0xChaos Profile picture
Apr 17 18 tweets 9 min read
@railgun_project is a unique #prifi project that is about to launch v1 imminently.

It's token is $rail on $eth chain. The market is starting to take notice (we knew it would) and I'll go into why 🧵

🔹 overview
🔹 analysis
🔹 thesis
🔹 models
🔹 resources
/ overview

First, catch up on $rail

@brettpalatiello had a great overview while also covering @railgun_project progress through q1

/ analysis

There have been a few good analysis on @railgun_project

One of my favs is from @BowTiedNightOwl who covers fundamentals, pros/cons & potential

(he has a great substack too that's worth subscribing to)

/ macro thesis

There are 3 pillars that I view as critical for 'crypto for masses' and most of my investments have been in these 3 areas. @railgun_project fits firmly in the 3rd bucket

🔹 decentralized stables
🔹 ux - simplified defi + gamefi
🔹 frictionless privacy <-- $rail
/ frictionless privacy

What does this mean? Current privacy solutions require you to jump through hoops. Bridging opens up risk vectors, complex mixers, do not support NFTs, etc

$rail allows you to interact natively with DeFi + NFTs, think 'incognito mode' 🧠
/ architecture

From a product architecture standpoint, it's designed to be middleware, offering businesses an SDK to integrate into existing workflows.

B2B integrations are high retention when done right. You see this in web2 with tools like stripe, salesforce, slack, etc
/ use-case possibilities

A few examples of possibilities that will likely be realities

🔹 wallets using incognito mode
🔹 mining/staking to wallet
🔹 DeFi offering 'privacy' native options
🔹 trading (institutional and retail)
🔹 nft privacy

All via $rail privacy SDK tools
/ investors

Apparently @BarrySilbert and his @DCGco took notice and investing $10m will be $RAIL's first and best customer.

Integrating $rail into internal workflows, while also using it and introducing counter-parties as well

/ thesis

So in $rail you have a scalable #prifi solution:

↔️ multi-chain support
💰income in non-native tkns (.25% deposits / withdrawals) scales
✅ interact with DeFi, NFTs normally
🧐 $10m+ from anon investor to be revealed. First and best customer

/ income models

$rail income will depend on weekly volume, stake ratio, fee rate, token count.

v1 launches soon, so in the med term, *if* it can capture $1b weekly volume (1% of DeFi vol), at it's current stake rate is 86% apr on $3.50 $rail. $22k annual on 10k tkn investment.
/ total addressable market

That's just tip of the iceberg though. The TAM for privacy is in the trillions, as most transactions in the future will likely be *private* by default vs *public* by default like it is now.

You don't want ppl knowing your net worth when buying coffee
/ product adjacencies

And the current v1 is just the base network layer for @railgun_project. If it does fulfill it's promise as the *privacy middleware* layer, we will likely see privacy solutions like swaps, accounting, and other apps built on top for further potential
/ resources

Hopefully this gives you a small view into @railgun_project . If you're intrigued, here are a few resources to do your own diligence

🔹 analytics
🔹 articles
🔹 community
/ analytics

A community analytics dashboard was built to visualize adoption and fees. Keep in mind we are still in beta and my models earlier are based on projections, not current.

dune.xyz/setninja/RL-WIP
/ community

The community is on their official discord and telegram, so best to engage there, but here is a shortlist of $rail community on CT

@railgun_project - official
@tsu_kareta - biz dev / janitor
@WesleyDunow - community
@crypto_condom - updates
@farmerdbrown - updates
/ sharing means caring

If you thought this was useful or interesting, would love a share of the original thread linked below. Privacy is for everyone 👇

/ TA community member

And how could I forget early $RAIL investor and resident TA guru @IrnCrypt

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More from @0xCha0s

Apr 15
An impressive roster of partners, a few thoughts on positioning, partners, and future governance.
/ pole position

Inclusion of TFL, Delphi, hashed, jump, Arrington show the biggest investors in @terra_money want to see governance work

Imo, it puts @retrogrademoney in pole position for #astrowars

When chatting with founding team, they are methodical & strategic 🧠
/ $btrfly @redactedcartel

In my discussions with @0xSami_ , he’s shown a knack for seeing where the hockey 🏒 is moving

🦋 🤝 🌖

We will see hidden hand on @terra_money, and redacted influence in investing & supporting terra projects grow.

