I'm linking a couple of threads together because they all have connections back to this Microsoft Report on Hybrid (military-cyber) attacks on Ukraine.

#radicalwar

1/
This Russian battlefield communications thread shows what happens when you have to rely on civilian telecoms grids.

2/
Developing the implications of both the cyber attacks AND Russian use of stolen Ukrainian SIM cards is this story.

This is about Russian hacks for personal data.

The goal?

To identify Ukrainians who are pro-Russian from those who need to be isolated.
3/
apnews.com/article/russia…
As @Jack_Watling observes, this is “Fantastically useful information if you’re planning an occupation...knowing exactly which car everyone drives and where they live and all that.”

4/ Image
“The idea was to kill or imprison these people at the early stages of occupation,” Victor Zhora, a senior Ukrainian cyber defense official, alleged.

5/
& more on intelligence cooperation:

"Ukraine, for its part, appears to have done significant data collection — quietly assisted by the U.S., the U.K., and other partners — targeting Russian soldiers, spies and police, including rich geolocation data".

6/
The result is that Ukraine claims it knows

“exactly where & when a particular serviceman crossed the border with Ukraine, in which occupied settlement he stopped, in which building he spent the night, stole and committed crimes on our land.”

7/
It is not clear how sophisticated this tech is.

However, this story broke the other day. The claim is that Anomaly 6 can de-anonymise smartphone apps

AND track Chinese/Russian troop movements just from their smartphones and in real-time.

#radicalwar
8/
That should give us pause for thought because this tech has real political and military effects.

Everyone is online and connected. If Ukraine is the test-bed for this then we need to think very carefully about how this tech is controlled and who has oversight over it.

9/

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More from @warmatters

Apr 29
I co-authored this. We've had some great endorsements. About time it got a plug.

'The essential guide to the new war of all against all, where everything is weaponised, & where the lines between peace & conflict are forever blurred'

@peterpomeranzev

hurstpublishers.com/book/radical-w…
'...information has become the overarching domain, with the smartphone, not the rifle, as the granular instrument of combat. A startling rethink of the C21st battlefield that blows away the traditional boundaries between state, society & the military'

@paulmasonnews
'A fascinating assessment of the impact of our ubiquitous access to, and employment of, information & media. Positing a radical vision of war in which perception is reality, this book challenges our norms &, while you might not necessarily like it, you should probably read it!'
Read 8 tweets
Apr 28
So Russian EW capabilities have been summarised by the UA General Staff here:

This is from March 2019 so three years old but still interesting.

Mainly equipment recognition and Table of Equipment & Organisation
1/

brushbeater.org/wp-content/upl… Image
How these systems divide in terms of task and layer.

Also useful equipment recognition as these are the specials that the UA will have wanted to destroy early on in the campaign.

2/ Image
In case you wondered what made up the Leer-3... then here you go.

The RB-341В "Leer-3" electronic warfare system supported by Orlan-10 drones. Task is to intercept satellite navigation signals, 3G, 4G communications and text messages.

The anti-smartphone system!

3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 28
Human-machine interfaces, user fatigue and operational effectiveness.

Nice provocation from @anderspuck

1/

Modern battlefields are lethal. At the same time days of repetitive effort with little going on leads to user fatigue.

Combined with poor drills and bored personnel the implication is that smart tech needs to be user proof.

2/
Similar stories apply to all sorts of military technology. Ergonomics is easily overlooked as a drag on weapon optimisation.

At the same time, put the magazine catch on the wrong side of the receiver and watch that mag fall onto the floor....

3/
Read 4 tweets
Apr 28
This is an important report from Microsft.

It shows that operations have been hybrid in nature. That military and cyber attacks have been coordinated.

1/
Microsoft show the geographical relationship between cyber and military activity.

2/
The put the cyber/military attacks into chronological order.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Apr 28
Good summary discussion of Russian battlefield communications and how Ukraine is intercepting calls.

1/

npr.org/2022/04/26/109…
Ukraine cut smartphone roaming to Russian/Belorussian numbers. Russians started using Ukrainian phones. The Ukraine Govt asked civilians to report in the phones that had been stolen.

Hey presto, Ukraine has a backdoor to Russian phone use.

2/
Maybe more significantly, UA is defo making use of US SIGINT planes flying over Poland/Romania.

"I'm sure that they're collecting radio communications & other forms of intelligence that they then pass on to the Ukrainians that is invaluable in their prosecution of this fight"
3/
Read 11 tweets
Apr 26
So just to be clear, we’re looking at approximately a 2 year replenishment rate for gear that has been given to Ukraine?
And we wonder why NATO powers are having to carefully consider what they donate and how they might stand a chance of standing behind Article 5.

There’s a lot more going on here and the repercussions are going to be HUGE for NATO members.
Ukraine has dropped off the Insta radar but the ramifications of the war in Ukraine will keep rebounding on us.

We need to get used to the new real:

Food insecurity leading to migration
Cost of living crisis leading to recession
Recession leading to reduced defence spending
Read 8 tweets

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