Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Apr 27, 2022 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
I've already posted a few videos, often cropped and hard subbed on Twitter. And yet, it may be difficult to navigate through them or to verify their sources. Thus I created a Telegram channel where I will be posting them adding descriptions and links

t.me/galeev_visuals
So far I've only posted 10 videos there, but I'll be adding more. The ones I would recommend the most:

1. Interview with Russian Wagner Mercenary from Feb 26
2. Zhirinovsky speech on Jan 18 on the goals of Z-war
3. TV program on Zvezda channel
4. Sermon by Artemy Vladimirov
February 26, 2022. Wagner mercenary questions the experience that the Russian military got in Syria and predicts that Z-invasion of Ukraine won’t turn out to be a victorious march. He implies that circumstances have changed since 2014 and that the Ukrainian army has changed, too
January 18, 2022. Zhirinovsky’s speech on the future Z-war and its goals. Many of late Zhirinovsky's “hot takes” probably reflected the official position of Kremlin. Zhirinovsky, as a court jester, presented it in a “foolish” manner to test the ground on how they will be accepted
How Russian military are treated by their own higher-ups. TV host Alexey Gudoshnikov yells at a veteran who suggested a minute of silence for “our boys dying in Ukraine”. TV program Открытый эфир, channel Звезда. Notice that it's a channel of the Russian Ministry of Defence
Archpriest Artemy Vladimirov is reading a sermon on the Z-war and its goals. That sermon doesn't necessarily represent the position of the Kremlin but probably reflects the feelings of the Russian nationalist masses and, broadly speaking, the Russian imperialist ideology
Russia appropriated foreign planes leased to Russian air companies. Сompanies ask Minister of transport Savelyev if they'll be ever able to do maintenance abroad. "No, we won't, because we confiscated the other's property". Russia gonna have huge transport problems very soon
Police launched an operation to arrest a sugar dealer. Undercover cops videotaped how they bought a 50 kgs sugar sack "at the above market price" and he openly told he can bring more
Russian TikTok video. This is apparently a truck driver who bought some snacks for his 1000 km trip and is shocked by skyrocketing food prices
Maria Zakharova, the spokesperson of the Russian Foreign Ministry points out to the cultural roots of this war. Ukrainians tried to appropriate the exclusive rights on borsch, denying it to Russians and wouldn't compromise. Such Nazism made the war inevitable
Dialogue between Putin and Naryshkin, the chief of Foreign Intelligence Service on what to do in Ukraine. Counterintuitively, Putin's regime is way more personalist than the Soviet one. Politburo debated on policy decisions, while Putin's henchmen are not allowed to question him
On the Day 13 of the Special Operation Russian TV propagandist Solovyov and military expert Kedmi had a pretty depressive discussion on the course of this war. Solovyov argued that this war can't meet the set goals, because it will lead to the destruction of Russia itself
Russian Deputy Minister of Defence Yevkyrov decorated a wounded soldier who lost his leg and wishes him to "get back to his feet again"
A glimpse into the popular Z-mindset. It's not only about Putin or his personal goals, it's about a certain culture, tradition, system of values. Z-war is systemic rather than accidental and the logic that stands behind it is well-rooted in the Russian imperial culture
1991. Sobchak, mayor of St Petersburg and boss of Putin discusses the Ukrainian problem. Sobchak was a well-known liberal and a founder of the Movement for the Democratic Reform. Notice how he weaponises liberal rhetorics in order to delegitimize supposedly too Communist Ukraine
Anton Krasovsky from Russia Today clarifies his position on Ukraine, promising to burn their constitution on Maidan

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More from @kamilkazani

Mar 22
In August 1999, President Yeltsin appointed his FSB Chief Putin as the new Prime Minister. Same day, he named him as the official successor. Yet, there was a problem. To become a president, Putin had to go through elections which he could not win.

