Thread by @GeringTuvia

"The popular narrative in China over the last few years of a 'rising East and declining West' has been largely debunked" - Tsinghua's Sun Zhe, Director of the Center for US-China Relations, writes that the Ukraine War will have at least four direct effects on the world order.
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First, Sun writes that contrary to Fareed Zakaria's thesis in The Post-American World (2009), developing countries are not 'rising together' to challenge the current order:"To put it another way, the few countries that have risen to prominence have not only failed to embark on.2/

"a sustainable development path, but countries like Russia, South Africa, and Brazil have seen their power decline in recent years, and developing countries' willingness to collaborate collectively has diminished.
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Sun also argues that the war will lead to the intensification of economic decoupling, more "peace deficit globally" and a further decline in the UN's role.
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In contrast, China and the US will play a larger role as Russia's influence on the world stage declines, to the point where it will be eliminated from the great power competition.
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Link: aisixiang.com/data/132611.ht…

Kind readers pointed out that Prof. Sun is now affiliated with Columbia's SIPA sipa.columbia.edu/faculty-resear…