Steve Saideman Profile picture
Apr 13 4 tweets 3 min read
Capstone cookies delivered
Our first panel is getting ready:Danielle Cherpako, Zahra Bahrami, and Prithipaul covering sanctions, Afghanistan, and climate. #CDSNCapstone2022
First panel rocked us with their insights and our second panel with @shannonhopenash @JohannaMasse and Caroline Batka on terrorism, gender in the CAF, and integration of private military contractors starts in a couple of minutes #CDSNCapstone2022
Super proud of our Capstone Laureates! #CDSNCapstone2022

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More from @smsaideman

Feb 3
I started out as a scholar of the international relations of ethnic politics where one of the key drivers of stuff was outbidding--relatively homogeneous parties competing to be the best reps of a particular group, leading to ever more extreme policy stances.
1/x
That lens proved most useful to understand why Trump succeeded within the GOP saideman.blogspot.com/2015/12/why-do…
He could claim to be the best white supremacist in 2016. Maybe most Republicans didn't want that, but the candidates feared losing that part of their base to him 2/x
They pandered to their far right, hoping that Trump would stumble, they didn't confront him head on and certainly not over his racism, xenophobia, and the like.

The GOP even voted for an Attorney General who was too racist in the 1980s to be a federal judge (Sessions) 3/x
Read 12 tweets
Aug 12, 2021
I haven't been following Afghanistan as closely the past few years, but the events of the past few months are political, not military. It is not about training failures, but failure to build a government people have confidence in.

Building one is really damned hard to do.
There are legit concerns about what was sacrificed and for what, what will happen to the Afghans, but expecting the US to stay there forever was unrealistic as well.

Would this collapse not have happened if the US left next year or the year after?
Not sure it ever was possible but the big mistakes in the first year or two, including the Iraq distraction, forever ruled this place's destiny.

As opposed to the Graveyard of Empire bullshit.
Read 4 tweets
May 15, 2021
Even if the claim is true:
a) if Hamas is luring you into attacking the media, why fall into their trap?
b) I know proportionately is out the window, but damn
c) one does not win a counter-insurgency campaign by creating more martyrs and surrendering any legitimacy.
I get it--the Israelis think
a) most of the world is against us so screw it (which is a self-fulfilling prophecy
b) we aren't fighting a COIN campaign, but just have to hammer hard when we get hit.

How does that end? It never does.
One of the questions I had when I went to Israel two years ago was how could Netanyahu be buddies with anti-semites like Viktor Orban. The answer I got was: all the Europeans are anti-semites, so might as well hang with the right-wings.

Lovely.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 11, 2021
I am late to today's #OttawaConference as I had class and now I can't seem to get in. Sorry to miss @sekreps and @SheenaGreitens. Hopefully I will be able to get into the event for @MercedesGlobal 's panel.
@sekreps @SheenaGreitens @MercedesGlobal Glad to get access and see @sekreps argue against fighting the last war, that we should not apply old lessons. And be wary of giving private sector much of the responsibility to deal with tech threats.
#OttawaConference day 2 2/x
@sekreps @SheenaGreitens @MercedesGlobal SPNET's Kash Khorasani goes next and presents a lot of info that I can't summarize quickly here (I am still in post-class zoom fog).

#OttawaConference 3/x
Read 58 tweets
Mar 11, 2021
Last year at this time, I was at Billy Bishop Airport, glowing from the success of the first CDSN Capstone and then hearing every sniffle and cough in the small airport. the sense of impending doom had changed to the sound of a wave crashing in the beach.
1/x
I called my wife and told her to stock up on food (wasn't thinking tp due to our costco stash) as it was unlikely that we were going to go to Hawaii to the ISA meeting in the weeks to come 2/x
I got home and we talked and started revising plans amid news about Tom Hanks and then the NBA. Somehow, the WHO declaring pandemic didn't resonate as much.

That was my last trip. And we pretty much haven't done anything social since then. Distancing all the way 3/x
Read 7 tweets
Mar 10, 2021
In between sessions, I guest lectured in @WAndyKnight1 's global governance class to talk NATO stuff. The sharp student asked a lot of great questions. Nice to have them push me to think about stuff.
@WAndyKnight1 Hyten talks about the need for relationships.... once again military folks sounding like Oprah, but the dark side is: better to fight on someone else's territory

#OttawaConference 29/x
@WAndyKnight1 Hyten talks about China's weapons programs as threat to US, inferring that they are up to something.
BUT to be fair, Security Dilemma--maybe China wants a Triad to provide itself some security?

Oh my, what has happened on Wuhan? this has taken a turn

#OttawaConference 30/x
Read 12 tweets

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