Another study finds school reopening made no difference to Covid hospitalisations, this time in the USA. reachcentered.org/uploads/techni…
Another study finds schools closing/reopening made no difference to Covid spread, this time in Croatia. sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Another study finds one-year long school closures (including 4 months of strict lockdown) made no difference to Covid spread, this time in Argentina. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Japan has reported its highest number of daily cases. So what is the government proposing to tackle this? Two things: more jabs & more tests. 🧵 www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/ne…
One problem with jabbing into a wave is that vaccine effectiveness in the first two weeks is, er, less than 95% according to the government’s own data. guygin.substack.com/p/wait-two-wee…
And although the Japanese population’s low BMI has saved it from the worst of Covid, the same can’t be said for mRNA 💉. guygin.substack.com/p/post-vaccine…
🧵The Japanese govt semi-admits its data crimes. Below is an age (歳) breakdown of cases per 100k unvaxed (未接種), 2-vaxed (2回接種済み), & 3-vaxed (3回接種済み) during 4-10 Apr. See how much higher the unvaxed rates are? 1/4
But this is the data for 25 Apr-1 May. Now the unvaxed have case rates similar to or than the 2-vaxed in various age groups. So how did the unvaxed become so much less disease-ridden in just 2 weeks🤔?
Simple. The text at the bottom says, ‘In calculations up to now, people without vaccination history input were categorised as vaccinated, but from this time onward, they will be categorised as “unclear status”.’ 3/4
In case you see people sharing this article, be aware that the researcher (Hiroshi Nishiura) is the Japanese Neil Ferguson with a long track-record of being ridiculously wrong. For details, see this profile. guygin.substack.com/p/japans-top-m…
Nishiura is most famous in Japan for predicting that if the government did nothing in spring 2020, 850,000 people would need mechanical ventilation and 420,000 of them would die.
And here’s the cumulative data for Covid patients in Japan who required mechanical ventilation up to Feb 2022. As you can see, Nishiura’s projections were a bit unrealistic.
Despite finding “higher policy stringency was associated with higher mean psychological distress scores and lower life evaluations”, a recent study in The Lancet wrongly insists its results support Covid elimination strategies. thelancet.com/journals/lanpu…
The authors categorise 15 countries as pursuing either a mitigation (“countries that aimed to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission”) or elimination strategy (“countries that aimed to eliminate community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within their borders”)...
... and claim “Elimination strategies minimised transmission and deaths, while restricting mental health effects.”