The Chancellor has abandoned many to the threat of destitution, not economic security, @dminnes
🧵👇
✂️6⃣ "The Chancellor has acted recklessly in pressing ahead with a second real-terms cut to benefits in six months, while prioritising people on middle and higher incomes."
❌ "Changes to #NationalInsurance won’t help those who aren’t working or can’t work due to disability, illness or caring responsibilities, to an increasing risk of becoming destitute. This means they will face regularly going without absolute essentials."
⬆️ "We can’t build a strong or secure economy by weakening the incomes of the poorest. With benefits reaching their lowest level in real terms since 1985, the Chancellor had ample opportunity with his increased headroom to uprate them in line with inflation."
"Make no mistake – this dire situation will leave millions in despair as a direct consequence of the Chancellor’s irresponsible choices today." #SpringStatement
JRF will be modelling the impact of the changes to the #NationalInsurance threshold announced today along with the Chancellor’s choice not to increase benefits in line with current inflation levels. 📈📊
✅ Follow us here on Twitter to get the latest updates.
⛽️ We've analysed the impact of the fuel duty cut, announced today, on low-income households.
❌🚗 Households on lower incomes benefit less from the cut to fuel duty because many do not own a car in the first place, and those that do use less fuel than high income households.
4⃣5⃣ 45% of households on the lowest 10% of incomes do not have access to a vehicle.
6⃣ This is compared to just 6% of those in the highest 30% of incomes.
⛽️⬆️ Households on the lowest 10% of incomes with access to a car have seen fuel costs increase by around £315 since September 2021.
✂️ The cut to fuel duty announced today will only mitigate around £53 (around one sixth) of that increase.
📥 Further analysis coming soon on the impact of the changes to the #NationalInsurance threshold and the Chancellor's choice not to increase benefits in line with current inflation levels 📈📊
🚨 NEW: 600,000 people will be pulled into poverty due to inaction at the #SpringStatement
We've modelled the impact of the failure to increase benefits in line with inflation, along with the 1.25% ⬆️ in National Insurance and change to the earnings threshold at which it is paid
6⃣0⃣0⃣ 600,000 people will be pulled into poverty, of which around a quarter are children
💷⬇️ Families in poverty will be £446 per year worse off in 2022-23 compared to if benefits had been increased in line with current inflation levels
A thread on the power of insight to drive change 🧵👇
Last week, as a result of @BootstrapCook's campaign on rising food prices faced by those on a low income, the @ONS restarted the publication of inflation rates by income bands
The power of her intervention was that she’d unearthed a genuinely powerful and original insight, with real implications
We’re thinking hard at JRF about the greater contribution we can make to enhancing insight about poverty independent.co.uk/life-style/jac…
More specifically, we’re doing so by starting with an ‘infrastructure’ mindset: asking how, as an independent foundation, JRF can enable and open up the generation and use of insight to support social change
❌ New measures won’t protect the poorest families from the new energy price cap
1⃣6⃣ Families on low incomes will spend on average 16% of their incomes after housing costs on energy bills. This compares to 5% for middle-income families
4⃣3⃣ Single adult households on low incomes will spend a shocking 43% on average of their income after housing costs on energy bills
2⃣2⃣ Lone parent families on low incomes will spend 22% on average of their income after housing costs on energy bills
💷⬆️ Some families on low incomes will face annual bills as high as £2,326 from April
❌For low-income families with children, the measures will mitigate just 36% of the increase in their bills on average. This compares to 59% for low-income single-adult households
"The Chancellor has offered cold comfort to families in poverty, who are already rationing what they can spend on essentials such as heating and food...
"These families are now expected to find at least half of the eye watering increases in energy bills, when many are already getting into debt to keep their houses warm and food on the table...
"Three quarters of those who can claim the enhanced support are not in poverty. Meanwhile inflation is set to rise at more than double the rate of benefits. This support will not get people through the next few months and it will not protect those most at risk of hardship...
JRF's @KatieSchmuecker responds to details of the government's levelling up white paper:
"The Prime Minister has defined levelling up as delivering for the poorest, so this strategy should be assessed against its ability to reduce poverty across the country... ⬇️
"A focus on rising employment, pay and productivity will only succeed if it delivers better jobs and pay for people on the lowest incomes. To make this happen we need to see investment in skills, childcare, local transport and affordable housing... 💷👨🍼🚌🏠
"Plans to reform the private rented sector are long overdue and really welcome to see. If done well, they will drive up standards and strengthen tenants’ rights, creating a more just housing system... 🤝🏘️
"The rise in pensioner poverty is concerning, and we think it is being driven in part by increased housing costs, particularly for those in rented accommodation...
This year’s #UKPoverty2022 report is designed to act as the ultimate reference document for the complete picture of poverty across all its characteristics and impacts.
Here, JRF analysts share the latest data from the areas of the report they have worked on