I've just finished the latest #IPCCReport. It's written in the usual barely comprehensible climate wonk speak. But behind the jargon there's a blueprint that seems as revolutionary now as Das Kapital must have in 1867...
The climate scientists don't do anything like call for the overthrow of the capitalist classes. But they use science to point to how society has to be re-ordered from top to bottom.
e.g. If we want to keep warming below 1.5 global emissions will need to peak in 2025 – three years
And if you want to do that then they say you must also reduce coal consumption by 95%, oil by 60% and gas by 45% by 2050.
And because we will need some fossil fuels for feedstocks etc this means electricity must transform to 100% renewable ... starting immediately.
For almost 200 years developed economies wealth have been based on carbon. This report says to all intents and purposes that has to be unravelled effectively immediately, and we have to re-order everything.
And here's the mad bit ... 195 governments signed it.
And it get's even more mad ...
They agree that there is sufficient liquid wealth in the world to do what needs to be done. Global capital needs to mobilise behind climate action. Funds need to be transferred from Global North to Global South wholesale.
Really seditiously they call out Carbon Capture and Sequestration as a tech-bro fantasy, noting that it "faces technological, economic, institutional, ecological -environmental and socio - cultural barriers" ie If it hasn't happened by now, it won't in time.
They say all industrial activity has to be reorganised so that it happens near places where there is abundant renewable energy, not near ports, or the source of the raw material as we do now.
All of our cities are going to have to be rebuilt to allow people to live near their work and become essentially "non-motorised".
Reality check - that's western governments saying on principle that there shouldn't be private cars in cities.
And there's stuff in there that even Karl Marx would probably have felt was a little over-ambitious.
Like everything we eat and wear will have to have a low environmental impact.
The ideas in this document are non-binding. So there's no skin off anyone's nose for signing. Some will have signed because they know next to none of us will read it. Others because its all good in principle but beyond their means.
But hopefully many richer nations will have assented to this report because they feel that what is needed now, in the wake of an underwhelming COP 26, is a set of waymarks along a timeline that we can strive for and measure each other by.
I may feel differently in the morning but having just finished reading it right now this document feels like a good news climate story.
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This is quite a slap in the face from Brussels for Ireland's care for the environment. It comes from the Director in charge of environmental implementation at the Commission speaking at a recent online conference.
Thread ...
Journalist Murray Sayle wrote this piece about #BloodySunday just 5 days after the murders. It was spiked by Sunday Times editor Harold Evans, but fifty years on remains an astonishingly accurate account of what the Army was up to. lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v24/…
Perhaps it was telling that it took a man from a colonised country (Australia) to recognise the British Army account for the tissue of lies that it was. And it was an unforgivably supine decision of Evans to not run the piece. Sayle did the right thing and resigned
Evans decision to withhold Sayle's research from the Widgery Tribunal doubtless also made the whitewash easier, though there was the troubling question of protecting sources. How different the course of The Troubles might have been.
Four climate experts have just made statements to the Oireachtas Environment & Climate Action Committee which is considering Carbon Budgets. Some of their analysis really raises fundamental questions about whether we are getting this right at all. In no particular order ...
Ireland is subsidising fossil fuels to the tune of €2.4bn a year (CSO, 2019). At COP26 we agreed to start phasing those out, but for now Ireland plans only to produce a road map for cutting subsidies in 2024.
- Prof John Sweeney
Ireland is wealthy, educated, low population density, with great renewables potential, but according to SEAI only 11% of our energy is green. In other words 90% of it is unsustainable and we have failed to reduce our emissions since 1990.
- Prof Kevin Anderson @KevinClimate
What scientists are projecting will happen to the Thwaites Glacier in the next three to five years should be front page news everywhere today.
Short thread.
The Thwaites Glacier (roughly the size of Britain) is mostly held in place by a massive shelf of ice that slows its flow in to the sea.
That ice shelf is like a chair jammed under a door handle. But now it is beginning to slip allowing the door to open.
Warmer waters are effectively melting the ice from underneath as this @nytimes graphic illustrates.
This story sent me down a late night research rabbit hole wondering how quarantines were enforced during the Black Death. A lot of it is still the same five centuries later.
In Damascus at the start of the 8th century the Arab world had already come up with an embryonic form of hospital.
They then had the good sense to build entirely separate units for the treatment of leprosy.
14th century Venetians isolated sailors on an island in the lagoon.
They hit on thirty days to see if they displayed symptoms, but then upped it to the more biblically pleasing 40 days.