Rising office vacancy rates mean building owners may soon have to think about expensive redevelopments ⁦@WSJ#CMBS wsj.com/articles/home-…
The av­er­age of­fice va­cancy rate will hit an al­most three-decade high of 17% in the U.S. in 2022, ac­cord­ing to CBRE es­ti­mates. That com­pares with around 7% in Eu­rope.
Idle of­fices may end up be­ing converted into other uses where supply is tight, such as ware­hous­ing or homes. Lo­gis­tics va­cancy rates in both the U.S. and Eu­rope fell be­low 4% last year, and house prices soared dur­ing the pan­demic.
How­ever, val­u­a­tions would have to fall fur­ther to make the con­ver­sion costs worth­while. Many of­fices need to be torn down and com­pletely re­built for the very dif­fer­ent re­quire­ments of indus­trial or res­i­den­tial prop­erty.

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