In the images of Moskva after the hit. The damage and the active fire seems to originate in the amidships of the ship where the chimney is located and two of the six AK-630s are located.
Some people suggest it is where the two missiles hit it.
If that is indeed the case, then the ship's survival would be slim to begin with.
For starters, directly below the chimney and the secondary radar mast is where the propulsion and electrical power machinery is located for the Slava-class.
In this highlighted image of the cross section, we can see the bow and aft powerplants (yellow) presumably for power generation, then the two gas turbine engines for cruise and high speed (orange).
But what about the red box? What is it?
It is called the Пост энергетики и живучести (ПЭЖ) or "Post of Energy and Survivability" (PEZH).
The purpose of the room is to manage the energy (both electrical and propulsion) and also acts as the Damage Control HQ for the ship.
(Left: PEZH of Project 1135 / Krivak).
PEZH's of Russian warships are typically located near the propulsion and power machineries which are placed at the amidships.
Left: Cesar Kunikov (Ropucha), Right: Uglich (Buyan-M)
My hypothesis is that the two Neptune AShM hit the amidships taking with it the propulsion, power compartments and disabling the power and damage control station room in the process.
Which makes fighting the fires harder to do with DCHQ out and power possibly out too.
Thanks to Vepr157 of the r/Submarines for confirming what the ПЭЖ stands for in Apalkov's book. It was a major key for the hypothesis to make sense.
To add, the Ukrainians would have known about the location of the PEZH of Moskva.
Its sistership that is laid up in Mykolaiv, Ukraina has the exact same internal layout. Even in its unserviceable state, they knew where the central command post for the damage control is.
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"Why the Osa didn't work on the missile?"
"They have a layered air defense. Why did the missile go through?"
First off, there are no defenses that are impenetrable.
Second, Osas are bad at intercepting and disabling subsonic, sea-skimming targets.
On April 16, 1987, an anti-air / missile interception exercise ended in disaster when Musson, a Nanuchka-class small missile boat got hit by an RM-15M target practice missile.
Musson used the same 'short-range' missile-based air defense system that Moskva uses, a 9K33 Osa. Visible in the image are the two arm launchers that are notable on the naval version of the Osa.
Musson tried to intercept the target missile. While sources vary, they either hit 2/
This is a screencap from a 10 minute webcam video of the fire in the Port of Berdyansk. Around the time where the fire in the Alligator-class LST is starting to ramp up with small explosions noted.
Notice the two LSTs leaving which is around the same time as this image is captured in this previous tweet of mine.
One has an active fire in progress on the top deck while the other has a small smoke coming near the bow.