There is an elephant in the negotiation room. Its name is Roman Abramovich. Allow me to give you some context on who this guy actually is and how his participation in the Ukraine-Russia peace talks should be viewed.
It seems like we are dealing with a case of mass hypnosis or general memory loss. People are genuinely wondering: is Abramovich a good guy now? Is he a superhero who’s going to save us all?
There is nothing tricky about the Abramovich situation. There is nothing to discuss or wonder about. I encourage you all to use a simple and straightforward rule. If Putin likes something - it’s shit. You don’t want it, you should stay away. And Putin likes Abramovich.
Roman Abramovich is the reason why Putin is still in power. He plays a crucial role in sustaining Putin’s regime for the past 22 years. Abramovich is Putin's ultimate wallet, the ultimate source of bribes, a person who can hold and control strategic assets on Putin’s behalf.
This is how oligarchy in Russia works. Many years ago Putin sat all the oligarchs at the table and said: if you give up all of your political ambitions, I will give you a way to enrich yourself. Knock yourselves out, take as much money as you want, but do not question my power.
And that’s how it’s been for the past 20 years. They stay silent and uninvolved, and in return they get to become the world’s richest people. Earning their fortunes in Russia and living abroad. And of course, they have to share with Putin through kickbacks or direct bribes.
Let me illustrate this. In 1997 Abramovich privatised a state owned-oil company Sibneft. It was done at a fictitious auction with fake competition. Many years later Abramovich himself, under oath, called this auction a sham. The price he paid sounds hilarious now - $100 million.
A few years later, in 2005, during Putin’s second presidential term, it was decided that the state (Gazprom) wanted Sibneft back. This was the time when Putin got obsessed with consolidating everything under Gazprom. Abramovich sold Sibneft back to the state for $13 billion.
Buying something from the state for $100 million and selling it back 7 years later for $13 billion. That’s it. That's the whole thing. The whole business model. That’s how Abramovich, who was once the richest man in the world, got this title.
The second part of the deal was the bribes. Abramovich was one of the key early sponsors of Putin’s Palace. Sergei Kolesnikov, the whistleblower responsible for managing the scheme, said that Abramovich ‘donated’ $203m. Part of it was subsequently spent on building the Palace.
Putin’s first super yacht (Olympia) was also gifted by Abramovich. Another whistleblower D.Skarga told BBC that the yacht was paid for by Abramovich ($35m) and transferred to an offshore firm; the running costs were paid by the state budget
The only reason why we know about these two bribes is because the two whistleblowers were brave enough to talk. Both are now in exile and wanted in Russia, by the way. Imagine how much more there is to discover. Twenty years’ worth of bribery.
But there is an above the surface part as well. When praising Abramovich now, in 2022, please keep in mind that he was once personally appointed by Putin as the governor of the Chukotka region and actively supported the abolition of direct governor elections.
That he, until very recently, owned Channel One alongside with the government. It’s the ultimate source of diabolical Putin’s propaganda, the main brainwashing machine that for twenty years has been telling lies and fake news to millions of Russians.
You can turn it on right now and check. It’s the modern take on the Thousand Hills Radio. 24/7 hate speech about every Ukrainian being a nazi and Putin being about to liberate the world by bombing maternity wards (where Ukrainian nazis are hiding).
Abramovich owned this propaganda hellhole for almost 20 years. Throughout the first invasion of Ukraine, throughout the annexation of Crimea. Abramovich was the channel’s owner when it claimed that MH17 was shot down by a Ukrainian fighter jet. And he had no problem with it.
Abramovich sold his shares recently. Guess who was the buyer? Putin’s best buddy Kovalchuk and the National Media Group, whose Chairwoman just so happens to be Putin’s gymnast mistress Alina Kabaeva.
Roman Abramovich is the most faithful and devoted of Putin’s oligarchs. His loyalties are crystal clear. He unconditionally supports whatever Putin does for two decades. Even now, during the war, Abramovich is there for the president, accepting and saluting to his orders.
This is what we know from his actions, twenty five years of them. And that’s why I cannot understand how on earth it is possible to suggest that Abramovich is a good guy all of a sudden. What is it based on? Has something changed? I didn’t get the memo.
Has Abramovich said something publicly? Made a statement? Gave an interview? All I see is him hanging around the Russian delegation in Turkey and the Russian officials being perfectly happy about it. This isn’t a good sign.
The best thing I found was a press release stating that proceeds from the sale of Chelsea FC would go to some sort of fund “for the benefit of all victims of the war in Ukraine”. I guess we should thank Abramovich for courageously calling it a war and not a ‘special operation’.
War doesn’t exist in a vacuum. It’s not like rain or thunder that occur naturally. SOMEONE STARTED THIS WAR. And this someone is Vladimir Putin, a longtime boss of Roman Abramovich and his pal until we hear otherwise.