He was completely obscure.Image
Today, Putin is the top rank global celebrity. But in August 1999, nobody knew him. He was just an obscure official of Yeltsin's administration, made a PM by the arbitrary will of the sovereign. This noname clerk had like 2-3% of popular support

Soon, he was to face elections Image
By the time of Putin's appointment, Russia already had its most favoured candidate. It was Primakov. A former Yeltsin's Prime Minister who broke with Yeltsin to contest for power. The most popular politician in Russia with massive support both in masses and in the establishment. Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 17
In Russia, the supreme power has never ever changed as a result of elections. That simply never happened in history. Now that is because Russia is a (non hereditary) monarchy. Consequently, it doesn't have any elections. It has only acclamations of a sitting rulerImage
Obviously, there has been no elections of Putin in any meaningful sense. There have been only acclamations. And that is normal. His predecessor was successfully acclaimed with an approval rate of about 6%. Once you got the power, you will get your acclamation one way or another
Contrary to the popular opinion, Russia doesn't have any acclamation ("election") problem. It has a transition of power problem. Like Putin can get acclaimed again, and again, and again. But sooner or later, he dies. What next?
Read 7 tweets
Mar 16
My team has documented the entire Russian missile manufacturing base. That is 28 key ballistic, cruise, hypersonic and air defence missile producing plants associated with four corporations of Roscosmos, Almaz-Antey, Tactical Missiles and Rostec

The link is in the first comment Image
Our report How Does Russia Make Missiles? is already available for download



By the next weekend, we will be publishing the first OSINT sample, illustrating our methodology & approach. The rest of our materials will be made available laterrhodus.comImage
Key takeaways:

1. Missile production is mostly about machining
2. You cannot produce components of tight precision and convoluted geometry otherwise
3. Soviet missiles industry performed most of its machining manually

That was extremely laborious and skill-intensive processImage
Read 15 tweets
Feb 25
No one gets famous by accident. If Alexey @Navalny rose as the unalternative leader of Russian opposition, recognised as such both in Moscow and in DC, this indicates he had something that others lacked. Today we will discuss what it was and why it did not suffice 🧵Image
Let's start with the public image. What was so special about the (mature) @navalny is that his public image represented normality. And by normality I mean first and foremost the American, Hollywood normality

Look at this photo. He represents himself as American politicians doImage
For an American politician, it is very important to present himself as a good family man (or woman). Exceptions do only corroborate the rule. Notice how McCain defends @BarackObama

"No, he's a decent family man, citizen"

In America one thing is tied with another
Read 23 tweets
Feb 19
Should Putin just suddenly die, @MedvedevRussiaE is the most likely compromise candidate for the supreme political power. He is the inaugurated President for God's sake. Which means, the anointed King.Image
"Not a real king", "Figurehead", "Nobody takes him seriously" is just intangible verbalism. Nothing of that matters. What matters is that he is the inaugurated President, consecrated by God. Opinions are subjective, anointment is objective

It is the factImage
Medvedev may be one single person in the entire Russian establishment with a decent chance to keep power, should Putin go. For this reason, he may not even need to fight for power. The power will very probably be handed to him

He is the rightful King -> guarantor of stabilityImage
Read 8 tweets
Feb 18
On Friday, @navalny died (most probably killed) in prison. This is a good time to discuss the prospects of Russian opposition and the future transition of political power, once Putin is gone. This is also a good occasion to debunk some pervasive myths on the mechanics of power🧵 Image
First, getting rid of @navalny was probably a correct decision on behalf of Kremlin. Execution of this murder may have been suboptimal (unprofessional, etc.). But the very idea to eliminate him was reasonable and makes total sense. There is nothing crazy or irrational about it
This remark may sound as cynical or paradoxical. So let me present you another paradox, which is yet to be fully processed by the political theorists. And the paradox is:

Bloody tyrants rule longer

The Russian history may possibly demonstrate this better than any otherImage
Image
Read 19 tweets

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