One of the most pivotal components of my trading is mapping out key levels of support and resistance prior to each trading session.
Let's get right into it.
(1/13) A quick disclaimer... the beginning of this thread is conceptually beginner level and will get more advanced as we go on.
(2/13) The big picture of my trading style along with many, if not most others, is identifying key levels of support and resistance. Whether it be:
Macro/Micro
Premarket
Intraday
Previous day High/Low Open/Close
5m/30m/hourly/daily time frame
(3/13) Support and Resistance
S/R levels are formed when a stock continuously touches a price and is unable to break it.
Support: When this occurs to the downside
Resistance: When this occurs to the upside
(4/13) Here's a $DIS daily chart from January of this year with support (168.60) and resistance (187.80) mapped out.
If you pull up a daily chart for any stock you should be able to draw horizontal lines where you can see key levels being respected.
(5/13) Here's another screenshot where we can see how these levels were formed.
(6/13) I am looking to see and anticipate violent moves with respect to price action off of these levels. As you can see in the previous picture once we broke through the 168 support level,e stock made a violent move to the downside finally getting a bounce at 141.
(7/13) My personal favorite time frames to chart my key levels is the 30m and hourly time frame.
I tend to see that the longer the time frame the more validity the level has and it also just works best for me.
(8/13) What am I looking for?
I want to see previous support turn to new resistance and previous resistance to turn to new support.
What exactly do I mean by that?
(9/13) This is an $AMD 30m chart from a few weeks ago. March 21st resistance was charted and confirmed of rejections on the 22nd and 23rd as seen below. Once we ripped through this resistance level I am looking to see it act as new support which would further validate the level.
(10/13) Here's another example of previous resistance turning to new support. Once a previous resistance/support level is broken, I will look for a bounce/rejection off that level.
$NVDA March 22nd 272.40 resistance --> to new support on the 25th after breaking through the level
(11/13) 4 levels I chart every day before the trading session:
Premarket High
Premarket Low
Yesterdays High
Yesterdays Low
(12/13) $QQQ 5m chart from last week - April 7th LOD = 348.69. April 8th LOD = 358.62.
On April 8th after gapping down and knifing at open $QQQ found support 7 cents off of the previous day's low.
I tend to see bounces/rejections off of the previous day's high and lows.
(13/13) Later this week I will get into the more advanced side of charting levels on different time frames with respect to candle wicks & bodies. Tonight was an overview introduction of what I like to do. I hope you enjoyed, lmk what you think, & stay tuned for the next one.π
In honor of the New Year commencing, here is a tweet of my favorite threads I posted in 2022. Everything from options basics to charting & candlesticks to @unusual_whales flow, and much more. I hope this helps benefit your 2023 trading!
Although candlestick patterns don't tell the whole story, they can be a great tool to identify short-long term reversals in price action. Knowledge is power! Let's get into it.
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Here are a few of the basic candlesticks patterns everyone should be familiar with & will go further in-depth in this thread.
A+ Setups
An A+ setup to me might be different than what an A+ setup is to you. I like to have 3-4 pieces of conviction to deem something as A+. Examples include:
- Candlestick Patterns
- Charting Patterns
- Supply/Demand Breaks
- Gap Fill Strat/Peaky Strat/Golden Goose etc.
Building a broad watchlist of stocks that I'm interested in trading is a critical part of my preperation for the day. Here's a thread on how I create my watchlist.
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A watchlist is a small to medium list of stocks that align with your guidelines for solid trading setups.
Before the market opens I like to have at least 2-3 tickers with potential setups I will be watching throughout the day.
Pretty simple analysis in my eyes. Going to break it down with a few charts across a few different timeframes.
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Head & Shoulders - Daily Time Frame
Once the 100-102 neckline was broken it was game over. Also, very nice BHG setup on the retest of that neckline November 15th
Rounding Top into Head & Shoulders - Weekly Time Frame
Could've seen this move coming hence the rounding top posted on the weekly time frame. Once the 144 neckline was broken it was a clear move to 100 measured move count.
H&S Peak formed at the previous rounding top neckline
Before placing a trade I always have ideas about my sizing, entries/exits, stop levels & more. By formulating a risk management plan I decrease my risk of losing unnecessary amounts of capital and increase my chances of profitability.
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Risk = the chance that an investment's actual gains will differ from an expected outcome or return.
I like to look at risk as the amount of money you could lose on a trade. If you predetermine how much you are willing to lose, you are able to measure what "loss" means to you.
Determining a Stop Loss:
1. Max pain per trade (Dollar Figure) 2. Key level/area on the chart
Here's a thread on critical trading tactic that I take very seriously. Without consistent uniform sizing, I have noticed, successful trading becomes harder. It's important to come up with a position sizing plan that works for you.
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Position sizing refers to the guide that dictates how much working capital you allocate on a single trade.
Key components to consider:
- Risk Tolerance
- Account Size
- Type of Trade
- Trading Goals
Risk Per Trade:
Everyone is different. Everyone's goals are different. The first question I like to ask myself is how much money am I willing to risk per trade.
I usually choose one or two options: 1. Fixed Amount 2. Percentage of Portfolio