Garvan Walshe Profile picture
Apr 21 16 tweets 6 min read
At the #presidentielles2022 debate last night Marine Le Pen showed a print-out of an old tweet.

My team at @article7news have been looking into Rassamblement National officials' tweets over the last few years...

There's a lot in there she wouldn't want us to see 🧵
2/ Let's start with ones on Ukraine. Here's Jean-Michael Cadenas, calling #Euromaidan a coup - on 24 February, as Russian paratroopers were trying to seize Hostomel airport
3/ And here is Thierry Mariani, an MEP from the RN, with the same Kremlin line
4/ They've held this position for a long time. Here's Andréa Kotarac, complaining that the Trump Administration (!) is too pro-Ukrainian and arming Ukraine too much
5/ It's not only Putin they like. Here's Jean-Paul Garraud, another MEP grateful that Marine Le Pen got Viktor Orbán's blessing.
6/ And who does Orbán not like, that's right, George Soros. Here's MEP Gilles Lebreton, cooking up a conspiracy with Soros, the UN (ONU in French) and *checks notes* Time magazine involving "American soft power agents"
8/ His colleague Catherine Griset can't get over the "globalist agenda" of the UN and NGOs. I suppose we should concede the point about the UN, whose purpose is to promote peace across the globe...
9/ Where media is controlled by "globalist billionaires, patrons of the majority of Western states", the @WHO and Council of Europe (funded by Gates and Soros of course). So says our friend Cadenas
10/ If "globalist billionaires" isn't a codeword, howe about "The metropolises are peopled by 'nomad' populations". No we haven't heard that kind of language before, certainly not from the European far right
11/11 Le Pen herself has shown a lot of campaign discipline but the true face of Rassamblement National shows through, and thanks to @article7news's semantic search technology, we've been able to unearth it extremely fast. Follow @article7news for much more.
12 We've found more, this time about RN officials' support for the banned extreme-right Géneration Identitaire (@julie_renbe's written a brilliant book about them). The organisation was banned for incitement to discrimination, hatred and violence. How did RN people react? 🧵
13 Here's a member of the RN National Bureau, saying he endorses Generation Identitaire and he'll never be part of the anti-racist "Generation Adama"
14 MEP Helen Laporte saying that if GI were banned, it would be impossible to criticise immigration. Funnily enough their proscription hasn't stopped her leader from running an anti-immigration presidential campaign.
15 Gauthier Bouchet, complaining about the sentences for GI members convicted of impersonating police officers on the Franco-Italian border in order to scare off immigrants
16 If we were in revolutionary times, Philippe Eymery, tells us, the government would have resorted to guillotine. Which is ironic, since it is Le Pen herself who suggested putting the death penalty to a referendum
17 Scratch the surface of the RN's campaign and you find the old extreme right, doing what it's always done. ENDS

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More from @garvanwalshe

Mar 9
The UK's Ukraine record is decidedly mixed.

Extremely good from the MoD, which understands the nature of Putin's strategic threat, sent weapons early enough to make some of a differences and is now apparently sending more. (gov.uk/government/new…) 1/
But it is terrible on two other areas:
- Sanctioning oligarchs
- Welcoming Ukrainian refugees

What do these two have in common? 2/
There's an Immigration and Borders Bill going through parliament at the moment. It was developed for a different, more anti-immigration time.

And there's an Economic Crime Bill, also full of carve-outs and exemptions.

Which department is in charge of those bills? 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 9
On 31 Jan I argued that the West had to shed its illusions about Russia.

How has it done so far. A SITREP. 🧵

foreignpolicy.com/2022/01/31/eur…
🇩🇪
Accepted need to rearm and send weapons to Ukraine

But still not reopening nuclear plants or avoiding imports of Russian gas

I could be wrong, but the SPD hasn't even expelled Schröder, have they?
🇬🇧
Sent weapons to Ukraine early and reinforced presence in E Europe NATO

But - oligarchs given time to move their assets to safety, refugee response has been appalling

UK stays committed to western alliance but hasn't used war to revisit strategic mistakes.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
Should the West impose full sanctions on Russia now, or hold them in reserve, as the Biden Administration and EU Commission appear to be suggesting?🧵
2/The argument for holding fire, and limiting sanctions to specific individuals or entities, empahsises sanctions as a deterrent. Once used, their deterrent effect is gone.
3/ If we impose all our sanctions now, what do we do if Russian forces extend beyond the line of control, or Putin escalates in some other way?
Read 13 tweets
Feb 21
There’s growing evidence of a lack of quality control in Russian operations, which isn’t unusual in long-running dictatorships.

Everyone’s scared of admitting to the boss that there’s a problem, so stuff gets swept under the carpet. 1/

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Autum…
Read 7 tweets
Oct 15, 2021
A confrontation between London and the EU over the Northern Ireland protocol carries grave risks for the unity of the UK, because views on Brexit are so much a matter of identity.

This thread explains why. ft.com/content/b5f7dd…
1/ The consequences of disruption to trade will be felt in the UK economically as inflation, shortages, real terms wage stagnation and weakness in the pound.

But who gets the blame depends on how people feel about Brexit.
2/ This #Article16Rising will play well in the “red wall” marginal seats that @Conservatives need for their majority, keep Johnson’s poll numbers high and give Brexit supporters a reason to rally around the
Read 10 tweets
Jun 10, 2021
On the day when a rare public rebuke of the UK by a visiting US president leads @thetimes pro-government commentators are wheeling out the excuses. But the reality is that British foreign policy has got into a mess.

A thread about why - and how to get out of it -
1/ UK foreign policy is in serious trouble. It is being undermined by attempts to wriggle out of the Northern Ireland protocol that the UK doesn’t have the power to execute. This is storing up serious trouble down the road.
2/ The justification for UK policy is that it the protocol was conceded under duress, and that the UK should try and improve the situation when the balance of power changes.
Read 20 tweets

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