This is bullish for $luna $ust
Read 7 tweets
Apr 4
@fraxfinance @terra_money 4pool. Hot takes from each camp - curve wars over? dai dies? wen 4pool?

I have a unique pov as I'm the intersection of each camp - curve OG, #lunatic, #fraximalist

🔹 overview of 4pool
🔹 $crv wars season 2
🔹 $cvx math games
🔹 4pool endgame

🧵👇
/ overview of 4pool

First, 4pool motivation from @samkazemian, @fraxfinance founder

🔹 $crv vision - 'savings account for defi'
🔹 $cvx role - prof money manager for @CurveFinance
🔹 4pool role - postive sum, not zero sum ethos

/ why 4pool

But it doesn't go into why 4pool?

That is actually a multi-billion dollar question. I foreshadowed $ust $frax partnership and the math behind it.

tldr - 3crv is inefficient to scale because of dai & removing will level playing field.

Read 21 tweets
Apr 2
Getting a lot of q’s on what is the play? Quick 🧵

🔹 $LUNA bullish, $UST peg and demand 📈
🔹 $FXS bullish, $FRAX demand 📈
🔹 $BTRFLY bullish, $UST to farm $ASTRO
🔹 $CVX 👑 maker - ULTRA bullish because top DAOs mentioned have 5%, and not all $CRV votes.
In a $CRV war, you need weapons.
$CVX has always been the play for liquidity battlefront 👇
Market tends to agree.

$ASTRO $FXS $BTRFLY

$CVX will catch up soon
Read 4 tweets
Apr 1
An on-going list of 🧵 I’ve written on projects & narratives.

I didn’t expect followers so 🙏, figured I’d organize.

In crypto since 2013, and VC tech industry since 2008 as a 3x founder and investor. I write from that POV.

Give me a follow if you enjoy or want to connect 👇
/ $LUNA

A #LUNAtic since early 2021. @terra_money is my highest conviction bet on my thesis around growth and utility of stable coins in crypto. With $UST as it’s core product, it’s the perfect blend of GTM strategy, product, design, team, community, investors.

Original 🧵👇
/ $CVX $CRV ecosystem

I started in DeFi in 2020 as a @CurveFinance OG. As my stablecoin thesis solidified, so did my CRV as DeFi liquidity center conviction.

@ConvexFinance is a levered bet on CRV. Stellar community, and pays out handsomely in yield. 💰

Latest post 👇
Read 9 tweets
Mar 29
$CVX Mega-🧵 and catalysts

🔹 overview
🔹 fundamentals
🔹 catalysts
🔹 community & tools
🔹 summary

I approach things from a product manager mentality because that is what I do, building VC-backed companies for a living.

Let’s dive in 👇
/1

Overview

I did a 90 min chat with @TaikiMaeda2 in early December, sharing with his community an overview of @ConvexFinance and my thoughts.

It assumes knowledge of $CRV so it’s more of a level 2 discussion.
/2

@ConvexFinance, abstractly, is a vertically integrated framework that makes veTKN models better

They do so with a 3 solutions or products

🔹 Boost utility for LPs
🔹 Liquid locking of veTKN
🔹 Incentive market for votes
Read 27 tweets
Mar 23
Interesting thought experiment. Would love to see a powerhouse partnership between @terra_money @fraxfinance

🧵 on below comment from @stablekwon 👇

$LUNA $UST
2/

@CurveFinance is a stable swap AMM and one of its core products is 3pool which is a combo of USDT USDC DAI since the early days
3/

@CurveFinance is not just cheap swaps, it’s critical function is as a “stability schelling point” serving as a peg stability manager of sorts as @samkazemian points out
Read 13 tweets

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