HOPE
These are dark times. But for different reasons for different people. In this doom & gloom I see 15 positives. Call me an eternal optimist. My perspective purely that of someone who wants to see civilian supremacy, democratic continuity & constitutionalism. So here goes 1/10
1) IK’s ouster has meant resounding PTI attack on role of Deep State (for wrong reasons - they want it to help) but that means a larger section of Pakistanis questioning Deep State
2) Deep State seems to be questioning its role & may likely stay neutral in next election 2/10
3) PTI made multiple blunders & now hiding behind international conspiracy narrative. Signs that narrative will be fully exposed. Will force it to hopefully rethink & have a real manifesto
4) A vocal & mobilized PTI puts pressure on PDM to perform. So far they 3/10
are making some standard mistakes. Still persisting with dynastic politics & also missing the woods by looking at trees. Early days. Pressure to learn quickly
5) PML (Q) diminished & is crumbling. Always an establishment & opportunistic party. So no tears for it
6) VONC
4/10
process was salvaged which means that a constitutional method of change of PM/Govt intact - all our history we’ve used unconstitutional ones
7) SC Order constitutionally correct. They safeguarded parliamentary process & undid illegal dissolution. Floor crossing was
5/10
anticipated in Order & would’ve been penalized had it happened.
8) SC steered clear of dark legacy of doctrine of necessity
9) Transition of Govts has taken place despite all kinds of illegal obstacles & mayhem. Though under pressure the constitutional framework holding
6/10
together.
10) Backlash against floor crossing means it will be more difficult in future - applicable rules will need to be looked at to curb dishonest floor crossing but allow conscientious dissent
11) PTI increasingly going in a fascist direction. In coming days there
7/10
will be more cases/exposes & its agitational politics will run out of steam somewhat. Will have to rationalize things
12) PDM could disintegrate if they don’t pull their act together, stay united & provide some governance & innovation. All pressure on them now to deliver 8/10
13) Obvious now that impossible to fully curtail speech thanks to social media, defiance by journalists/civil society & heightened public awareness. Up to party leaders to guide & groom followers.
14) Election Commission historically weak but has shown spine over past 2
9/10
years. It won’t be a pushover in next elections
15) J Faez Isa next in line as CJP & promises to be a staunch constitutionalist. Some other good judges to follow.
I know the many many challenges, caveats & downsides but imp also to recognize our evolution & not lose hope 10/10

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More from @DrOsamaSiddique

Mar 24
Is voting against your own party’s PM allowed? Does it involve a moral issue? Is it allowed but carries a cost? Imp questions taken up by SC but in an opaque fashion? Snr & much respected SC lawyer Abid Hasan Minto sahib writes an open letter to SC raising imp Qs about its 1/7 ImageImageImageImage
shutting out other imp stakeholders/interested parties in this matter of great public importance. It also raises questions as to whether a moral hazard attaches to such a vote. Related to these Qs is the imp question to my mind of whether the Vote of No Confidence mechanism 2/7 Image
has much value left if ruling party dissidents denied a vote or if cost of such a vote too high? Should it then even be part of the Constitution? It will be of relevance only in patently coalition situations. Also is it inconceivable that treasury members may lose faith in a 3/7
Read 8 tweets
Aug 2, 2021
This is how Institutions Decline and Fall.

(A Tragedy in 5 Paragraphs & 20 Sentences)

A Con Man applied for a faculty position at a well known local university. He said he had a Master’s degree but that he was enrolled in a prestigious university abroad for a PhD. He wasn’t 1/
special but the PhD enrollment tilted the balance & he was hired with the expectation that he would finish his doctorate in a year.

A few years passed & then some faculty pointed out that there was no news on his PhD & the university should check. The Con Man made excuses & 2/
successive admin heads & university leaders were lax, didn’t do their job & procrastinated. Meanwhile, the Con Man learnt to play the victim card, characterized any probing into his PhD as targeting & manipulated some students to agitate and politicize.

Finally one day one 3/
Read 11 tweets
Jul 28, 2021
A clarification for those who aren’t quite clear on concept of defense attorney. A just system of law aims to provide an able defense attorney to every accused as you are not guilty till proven to be & that too through a fair, transparent process. That’s what makes a system of 1/
justice based on due process of law actually just. We need due process because humankind has a long, terrible history of punishing the innocent, lynchings, inquisitions, kangaroo courts, one-sided trials & all kinds of travesties. Also because all cases not open & shut cases. 2/
At times culpability/guilt is hard to determine & ascribe. At times multiple people are guilty. At times there may be an illegal action but no guilty intent. At times law provides for fair mitigating circumstances, diminished responsibility and/or various legit defenses. Human 3/
Read 12 tweets
Mar 15, 2021
Bleeding 🩸 Heart ♥️ Alert: Just extricated my aged mother & aunt from the #ExpoCenter COVID vaccination 💉 experience as there was a much greater chance of getting run over by a wheel chair, suffocating or getting the virus 🦠 through the throng of disorganised people there 1/
The first few days were smooth because ruling party politicos & bureaucracy present & very few people came as rampant confusion on process. After registration, alerts as to date, location & also codes not received by many. So info through hearsay. We were registered at Health 2/
Dept on Birdwood Rd but told by many to stay away as they were in bad shape. Websites & info sources gave conflicting info. Then everyone started speaking of Expo Center & walk in facility. As a result everyone turned up today (even w/out registration). Turns out other places 3/
Read 11 tweets
Mar 13, 2021
As good a morning as any to read The Old Testament. Illuminating to visit in entirety these vast, ancient texts/their well known edicts. Remarkable how profoundly western lit/thought/art influenced. Every 4th phrase the title of a book, every 3rd a proverb, every scene a painting ImageImageImageImage
East of Eden - John Steinbeck. Genesis 4:16. Cain condemned to a lifetime of wandering after killing Abel and goes east of Eden to the Land of Nod.
Cities of the Plain. By Cormac McCarthy. Reference is to cities of Sodom and Gomorrah. Genesis 13:12
Read 5 tweets
Mar 12, 2021
From purely commonsensical standpoint the Senate rejection of votes ruling nonsensical (1) no separate box as such. It’s all one rectangle with name & some white space (2) Instructions don’t specify where in box to stamp - so can be anywhere (3) Footage that oral instructions 1/4
being given also vague & appear to allow stamping anywhere in the box (4) Even if stamp is on candidate name, intent of voter abundantly clear. No ambiguity who vote is for. Rejection of votes over technical & w/out basis. Could’ve designed better forms & been clearer that 2/4
except the white patch stamping anywhere in candidate rectangle not acceptable. This should be overturned & quickly. Of course if this is deliberate - though if I wanted to waste the vote I would do something much more problematic than stamping the candidate name - & under 3/4
Read 4 tweets

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