a key role in stalling Russiaβs advance.
(1/4)
Russia is increasingly seeking to generate additional troops to bolster and replace its personnel losses in Ukraine. As a result of these losses it is likely Russia is struggling to conduct offensive operations in the face of sustained Ukrainian resistance.
(2/4)
Continued personnel losses will also make it difficult for Russia to secure occupied territory.
(1 of 5)
Multiple demonstrations have taken place over several days in the Russian occupied cities of Kherson, Melitopol and Berdyansk.
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Reporting suggests that Russia may seek to stage a βreferendumβ in Kherson in an attempt to legitimise the area as a βbreakaway republicβ similar to Donetsk, Luhansk and Crimea.