Olaf Scholz' lead advisor on Russia is Jens Plötner, who was the mastermind behind then-foreign minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier's disastrous Russia policy. That could explain why the disastrous policy is still in place. zeit.de/politik/deutsc…
Since Jens Plötner worked so close with Steinmeier on Russia one also have to ask what influence Steinmeier has on the current policy towards Russia. There is little hope for a change in German Russia policy as long as the SPD old timers are still in power.
Germany has been on the wrong page of history with regards to Russia for the last 20 years. For a moment I thought that Scholz would make it right and make sure Germany would do the right thing. That hope is now fading away.
Germany's reputation is already suffering badly due to its unwillingness to confront Russia in a meaningful way. If Germany continue on the current track there will be no way for Germany to save its reputation. Germany will again end up on the wrong side.
It's heartbreaking to see the German government act like this. This was a unique chance for Germany to once and for all show that it had learnt from history and could step forward as a solid defender of democracy and peace.
Watching the German government doubling down on a policy that has proven to be such an utter and disastrous failure leaves little room for hope. The only real option now is that the German opposition joins forces with the Greens and Liberals to oust Scholz from office.
German culpability for what Russia is doing now is well established. Steinmeier opposed sanctions after Russia attacked Georgia, Merkel agreed on NordStream II within a year after Russia attacked Ukraine and now Scholz is vetoing an oil and gas embargo against Russia.
No other country was so well positioned as Germany to stop Russia's imperial aggression but instead of dealing with the rise of evil Germany enabled it. There are so many well known examples of this it's not worth the time to list them all.
The most eager pro-Russia forces in the German governments over the last 20 years are still influential and SPD controls the chancellor's office in Berlin so there is little hope for change with the current government coalition.
Ukraine could have been spared the war of 2014 if Germany had acted stronger against Russia early on. Now Ukraine has many other solid allies and will, in my opinion, win the war against Russia even without a solid German response.
So the German government's actions will be more and more a German problem. Germany's reputation as an ally and defender of democracy will be in tatters, Germany will be politically isolated in the EU and NATO, Germany will not be trusted.
It's the task for the German people to set the direction of their country and to protect its standing and position in the world. From the outside it appears a very thankless task to bang ones head against the German concrete wall.
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Does the German government really want Ukraine to win the war?
The debate in Germany has now reached the level where the government is questioned about whether it supports Ukraine or Russia.
Some would say a return to the situation on February 23rd is a draw but in my opinion it's really a win for Russia as Russia could then prepare for another attack later on.
When criticizing Germany we should remember that it's really a small but powerful faction of the German Social Democratic Party that holds the German government back, it's not the German people.
Germany's President Steinmeier maintains ties to the Kremlin. Despite criticizing the Kremlin in public Steinmeier is still part of a tight knit network with close and personal ties to the Russian dictator.
As Gerhard Schröder's chief of staff and later as foreign minister in Merkel's government Frank Walter Steinmeier was one of key architects and main driver of the disastrous German-Russian strategic partnership.
It was most likely for a domestic audience that Steinmeier wanted to travel to Kyiv, he wanted to show his break with Russia was genuine. Obviously Zelenskyy saw a political risk with meeting a close supporter of the Kremlin, especially one without formal political powers.
It's hard to underestimate the size of the scandal that is ongoing in Germany now with regards to the government's Russia policy. Calling it the scandal of a century is not an overstatement, and it will haunt official Germany for a long time to come.
What is going on is that by not actively opposing Russia other than in words the German government is actually supporting Russia, because passivity is beneficial to Russia. Just as the Kremlin prefers silent citizens it prefers foreign governments to be silent.
It is absolutely mind blowing that especially Germany, with its own history of committing atrocities and later pledge that "never again" should such atrocities take place, is not opposing Russia in a meaningful way.
Sigmar Gabriel never spoke in a tone this condescending towards Russia. Having followed Steinmeier, Gabriel and the clique for some time it is clear to me Ukraine and Ukrainians are seen as equals by the old SPD guard that for so long has courted the throne in the Kremlin.
It's really painful to see, and embarrassing to write about, but there are tendencies among the older comrades in the SPD that are not entirely fitting in a modern democracy. I have very good reasons to become furious almost every time I see Steinmeier's or Gabriel's faces.
During the first few years after the war started in 2014 Steinmeier and Gabriel were foreign ministers. It was extremely hard to hear them speak about the war and how they never took any meaningful action against Russia.
What's holding Germany back from cutting its ties to Russia? My speculation is that there are currently four old men who are playing key parts in German Russia policy. Gerhard Schröder, Frank Walter Steinmeier, Sigmar Gabriel and Olaf Scholz.
What we do know is that all four has worked with each other and we also know that all four has been involved in Germany's strategic partnership with Russia.
My belief is that the older generation of German politicians fear war with Russia above almost everything else, and they have also been interested in the supposed riches of Russia, oil and gas being a prime example.
"What is true, however, is that Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, together with then-Chancellor Angela Merkel, did more than anyone else in Europe to support Ukraine." - Sigmar Gabriel, former minister of foreign affairs of Germany. spiegel.de/politik/deutsc…
I remember when Sigmar Gabriel was foreign minister. If there was ever somebody who was pro-Russia it was Sigmar Gabriel. politico.eu/article/german…
Gerhard Schröder, Frank Walter Steinmeier, Angela Merkel, Sigmar Gabriel - The Gang of Four who appeased and enabled Russia to the point where Russia felt it could start a war with anybody without any consequences.