@MalcolmNance @TrentTelenko As someone who has studied mechanized warfare in the 20th Century and participated in Desert Storm I’d like to comment on Russian moves to declare an all out war on Ukraine. We have by now heard that Tank Manufacturing in Russia has been suspended..
2-for a lack of key components due to Sanctions. They have to fight with what they have. We hear they have appx 15,000 tanks. Many in storage. How many are battle ready..well that answer looks to be answered and the answer is only about 25% of those. Most are of the T-72 type….
3-a model designed in the 1960’s. It has proven no match against modern MBTs (see Battle of Medina Ridge 1991). The Russians have lost appx 500plus tanks in 50 days of battle in Ukraine. We are now seeing older model T-72s moving into positions in the Donbas. Russia is prepping..
4-it’s citizens for a declaration of all out war. This has brought about a cause for concern as many speculate and envision mass Russians Armies pouring into Ukraine over the summer. My question is pouring in with what? BMP-1s and T-72As? Is the weight of sheer numbers …
5-going to break the Ukrainians? There are many who believe so but they are ignoring important facts. One is how are the Russians going to replace experienced tank crews. They won’t. The tankers will be amateurs going up against seasoned experienced troops with modern ATGMs and..
6-more modern equipment ie long range artillery that will be guided and corrected by drones. If you have ever been in a tank and had the experience of being the recipient of an artillery barrage you will know they green tankers will not hold unit cohesion. The Russian columns…
7-will surely abandon their attack objectives under an artillery assault. We’ve seen their more seasoned crews do it. The training and discipline to push through such a barrage just isn’t there. As long as the Ukrainians receive mobile modern artillery pieces and ammo resupply..
8-Russian attacks will continue to fail. Thousands of green troops traveling in aluminum BMP-1s will surely fair much worse than their tanker counterparts. Now the counter to this is that the Russians will use their superiority in artillery to batter Ukrainian artillery….
9-positions before an attack. The Ukrainians have and are receiving artillery that has a range advantage over Russian artillery batteries and the Russians have shown poor abilities to adjust fire even when using drones as spotters. Ukrainians have modern counter battery radars…
10-and have used them to great affect. As Russians lose equipment and experienced crews in their current small scale attacks time is on the side of the Ukrainian defenders. Time to train with even more sophisticated weapons systems that are being delivered and time to expand …
11-their defensive lines. Whether the Russians are even able to execute mass attacks in the Donbas is yet to be seen. Even if the Russians go to an all out war and raise armies of 100-200k what will they fight with? There is no way that Russians win this fight because they no..
12-longer have the factories to make the armored vehicles they need for modern mechanized warfare. As long as the Ukrainians hold during the next month a declaration of all out war by the Russians will only result in the mass casualties of there soon to be cannon fodder Army.
Should be that QUESTION looks to answered
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