Last week, my group closed on a 12 acre short-term rental / Airbnb property in Woodstock, NH - this deal is a culmination of 2.5 years of STR learnings.
🧵on the thesis, location, value add & guest experience plan, financing, partnership structure, & preview of what’s next.
1/ Property
-Currently 3 BD, 2.5 BA, 3100 sq ft
-Converting to 6 BD, 4.5 BA, 3700 sq ft
-12 acres, mountain views, private pond, & river frontage
-Deck, covered hot tub, and fire pit
-No zoning in Woodstock so no reg risk
Upfront cash - majority coming from capital partner
Control - sponsor has day-to-day control but capital partner has oversight, can remove us for underperformance, and has final say over sale.
8/ Fees & Underwriting
Fees: small acquisition fee, 50-60% discount on market management fee, premium on cash flow to sponsor.
Sharing for informational purposes only***
9/ Comps
Once renovations are complete, this property will be superior to all of the best performing comparable properties in the market .
10/ Risks
-Operations: this is essentially a boutique resort - massive learning curve
-Revenue: the comps are there but still feels bold to put yourself in top 1%
-Overpaying: we bought at least 46% discount to replacement cost but recent appreciation feels top of market-ish
11/ Exit strategy
We put this deal together for the possibility of an exit to institutional capital in mind.
Will it be possible and how exactly will it work (ie what will the exit cap rate be)? Not sure - time will tell.
-Market: median STR revenue ~$40-60k, occupancy >65%, <3 hours of major MSA, <30 minutes of major attractions
-Property: >2 acres, 3 BR, 2 BA, 1500 sq ft with ability to expand, views, water access, some unique factor
-Regulatory compliance
Most importantly, my Pothos Capital partners - Ali Kothari (back-office), Jesse Prato (acquisitions), Johnny Fayad (guest experience) - who make this thing go (I just tweet)
In 2021, my biggest realization was that the best opportunity* for cash flow in Airbnbs / STR real estate atm is not necessarily in buying the RE but selling the shovels.
Here is why 🧵
*Caveat: for more entry level folks without a ton of capital. Not ppl like @imrichardfertig
1. The first is quite obvious - STRs are exploding and is the asset class with largest opportunity for cap rate compression.
COVID, remote work, and Airbnb have permanently changed the game.
Do you want to partner with or eventually sell your short-term rental / Airbnb real estate portfolio to an institutional investor?
Here is an 8 step process for how to think about underwriting & executing an STR deal that be attractive to institutional investors 🧵
Step 1: calculate your all-in initial basis - purchase + any renovations + furniture.
Let's say you are buying a place for 400k, doing 80k in renovations, and spending 20k on furniture. Your all-in basis will be $500k.
Step 2: what is your initial target yield on cost? This is your net operating income (gross revenue less operating expenses excluding debt costs & cap-ex) / all-in costs calc'ed in step 1.
Let's say you want to hit a 10% initial yield on costs.