I'm a firm believer in active repentance. I’ll happily retract my words once we see Abramovich publicly act against Putin’s will: call him for what he is (a thief and a war criminal) or do 'the unthinkable' and demand to free Navalny. As for now, it looks like a PR stunt to me.
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1/21 Did you know corporations like Apple sometimes help authoritarian regimes survive? Not by accident—by choice. Dictators rely on their complicity to impose censorship and tighten their grip on power. The Apple you know is not the Apple we see in Russia. THREAD 🧵
2/21 Over the past year, Apple has bent over backward to comply with Putin’s government’s demands. They’ve systematically restricted Russian users’ access to independent media and removed countless VPN apps from the App Store—tools vital for bypassing censorship.
3/21 I’m sure you don’t realise how bad it really is. In October Apple removed the app of the independent Russian language TV channel Current Time. In November BBC Russian Service podcasts were banned, along with those from The Insider, Echo of Moscow, and Radio Liberty.
Часть переписок Невзлина, которая касается Латвии, мы передали латвийским журналистам. И вот вчера вышло несколько сюжетов, которые проливают дополнительный свет на всю эту историю. Журналисты докрутили тему про паспорт и про то, как Невзлин "мочил" других олигархов. Рассказываю!
Среди них Гусинский, Дерипаска, и в первую очередь, Петр Авен. Невзлин заказывал, а Блинов размещал материалы через желтые СМИ, которые входят в группу компаний Петериса Шмидре. Все эти материалы без труда можно найти, как и обсуждение денег, которые были за них заплачены.
Невзлин очень смешно вычитывает статьи, находит там ошибки, а еще даёт их на проверку некоему "Киселеву". Предположу, что речь об известном журналисте Евгении Киселеве, который, к слову, сейчас рьяно защищает Невзлина.
1/28 Воспользуюсь информационным поводом, чтобы рассказать вам немного о работе международного отдела ФБК. Фоновой работе, которой и мысли не было хвастаться в паблике. Но на прошлой неделе я чуть со стула не упала от удивления и возмущения, увидев ЭТО. Тема нам не чуждая. ТРЕД🧵
2/28 Сначала разберёмся, что все обсуждали на той неделе. Максим Кац создал в Израиле фонд, который бегает по грантодателям и просит денег на КОМПЕНСАЦИЮ ВЫПАДАЮЩИХ ДОХОДОВ ютюб-блогеров. Логика такая: тебя признали иноагентом >> доход от рекламы упал >> возместите разницу.
3/28 Заметил это Майкл Наки, возмутился от двумя вещами. Тем, что в докладе, который де факто является грантовой заявкой, упомянут его канал. И тем, что ютюб-блогеры, о которых идет речь в заявке, скажем мягко, не самые первые в списке нуждающихся.
Жарков в своей колонке точно замечает, что "демофобия наряду с абсолютизацией роли рынка — один из столпов российской либеральной догматики 90-х." Если речь зашла о демофобии, мне вспомнилась другая статья, ссылку на которую я подсмотрела у В.Гельмана. Авторства кружка Чубайса.
Чубайс возглавлял некий научный кружок или ассоциацию, и это их видение того, как должны проводиться либеральные реформы. Еще до того, как Чубайсу выпал шанс реально эти реформы проводить, в его голове царили антидемократические взгляды и тотальное презрение к людям. Мини-тред👇
Суть статьи (1990 г) в том, что Чубайс и Ко рассуждают о политическом сопровождении предлагаемых ими рыночных реформ. Какая политическая поддержка им понадобится. Первое, что предлагается - разогнать профсоюзы, если они не поддержат реформы. А вместо них создать свои, карманные.
1/14 Politicians are often asked, "What have you done in your first 100 days in office?" It's a symbolic amount of time, of course, but enough to show some intent. So today, I would like to ask Western officials, "What have you done in the 100 days since Alexei Navalny's murder?"
2/14 We've heard countless times from world leaders that Putin is personally responsible for Navalny's life and safety. If a hair falls from Navalny's head, Putin is in trouble. Well, now Navalny is dead. What were the consequences for Putin? NONE.
3/14 It's actually worse than none. The UK sanctions package in response to Navalny's murder included six individuals. Six prison employees who live in the village of Kharp. These people most likely haven't even considered traveling abroad, perhaps not even outside their region.
Ever wondered what happened to this? It was a widely discussed and supported initiative to sanction Putin's 'authorised representatives'. Those individuals who endorsed and officially participated in Putin's electoral campaign. Here is the answer: nothing. Nothing has happened.
I am still convinced that the idea is brilliant. We proposed to preemptively announce that anyone who would join the list of Putin's endorsers will be sanctioned immediately after the election. And this would discourage celebrities from joining.
And I think even just this public discussion kinda worked. In the first December list of Putin's 'authorized representatives', there were indeed fewer famous people than usual. We were hopeful and continued to bombard the EU authorities with our proposal.