As we consider a heavily armored Russian advance in the east of @Ukraine, @VZaluzhnyi & @DefenceU continue to keep in mind the strategy of Quintus Fabius Maximus Verrucosus — “The Delayer” — who fought a war of attrition against #HannibalBarca in Ancient Rome 1/ @TheStudyofWar
As you are well aware, Fabius knew he couldn’t go head to head with Hannibal on the battlefield. There’s an argument to be made that even with armored reinforcements, playing against Russia on an open field of combat might not be the best strategy. 2/
Putin wants a mobile forces / tank battle on open plains. Use that to your advantage. Tempt him with one to lure his forces further East. Position them to threaten Crimea so he is forced to travel the distance. Set up a deterrent force in Kharkiv. Secure and rescue Mariupol. 3/
To do this, stage a tactical retreat from current positions in Donbas. Move them south. Send contingent to protect Dnipro Take your armor and reclaim Kherson and all the regions north of Crimea (threaten but don’t invade) up to Berdyans’k. 4/
Pull troops back from Mariupol. Pincer Berdyans’k w/combined forces. Prepare defenses. Then let the Russians come. 5/ #SlavaUkrainii
Obviously, I’m not there, not military & no plan survives 1st contact. But I was ranked 2nd in the world out of 90,000 players on a strategy game 🤓. 6/
MAIN POINT: you’re crushing the asymmetric warfare. Don’t give it up just because you get armor. Use the armor to tempt Russia right where you want them. Stay thirsty my friends. 7/7
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