Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Apr 27, 2022 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
I've already posted a few videos, often cropped and hard subbed on Twitter. And yet, it may be difficult to navigate through them or to verify their sources. Thus I created a Telegram channel where I will be posting them adding descriptions and links

t.me/galeev_visuals
So far I've only posted 10 videos there, but I'll be adding more. The ones I would recommend the most:

1. Interview with Russian Wagner Mercenary from Feb 26
2. Zhirinovsky speech on Jan 18 on the goals of Z-war
3. TV program on Zvezda channel
4. Sermon by Artemy Vladimirov
February 26, 2022. Wagner mercenary questions the experience that the Russian military got in Syria and predicts that Z-invasion of Ukraine won’t turn out to be a victorious march. He implies that circumstances have changed since 2014 and that the Ukrainian army has changed, too
January 18, 2022. Zhirinovsky’s speech on the future Z-war and its goals. Many of late Zhirinovsky's “hot takes” probably reflected the official position of Kremlin. Zhirinovsky, as a court jester, presented it in a “foolish” manner to test the ground on how they will be accepted
How Russian military are treated by their own higher-ups. TV host Alexey Gudoshnikov yells at a veteran who suggested a minute of silence for “our boys dying in Ukraine”. TV program Открытый эфир, channel Звезда. Notice that it's a channel of the Russian Ministry of Defence
Archpriest Artemy Vladimirov is reading a sermon on the Z-war and its goals. That sermon doesn't necessarily represent the position of the Kremlin but probably reflects the feelings of the Russian nationalist masses and, broadly speaking, the Russian imperialist ideology
Russia appropriated foreign planes leased to Russian air companies. Сompanies ask Minister of transport Savelyev if they'll be ever able to do maintenance abroad. "No, we won't, because we confiscated the other's property". Russia gonna have huge transport problems very soon
Police launched an operation to arrest a sugar dealer. Undercover cops videotaped how they bought a 50 kgs sugar sack "at the above market price" and he openly told he can bring more
Russian TikTok video. This is apparently a truck driver who bought some snacks for his 1000 km trip and is shocked by skyrocketing food prices
Maria Zakharova, the spokesperson of the Russian Foreign Ministry points out to the cultural roots of this war. Ukrainians tried to appropriate the exclusive rights on borsch, denying it to Russians and wouldn't compromise. Such Nazism made the war inevitable
Dialogue between Putin and Naryshkin, the chief of Foreign Intelligence Service on what to do in Ukraine. Counterintuitively, Putin's regime is way more personalist than the Soviet one. Politburo debated on policy decisions, while Putin's henchmen are not allowed to question him
On the Day 13 of the Special Operation Russian TV propagandist Solovyov and military expert Kedmi had a pretty depressive discussion on the course of this war. Solovyov argued that this war can't meet the set goals, because it will lead to the destruction of Russia itself
Russian Deputy Minister of Defence Yevkyrov decorated a wounded soldier who lost his leg and wishes him to "get back to his feet again"
A glimpse into the popular Z-mindset. It's not only about Putin or his personal goals, it's about a certain culture, tradition, system of values. Z-war is systemic rather than accidental and the logic that stands behind it is well-rooted in the Russian imperial culture
1991. Sobchak, mayor of St Petersburg and boss of Putin discusses the Ukrainian problem. Sobchak was a well-known liberal and a founder of the Movement for the Democratic Reform. Notice how he weaponises liberal rhetorics in order to delegitimize supposedly too Communist Ukraine
Anton Krasovsky from Russia Today clarifies his position on Ukraine, promising to burn their constitution on Maidan

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More from @kamilkazani

Aug 9
There's a subtle point here that 99,999% of Western commentariat is missing. Like, totally blind to. And that point is:

Building a huuuuuuuuuuge dam (or steel plant, or whatever) has been EVERYONE's plan of development. Like absolutely every developing country, no exceptions Image
Almost everyone who tried to develop did it in a USSR-ish way, via prestige projects. Build a dam. A steel plant. A huge plant. And then an even bigger one

