The surrender of Hong Kong and struggles by Shanghai, Jilin and other areas in China to achieve zero-covid make it evident to many Chinese the costs of pursuing the zero-covid strategy. These costs can be counted in lost businesses as well as in lives lost to the strict policies.
Most importantly, they show that the dynamic zero-covid strategy may have met its match in Omicron Ba.2. It's time China deployed a vaccine that can help reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
Thus far the Chinese leadership has resolutely refused to authorize the use of the BioNTech mRNA vaccine even though a Chinese company (Fosun) had entered a partnership with BioNTech in 2020 and was ready to manufacture in China in 2021. Instead, China chose to block foreign
mRNA vaccines so that Chinese domestic manufacturers could develop their own. Thus far, these domestic vaccine developers have not succeeded. It is a test of China's leadership whether they can adapt to changing circumstances.
China's Illiberal Regulatory State and the China Model: Why is Chinese regulation prone to cycles of boom and bust, with episodes of dramatic crisis followed by efforts to crack down and correct? How does this Chinese experience compare with the regulatory state found in the West
, esp. the U.S.? Those who are interested in such questions may be interested in my "China’s Illiberal Regulatory State in Comparative Perspective." It notes that, generally speaking, the regulatory state in a liberal democratic setting has become accepted as enabling liberal
democracies to combine democratic legitimacy with the independence and professionalism of unelected regulatory bodies. It then offers a quick overview of the establishment and proliferation of regulatory institutions in China in the context of continued single Party rule and
The costs of stability at all costs: On January 1, well before the Wuhan #coronaravirus spread en masse and more than a week before the virus was identified, the Wuhan police announced that it had dealt with eight people for spreading untruthful information about "Wuhan viral
pneumonia" in accordance with law. Official news reports of the time say that the Wuhan police wanted to remind people it would be unrelenting in dealing with those who concoct and spread rumors (xinhuanet.com/2020-01/01/c_1…). This news item was prominently carried on
China Central TV and major outlets as well as online. It had a chilling effect on those who saw the early signs of a then emerging epidemic. This crackdown was clearly part of a coordinated effort by the Wuhan leadership.