🧵🚨As requested, a thread on my outlook and thoughts on $NVDA - Based on my TA and added support from @unusual_whales flow 🐋
$NVDA had insane movement last week so let's get right into it.
(1/19) First and foremost here are the Fibonacci Retracement levels (1D) I've been using in this current trading range. We broke over the high of this fib range early last week but these levels have been money so I'm keeping them up till/if NVDA sees north of 290 and consolidates
(2/19) This retracement is drawn from the 2/10 HOD of 269.25 to the 3/8 LOD of 206.50.
I want to point out that, at first, this chart may look hectic w/ all the different price levels, but over time as you get used to plotting fibs it should get easier to read & comprehend
(3/19) Very key fibs I want to highlight with respect to this retracement on NVDA are...
255.82 (78.6%)
245.28 (61.8%)
230.47 (32.8%)
Not that the other fib levels aren't important, I just saw lots of interesting price action along these specific levels.
(4/19) Now here are some key levels I also have for $NVDA
294
284.95
272.45/272.40
262.65
I attached a few screenshots from a few different time frames to put it in perspective.
(5/19) Here's a screenshot from the 30m timeframe which might make it a little easier to digest the actual levels.
(6/19) GAPS - I also want to point out an unfilled gap on NVDA which you can see is from March 15th-16th 230.38 to 231.72. Webull charts this gap from the high of the wick... If you chart your gaps from the candle body then it would be 229.73 - 231.72.
(7/19) That unfilled gap is of little to no importance being that it's a very small one and we are trading nearly $50 higher than we were at the time of the gap, but it's something to keep in mind if NVDA comes back down to that area.
(8/19) Another unfilled gap we have on NVDA is a gap on the 5m chart from March 23rd to the 24th 257.04 - 259.07. Once again, not so important taking into account it's a 5/10m timeframe gap. But I'm keeping this in mind if we come down.
(9/19) Now let's get into the crazy intraday price action we had over the last two weeks, specifically the 78.6% retracement (255.82)
On March 18th we ripped at open to test the 255.82 fib level overhead where we see a nice Break Hook & Go to new highs of the current range.
(10/19) Fast forward to this past week (March 22nd/March 23rd) we gapped down and had our first test of 255.82 fib level to the downside. Ultimately we bounced and closed the day over this level telling me that this previous resistance turned to new support.
(11/19) As stated earlier in this thread 272.40 is a key level on my chart, which was the HOD on March 22nd. Something else to note: this was also resistance overhead on the 4h chart from January 13th/14th. March 22nd HOD was the first time we touched this level since Jan.
(12/19) Here's a chart from last week's $NVDA price action. Once we broke over 272.40 and approached new highs on the 24th. I was interested to see us get a strong bounce off this level on Friday the 25th indicating to me previous resistance has turned to new support.
(13/19) Now... Overhead levels from where we closed on Friday... The main one I have is 285. I also have a supply zone from 284-286 dating back to January 1st to January 13th of this year, pictured below.
(14/19) As you can see pictured in the last tweet, on Jan 4th we found support off 285. Once we broke to this level to the downside 285 and retested shortly after, we saw a supply zone form along this level. I'm calling it from 284-286.
(15/19) So... NVDA over this supply zone (286) I think we see 294 quickly and 300 not long after.
If you pull up the daily chart & put a price level at 294 it shouldn't be hard to see why.
Over 300 psych I have 303ish, 313.18, and 324.69. We'll worry about that if we get there.
(16/19) Under 272.40 I think we see 269.20 very quickly and 262.20 not long after.
Something to keep in mind to the downside is the strong support at 255.82 (the 78.6% fib). Under that, I think we knife to 247 or even lower.
(18/19) Hot Chains & Tickers via @unusual_whales
$NVDAhad the 8th highest call volume and 6th highest put volume according to UW's hot chains and tickers.
(19/19) I hope you guys enjoyed this thread. Stay tuned for the next one coming this week - $FB... I'll be doing one or two of these every week on a ticker of your guys' choice. Keep an eye out for the polls where I'll let y'all decide by sector then narrow down to ticker.
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Here's a little EDU for anyone wanting to branch out into trading Options.
What are Options Contract?
An option is a two-party contract that conveys a right to the buyer and an obligation to the seller.
In this thread, I'll be more focused on buying than playing spreads and naked calls & puts
Call Options:
Buying calls - A buyer of calls owns the right to buy 100 shares of a specific stock at the strike price before expiration if he/she chooses to exercise. The buyer can also sell the option.
1. Kane Capital x Unusual Whales @Kane_Capital's own @DiamondxTrades with a great video on how to trade options using Unusual Whales flow.
2. The Greeks
Understanding the greeks and time decay is a crucial component to being a successful options trader. Here's a great video that puts things into perspective.
Let's discuss how you can use support and resistance levels in your TA to get the best entries and exits while using @unusual_whales flow for confirmation.
(1/11) Support and resistance levels are formed when a stock repeatedly touches a price and is unable to break that price. When this occurs to the downside we call that a support level. When it occurs to the upside, we call that a resistance level.
(2/11) Support and resistance levels gain validity the more times a stock touches the level without breaking it. If you pull up a daily chart for any stock you should be able to draw horizontal lines where you can see critical levels that are being respected by traders.
Bull flags are one of my favorite chart patterns. A bull flag is very similar to a flat top breakout, except with one very important difference. Unlike a flat top breakout, a bull flag will experience a slight pullback off the first strong move.
(1/6) Bull Flag Pictured:
(2/5) Stocks that are surging up with high volume, can form bull flags worth trading when they begin to pullback. This puts me into the group of traders who missed the first move but will buy the first & second pullbacks.
🚨HOLDING LOSERS TO LONG/SELLING WINNERS TOO SOON THREAD🚨
This thread is intended to give insight into strategies that will maximize your winners and minimize your losers. I credit this information to one of my favorite day trading guides by Ross Cameron! Enjoy.
(1/14) Holding Losers Too Long:
Fear of loss in trading can manifest itself in some unusual and outright counterproductive ways. Many beginner traders and most failed traders will experience the tendency to hold their losers too long and sell their winners too soon.
(2/14) The driving emotion that leads to this behavior is the fear of losing. Why does a trader hold losers too long? It's because a trade is not a loss until you've hit the sell button. There is always a chance that the price could pop back up until you hit the sell button.