The reason why neo-nazis are fighting on both sides in Russia-Ukraine war is that it is the corporate ideology of mercenaries, a cult of war which they promote because war is their business. Lobbyists and spin doctors servicing their employers worked hard to make this war happen.
They tend to be quite ambivalent as to which side to fight as in the case of Aleksey “Fritz” Milchakov, the commander of Rusich, a properly neo-nazi part of Wagner. His best friend Roman “Zukhel” Zheleznov joined Azov and they remained friends thereafter.
The reason why a majority of Russian neo-nazis (as opposed to irredentist and imperialist nationalists) supported Ukraine in 2014 was Putin’s clampdown on the far right in the aftermath of Bolotnaya protests. For them, the choice was between Ukraine and lengthy prison sentences.
Illustrative of this is the story of two most prominent Russian neo-nazi figures. Sergey “Malyuta” Korotkikh fled to Ukraine and became the head of reconnaissance in Azov, then a battalion. He later grew into the “wallet” and the public face of Azov movement.
His best friend Maksim “Tesak” Martsinkevich was arrested and died in suspicious circumstances in a Russian prison. His lawyers said that he was badly tortured, mutilated. Malyuta is in the centre, Tesak on the right in this pic from better times.
Korotkikh and Martsinkevich were together, renting a house in Cuba, when local security services arrested them both on Russian warrant in January 2014. Tesak was deported to Russia. Malyuta was released and escaped to Ukraine where he is now known as Botsman.
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Railway map of northeastern Ukraine is instructive when it comes to expected Russia offensive. Troops and hardware arrive by rail from Valuyki in Russia to Kupiansk in Ukraine in order to reinforce Russian troops fighting south of Izyum.>>>
Meanwhile, the Russians are bombarding Lozova, a hub on the main supply line connecting Ukraine’s Donbas strongholds, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk with the rest of the country. Russian forces pouring out of Izyum are also trying to take Barvenkove, a station on Lozova-Sloviansk line.
Once Barvenkovo is taken, Ukrainian forces in Donbas will lose their lifeline.
Stations on the other line, going from Dnipro to Pokrovsk (marked as Krasnoarmeysk on this old map) is being constantly pounded by Russian missiles. Not sure how functional it is now.
The notorious Rusich group (St Petersburg neo-nazis affiliated with Wagner) says it is now deployed in Ukraine. Its commander Aleksey “Fritz” Milchakov has been wounded, so his friend Yan “Slavyan” Petrovsky is now in charge.
…and I have a hunch as to the origins of Z and V.
Back in 2014, Milchakov spent some time choosing which side to join - Russia or Ukraine. He visited Kiev during Maidan revolution. His best friend Roman “Zukhel” Zheleznov joined Azov, but Fritz eventually chose to stay in Russia.
In 2015, Milchakov appeared in a memorable debate on Azov radio about which side a Russian nationalist should be on this war. His opponent was Denis Vikhorev of the Azov-linked Russian Centre in Kiev.
An attack on Kherson/Mykolayiv would help Russia solve the water issue in the occupied Crimea and create another hot spot that would distract Ukrainian forces and international attention from Donbas the way Donbas shielded Crimea.
But of course the whole point of keeping a large force and making menacing moves all around Ukraine is meant to keep Kiev guessing where, when and if.
Putin said yesterday that Russia has recognized the “republics” within the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, but he hopes that territorial disputes will be solved in dialogue with Kiev.
Translation: Russia will try to force a worst version of Minsk upon Ukraine.
Since Ukraine clearly said it is not going to compromise on anything that matters for Putin, the likelihood of a battle for Mariupol, Kramatorsk, Sloviansk is fairly high.
Can the war spill out of Donetsk and Luhansk regions? Yes, for two reasons - military and political>>>
Another front (as in striking along the Crimea highway, west of Kharkiv), would help to distract or encircle Ukrainian forces on Donbas frontline.
Another active conflict complete with another “people’s republic” could buffer Donbas politically the way Donbas buffers Crimea.