The results of the @IpsosIreland @IrishTimes poll on neutrality will seem baffling to many outside Ireland. A short thread.
The headline figure is that 66% of Iriah people support Ireland’s policy of military neutrality.
Correspondingly, 55% worry that Ireland could be dragged into a war, so it is important to stay neutral on Russian aggression against Ukraine.
Set against these figures, however, 63% of people polled say they are in favour of Ireland joining NATO. How can the same poll suggest more or less the same percentage of the population in favour of both military neutrality AND joining NATO?
An overwhelming 78% of those polled say they are in favour of Ireland joining a EU Common Defence Union. How does this square with the large commitment to military neutrality?
It is almost like people have no idea what these institutions and structures actually imply. @PatLeahyIT does not comment on the contradictions which the poll reveal.
To demonstrate the point, 78% believe Ireland should join a Common European Defence Fund. Yet 55% say that they don’t want Ireland to play a greater military role to defend the EU.
In short, there is a LOT of work to be done to explain to people what these commitments might actually mean, while also providing broader context on evolving European and international security issues.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with John O’Brennan

John O’Brennan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @JohnOBrennan2

Apr 13
So Ireland welcomes the Maktoum family with open arms and the UAE refuses to cooperate with us on bringing the Kinahan crime gang to account.
Why do we put up with this? Short thread. ImageImage
Sheikh Mohammed and his family established stud farms in Ireland decades ago. He and his family are feted by almost everybody in the horse racing and breeding industry. 2/
We court Dubai’s ruling family, despite the U.K. courts finding that their ruler kidnapped his daughters and threatened his ex wife.
3/
Dubai's Sheikh Mohammed abducted daughters and threatened wife - UK court bbc.co.uk/news/world-mid…
Read 7 tweets
Oct 12, 2021
A short comment on the speech by @DavidGHFrost in Lisbon. It is full of half truths, untruths and an extraordinary re-writing of recent history. It is almost like he is asking his audience to forget what happened in late 2019 and late 2020. 1/
politico.eu/article/david-…
Lord Frost suggests “there is no threat to the single market from what we are proposing”. In fact, what HMG is proposing to run a coach and four through the EU’s Single Market rules, implying a special status for the UK as a not quite third country. 2/
It was precisely because of the multiple threats to the Single Market that the EU insisted in 2016 on a specific sequencing of talks, with the withdrawal agreement to come before the TCA. The EU is stretching its threshold of SM tolerance to the limit with new NIP proposals. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Mar 31, 2020
Yesterday, Hungary again became a dictatorship.

How does the European Commission and President @vonderleyen respond? With the most tepid press release possible, one that doesn’t even mention Hungary, or Viktor Orban.
A short thread on why this matters. /
ec.europa.eu/commission/pre…
Although Hungary has been the subject of an Art 7 procedure, this had nothing to do with the Commission. Rather it was Judith Sargentini + @Europarl_EN who pushed for action against Hungary, outlining (in Sept 2018) "a systemic threat" to democracy. 2/
theguardian.com/world/2018/sep…
From the moment Orban came back to power in 2010, his approach was one of 'salami slicing' of Hungary's pluralist institutions and stringing Brussels along. The European Commission and the European Council stood by, year after year and did virtually nothing. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Jan 31, 2020
Anybody interested in international relations should read the diaries of Ivan Maisky, Soviet Ambassador to the Court of St. James’s, 1932-43. They seem particularly relevant again as the UK exits the EU today. (A short thread) 1/
Despite the vast ideological gap between Maisky & his British interlocutors, he was a superlative diplomat & managed to pull off an unbelievable balancing act in the 1930s. He played roulette with Stalin’s purges and threw all his energy into developing a UK-USSR-FR alliance. 2/
Maisky could see the existential threat that was Nazi Germany and did everything possible to bring London and Moscow together. The current of appeasement made his job vastly more difficult. But he persevered. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Nov 20, 2019
A short thread about the Conservative party’s move into the world of disinformation and fake news. Dominic Raab says people "couldn't give a toss" about this. 1/
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
Last night we saw one of the oldest political parties in the world shamelessly adopt tactics employed by Russian ‘political technologists’ & other warriors of disinformation. It was a deliberate effort to weaponize independent fact checking as part of the Tory election armoury. 2
@CCHQPress was turned into a version of St. Petersburg’s notorious Internet Research Agency, designed to fool the gullible into believing that it was a neutral arbiter of empirical research, endeavouring to bring truth to a highly polarised electoral environment. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Nov 9, 2019
I’ve spent most of today reading, re-reading and thinking about THAT Economist interview with President Macron. Some observations. 1/
Macron uses phrases over and over again which suggest he is a familiar combination of Metternichian Realist and traditional French imperialist. Anybody who still thinks of him as the embodiment of EU federalism, I’m sorry.
You’ve been horribly missold. 2/
Macron is indistinguishable from every other leader of the Fifth Republic. Sustaining and advancing (and of course over-estimating) French power and global reach is never far from the rhetorical surface.
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(