And then you run out of money, and it all goes bust and all you have is postapocalyptic ruins for the kids to play in
If China did not go bust, in a way like almost every development project from the USSR to South Asia did, that probably means that you guys are wrong about China. Like totally wrong

What you describe is not China but the USSR, and its copies & emulations elsewhere
Read 7 tweets
Jul 7
Victory has a hundred fathers, defeat is an orphan

Everyone is trying to appropriate the rise of China for their own purposes, like it proves their theory, ideology whatever

No one, however, wants to appropriate the post-Soviets, who, by the way, also made capitalist reforms
What I am saying is that "capitalist reforms" are a buzzword devoid of any actual meaning, and a buzzword that obfuscated rather than explains. Specifically, it is fusing radically different policies taken under the radically different circumstances (and timing!) into one - purely for ideological purposes
It can be argued, for example, that starting from the 1980s, China has undertaken massive socialist reforms, specifically in infrastructure, and in basic (mother) industries, such as steel, petrochemical and chemical and, of course, power

That was almost entirely state's job
Read 4 tweets
Jul 1
The primary weakness of this argument is that being true, historically speaking, it is just false in the context of American politics where the “communism” label has been so over-used (and misapplied) that it lost all of its former power:

“We want X”
“No, that is communism”
“We want communism”
Basically, when you use a label like “communism” as a deus ex machina winning you every argument, you simultaneously re-define its meaning. And when you use it to beat off every popular socio economic demand (e.g. universal healthcare), you re-define communism as a synthesis of all the popular socio economic demands
Historical communism = forced industrial development in a poor, predominantly agrarian country, funded through expropriation of the peasantry

(With the most disastrous economic and humanitarian consequences)

So, yes, living under the actual communism sucks
Read 5 tweets
Jun 28
Some thoughts on Zohran Mamdani’s victory

Many are trying to explain his success with some accidental factors such as his “personal charisma”, Cuomo's weakness etc

Still, I think there may be some fundamental factors here. A longue durée shift, and a very profound one Image
1. Public outrage does not work anymore

If you look at Zohran, he is calm, constructive, and rarely raises his voice. I think one thing that Mamdani - but almost no one else in the American political space is getting - is that the public is getting tired of the outrage
Outrage, anger, righteous indignation have all been the primary drivers of American politics for quite a while

For a while, this tactics worked

Indeed, when everyone around is polite, and soft (and insincere), freaking out was a smart thing to do. It could help you get noticed
Read 8 tweets
Jun 28
People don’t really understand causal links. We pretend we do (“X results in Y”). But we actually don’t. Most explanations (= descriptions of causal structures) are fake.
Theory: X -> Y

Reality:

There may be no connection between X and Y at all. The cause is just misattributed.

Or, perhaps, X does indeed result in Y. but only under a certain (and unknown!) set of conditions that remains totally and utterly opaque to us. So, X->Y is only a part of the equation

And so on
I like to think of a hypothetical Stone Age farmer who started farming, and it worked amazingly, and his entire community adopted his lifestyle, and many generations followed it and prospered and multiplied, until all suddenly wiped out in a new ice age
Read 6 tweets
Jun 26
Some thoughts on Zohran Mamdani's victory:

1. Normative Islamophobia that used to define the public discourse being the most acceptable form of racial & ethnic bigotry in the West, is receding. It is not so much dying as rather - failing to replicate. It is not that the old people change their views as that the young do not absorb their prejudice any longer.

In fact, I incline to think it has been failing to replicate for a while, it is just that we have not been paying attention
Again, the change of vibe does not happen at once. The Muslim scare may still find (some) audience among the more rigid elderly, who are not going to change their views. But for the youth, it is starting to sound as archaic as the Catholic scare of know nothings

Out of date
2. What is particularly interesting regarding Mamdani's victory, is his support base. It would not be much of an exaggeration to say that its core is comprised of the young (and predominantly white) middle classes, with a nearly equal representation of men and women
Read 12 tweets

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