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Apr 8 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
in his latest op-ed for @TheEconomist, john mearsheimer argues that the west – not russia – is responsible for the war in ukraine.

that’s not how i see it.

my response in this week’s @gzeromedia #TheRedPen.

read the original article -> economist.com/by-invitation/…
i broke out #TheRedPen with @EurasiaGroup’s @WitlinZ and @ga_thomps to explain why vladimir putin alone bears responsibility.

on the west – and america – being responsible… Image
on ignoring moscow’s red line and bringing ukraine closer to the west…

#TheRedPen Image
on the war in ukraine having little to do with putin’s imperial ambitions…

#TheRedPen Image
on the cost of war in ukraine…
no argument there.

#TheRedPen Image

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More from @ianbremmer

ian bremmer Profile picture
Mar 15
“we realize ukraine will not become a member of nato. we understand this, we are adequate people."

- president zelensky

wish he had said this a month ago

before the invasion, publicly and privately, zelensky did not take the russian threat as seriously as he should have

does not take away anything from zelensky’s extraordinary leadership and bravery over the last three weeks
us and several nato allies encouraged zelensky to back away from nato, knowing they couldn’t publicly rescind an invitation (even though membership wasn’t in the cards).
Read 4 tweets
ian bremmer Profile picture
Mar 15
extraordinary move would be for pms of poland, czech rep, and slovenia to stay in kyiv

there’s no way russia risks direct attack on leaders of 3 nato states
russia claims they have no goal to overthrow zelensky govt and is not targeting civilians.

both are false, but that’s the official russian position. nato leaders staying in kyiv in no way challenges it.
a huge boost for zelensky. would attract others to kyiv in solidarity. us ambassador could return.

intent would be to force a ceasefire, at least on the capital.
Read 4 tweets
ian bremmer Profile picture
Mar 2
eg internal cliff notes from state of the union.

First half was pretty good. Biden was energetic. Bipartisan. Talked about freedom and Ukraine. Banning Russia planes. Sort of skipped over the part where he asked Americans to sacrifice?

1/3
Then a pivot to BIF which was fine. Then a long Democratic campaign rally, boring and just a list of things he's never going to sign into law. Inflation bad. Intel CEO! COMPETES. Big business price gouges bad. A laughable claim on the deficit. Federal reserve shout out!

2/3
Now a Covid section. Fine. He talked super fast. New tests. No shutdowns. Now crime. Protect people, more police. Fund the police. FUND the police. Control guns. Voting rights. Disclose shout out! Boring. SCOTUS. Immigration reform. Boring. Abortion. Drugs. Mental health.

3/4
Read 5 tweets
ian bremmer Profile picture
Jan 4
China’s COVID policy was the most effective in the world (among large govts) in 2020.

It’s going to be the worst performing this year.
The pandemic has changed dramatically. More transmissible, less lethal, vaccines/boosters, therapeutics.

But China’s Zero COVID policy remains the same.
China today:

Low antibodies among citizens (very few of whom have gotten COVID), vaccines that don’t work well w Omicron, and no approvals for foreign m-RNA vaccines.

Hard to imagine Xi backing off from zero COVID. But increasingly painful to implement.
Read 5 tweets
ian bremmer Profile picture
Nov 29, 2021
Everything you wanted to know about inflation but were afraid to ask: A thread🧵[1/19]
Inflation in the US was 6.2% over the past year. This is the fastest pace in three decades. [2/19]
Part of this is energy and food prices, which rose 30% globally due to the strong recovery from the pandemic and supply disruptions. This has nothing to do with US policies—it is a global phenomenon. [3/19]
Read 20 tweets
ian bremmer Profile picture
Nov 5, 2021
In an op-ed for @WSJ, @BjornLomborg argues that adapting to climate change will dramatically reduce its cost.

But adapting is not a comprehensive solution.

My response in this week’s @gzeromedia #TheRedPen.

Read the original article -> wsj.com/articles/clima…
@WSJ @BjornLomborg @gzeromedia I broke out #TheRedPen to explain why you can’t adapt your way out of climate change.

On dramatically reducing the cost of climate change…
(1/5) Image
On moving agricultural production…
#TheRedPen (2/5) Image
Read 6 tweets

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