π§΅π¨ As requested, a thread on my outlook and thoughts on $AMD - Based on my TA and added support from @unusual_whales flow π
It's been a wild ride for the semiconductors lately so let's jump right into it.
(1/19) First and foremost I want to provide you guys with the current levels I have on my chart for $AMD. I attached a screenshot below of the 1h chart.
(2/19) Key Levels to the upside - From where we closed today.
121.22
123.46
127.33
Downside:
117.66
114.00
111.55
109.82
(3/19) Here is another view of my 4h and 30m $AMD chart to put things into perspective
(4/19) A common theme that I like to see on every ticker/chart is the idea of a previous support level turning to new resistance and a previous resistance level turning to the new support. I will say, with the current levels I've identified, $AMD is following this "idea".
(5/19) To get a better understanding of the chart, levels, price action, etc. Let's jump back a few weeks ago to March 16th
(6/19)On March 16th we gapped up over $2 to 111.60.
Later that day during the afternoon session $AMD knifed and found support at the bottom of the gap, 109.82, (basically filling it) then bounced to new highs in power hour closing at 115.37
(7/19) I was intrigued to see that the next day we came down to test that 109.82 level and held very nicely indicating to me that the bottom of that gap is a strong support level.
(8/19) 114 Level
Volume shelf - This basically tells me that most of the volume occurred at this level. Tends to act as support/resistance
(9/19) This is a 15m chart from last week showing the price action at and around 114.
(10/19) While bouncing off the 114 level we also rejected 117.66 three days in a row. On the 24th after finally breaking this resistance level, we see it turn to new support before ripping into new highs on the 25th
(11/19) Demand Zone - Lets call it a demand zone from 117.70 - 116.70.
I'm keeping this area on the chart in mind especially due to the downtrend we saw today starting at around 1pm
(12/19) Today after breaking through 121.22 support, I was triggered to add the 117p which was my next level to the downside.
This was a really solid trade being that once we broke through 121.22 it was a freefall into the close before finding intraday support at around 118.60
(13/19) I also want to note I had a supply zone charted on AMD from 123.20 - 125 which we briefly broke through this morning before knifing into close.
(14/19) So what now?
Personally, I am targeting the 117.60 level to the downside. If we get there (unless we gap down below o/n) I would expect a small bounce around that demand zone. 117.70 - 116.70
(15/19) AMD breaks through 117.60 to the downside I think we see 114 very quickly. Break below 114, 111.53 is my target.
To the upside: 121.22, 123.45, 126. Over 126 is a clear breakout sign to me setting up a 130 test.
(16/19) UW analysis π
Hot Chains & Tickers
$AMD - 6th largest call volume, 9th largest put volume
$AMD targeted strikes:
Bullish & Bearish: 110 (30k min premium)
(18/19)
4/1/2022 125c are π₯
4/1/2022 120p are π₯
*Based on volume*
(19/19) I hope you guys enjoyed the thread. Going to be doing this type of analysis on a ticker of your guys' choice a few times a week so stay tuned! Let me know what you think.
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π§΅Quick thread on $NVDA - Little update from last night's thread which you can find in my pinned tweet.
(1/4) Here's a chart/illustration I made Sunday night outlining last week's $NVDA price action. Coming into the week I had 272.40 support as our major level to the downside and 285-286 supply zone overhead.
(2/4) Fast forward to today look where we found support before ripping to new highs...
π§΅π¨As requested, a thread on my outlook and thoughts on $NVDA - Based on my TA and added support from @unusual_whales flow π
$NVDA had insane movement last week so let's get right into it.
(1/19) First and foremost here are the Fibonacci Retracement levels (1D) I've been using in this current trading range. We broke over the high of this fib range early last week but these levels have been money so I'm keeping them up till/if NVDA sees north of 290 and consolidates
(2/19) This retracement is drawn from the 2/10 HOD of 269.25 to the 3/8 LOD of 206.50.
I want to point out that, at first, this chart may look hectic w/ all the different price levels, but over time as you get used to plotting fibs it should get easier to read & comprehend
Here's a little EDU for anyone wanting to branch out into trading Options.
What are Options Contract?
An option is a two-party contract that conveys a right to the buyer and an obligation to the seller.
In this thread, I'll be more focused on buying than playing spreads and naked calls & puts
Call Options:
Buying calls - A buyer of calls owns the right to buy 100 shares of a specific stock at the strike price before expiration if he/she chooses to exercise. The buyer can also sell the option.
1. Kane Capital x Unusual Whales @Kane_Capital's own @DiamondxTrades with a great video on how to trade options using Unusual Whales flow.
2. The Greeks
Understanding the greeks and time decay is a crucial component to being a successful options trader. Here's a great video that puts things into perspective.