🧵Alerted $AMD 117p live in discord which ran for 820% at peak today
•$100➡️$920
•$1,000➡️$9,200
•$10,000➡️$92,000
Let's take a look into what I saw and why I alerted this thanks to solid TA and @unusual_whales flow 🐋
(1/6) Here's a visual of what the trade looked like on the 10m chart. These puts were added after AMD broke through and confirmed under the 121.22 level. The next level on my chart to the downside was 177.66 hence why I chose the 117p
(2/6) When we gapped down this morning and opened up under 117.66 - the next target to the downside was 114 which I stated in the thread pinned to my profile we should see quickly.
(3/6) $AMD kept testing and breaking through support again and again which is why these puts were able to run for such a large gain.
(4/6) Something that stood out to me was the @unusual_whales flow yesterday. I was seeing large bearish prints- A lot of these are calls which indicated some serious profit-taking. Take a look at the premium sizes highlighted in the pink box.
(5/6) Here's an intraday view of the 5m chart on where I entered and a few pieces of conviction.
With the 8EMA acting as a strong area of resistance throughout this downtrend - I added at the top of the wick highlighted anticipating another rejection.
(6/6) Hope you guys enjoyed this breakdown. Much more to come... Solid Technical Analysis paired with @unusual_whales flow is a game changer.
In honor of the New Year commencing, here is a tweet of my favorite threads I posted in 2022. Everything from options basics to charting & candlesticks to @unusual_whales flow, and much more. I hope this helps benefit your 2023 trading!
Although candlestick patterns don't tell the whole story, they can be a great tool to identify short-long term reversals in price action. Knowledge is power! Let's get into it.
👇
Here are a few of the basic candlesticks patterns everyone should be familiar with & will go further in-depth in this thread.
A+ Setups
An A+ setup to me might be different than what an A+ setup is to you. I like to have 3-4 pieces of conviction to deem something as A+. Examples include:
- Candlestick Patterns
- Charting Patterns
- Supply/Demand Breaks
- Gap Fill Strat/Peaky Strat/Golden Goose etc.
Building a broad watchlist of stocks that I'm interested in trading is a critical part of my preperation for the day. Here's a thread on how I create my watchlist.
👇
A watchlist is a small to medium list of stocks that align with your guidelines for solid trading setups.
Before the market opens I like to have at least 2-3 tickers with potential setups I will be watching throughout the day.
Pretty simple analysis in my eyes. Going to break it down with a few charts across a few different timeframes.
👇
Head & Shoulders - Daily Time Frame
Once the 100-102 neckline was broken it was game over. Also, very nice BHG setup on the retest of that neckline November 15th
Rounding Top into Head & Shoulders - Weekly Time Frame
Could've seen this move coming hence the rounding top posted on the weekly time frame. Once the 144 neckline was broken it was a clear move to 100 measured move count.
H&S Peak formed at the previous rounding top neckline
Before placing a trade I always have ideas about my sizing, entries/exits, stop levels & more. By formulating a risk management plan I decrease my risk of losing unnecessary amounts of capital and increase my chances of profitability.
👇
Risk = the chance that an investment's actual gains will differ from an expected outcome or return.
I like to look at risk as the amount of money you could lose on a trade. If you predetermine how much you are willing to lose, you are able to measure what "loss" means to you.
Determining a Stop Loss:
1. Max pain per trade (Dollar Figure) 2. Key level/area on the chart
Here's a thread on critical trading tactic that I take very seriously. Without consistent uniform sizing, I have noticed, successful trading becomes harder. It's important to come up with a position sizing plan that works for you.
👇
Position sizing refers to the guide that dictates how much working capital you allocate on a single trade.
Key components to consider:
- Risk Tolerance
- Account Size
- Type of Trade
- Trading Goals
Risk Per Trade:
Everyone is different. Everyone's goals are different. The first question I like to ask myself is how much money am I willing to risk per trade.
I usually choose one or two options: 1. Fixed Amount 2. Percentage of Portfolio