This latest @UKLabour leaflet is getting traction on the doorstep, according to Labour MPs (some low tax Tory MPs admit that too, tho they are v irritated by it)
Update: The website FullFact says that the Labour leaflet is based on unreliable assumptions and fails to include benefits changes.
Which is a handy reminder of something that many people forget...
....which is that the most famous political advert of recent times was based on unreliable assumptions.
The IFS said the Tory ad was disingenuous as in fact 8/10 households wd be better off under the Labour 1992 shadow budget (only the top 5% were hit hard). Yet the ad worked.
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Just discovered that one of the Tory candidates in my ward in the local elections is....the guy in this photo in the red patterned braces lying on the ground, with a wine glass in hand.
The @GfK consumer confidence index plunged again this week. An ominous sign for any economy [and sitting govt] that relies on consumption.
But as @OliverDowden says Tory councils 'cost you less', it's precisely 'the cost of the Conservatives' nationally - through higher taxes/energy bills/prices - that is Labour's big local elections push.
Yes, voters do care about truth in politics. But on Partygate I suspect they're not interested in the minutiae of what @BorisJohnson said and when.
The most important fact is that he broke the laws he wrote and which he demanded others follow. Everything else is a detail.
That's why the Privileges Committee probe matters. Even if it finds he inadvertently misled Parliament, it keeps the focus on the law-breaking. And when multiple fines are confirmed, no amount of apologies/excuses will bury them.
It's Easter Saturday and after another unprecedented week in British politics, @theipaper Weekend is packed with exclusives, analysis and long reads.
Just £1.30 from your newsagent. Or subscribe online inews.co.uk/subscribe
Here's a taste.🧵
The inside story of the week that @BorisJohnson was found to have broken the Covid laws he wrote.
Lots of colour, intel and quotes from the PM's allies and critics alike.
The No10 defence if more fines come:
“If you’re caught speeding at 35mph four times, that doesn’t mean that you were speeding at 140mph. It doesn’t mean that you really endangered life because the cumulative effect of all your speeding in 30mph zones amounts to 140pmh, does it?”
The Wakefield by-election will indeed be a key test for Labour as much as the Tories.
But with no date yet set, it's the May 5 local elections that are @Keir_Starmer's next test. And it's places like Newcastle-under-Lyme that will be worth watching.
In fact, Staffordshire as a whole has seen a big shift from Labour.
Under Blair, Labour ran the county council. Now it has 4 seats.
Under Blair, Labour had six of the 12 Staffs MPs (all 3 Stoke, plus Cannock Chase, Tamworth, Newcastle-u-Lyme). Now it has none.
Stoke-on-Trent city council has gone from 2 Tory cllrs in 2011 to 22 today (and now runs it with a Tory majority for the first time in its history).
No Staffs CC or Stoke CC elxns in May. But Newcastle-under-Lyme council (went Tory control for 1st time ever recently) is all-out.