White men have long been a minority in US society (currently 29%), but until very recently, they controlled all the ladders of ascent into cultural, political, media, or economic relevance.
That doesn’t mean that women and people of color weren’t visible in politics or culture. But it means the people who rose up the ladder into a position of influence generally had political beliefs that white men found tolerable, if not outright appealing.
You’re a woman or especially a minority, and you want to be a Times columnist, a judge, a congressional leader of note, a TV anchor?
If your ideas conform with the ideas of the white men who run these institutions, you can rise, rise, rise. If they don’t you likely won’t.
Now it’s important to switch perspectives and imagine what this system looked liked to white men themselves: consensus.
They could look out their window and see that almost everyone notable agreed with them on really divisive cultural issues!
Occasionally someone would break into the cozy unanimity with ideas that ran against the consensus, like a Jesse Jackson running for president. But even when this happened, all the major cultural and political power centers would reiterate that this was radical fringe politics.
Today… this system mostly remains in place, actually! Most political, cultural, and economic institutions are still controlled by white men! Many nonwhite, nonmale people who advance in these institutions do so by being agreeable to white male gatekeepers! (No names, sorry.)
But cracks are starting to emerge. There are people appearing in politics and culture who do not appear to have really been let in by white male gatekeepers - in fact, who express ideas that the vast, vast majority of white male gatekeepers find incorrect or even annoying.
What are these ideas? It varies but generally they are, naturally, ideas that challenge the power structure itself, point out the ways in which white people and men hold disproportionate power, and point out the way that power is exercised, often unfairly.
Why are cracks emerging now? Partly it’s a cultural evolution. Partly it’s technological (Twitter plays a big role here). But I think most of it is just demographic. America’s white majority is rapidly becoming a white plurality. Total societal control just isn’t sustainable.
And as this has happened, the world as experienced by white men (who, let’s remember, do still control the vast majority of political, cultural, and economic institutions) has also changed: where they once saw consensus, now there’s conflict.
For many white men, including many who hold vast power and influence, it feels like a bunch of malcontents - espousing ideas everyone previously agreed were radical, no less! - have forced their way past the gatekeepers, and are now making everything complicated and unpleasant.
The response of white men has varied. Some have argued that we need to restore the consensus of earlier years, unaware it was illusory and achieved partly by exclusion. Some have desperately kept trying to gatekeep.
And a whole lot of them have just gotten really, really angry.
And that’s where we are now: a small but growing number of people with perspectives that are not agreeable to white male gatekeepers pushing into the public eye, and white men seeing it as radicals smashing a consensus they were told was shared by everyone worth listening to.
And I think it's not a coincidence that the figures and groups that attract the most obsessive ire, who are blamed for causing all the trouble, are also the figures and groups that seem to have most dramatically circumvented the gatekeepers: AOC. Nikole Hannah-Jones. BLM.
One last thing I'll say: in my experience, white men are skeptical of the idea of white male gatekeeping (which makes sense, because it's not like we all got together and decided to do it).
But women and people of color are often acutely aware that their ability to exist in elite circles depends on not challenging certain ideas, and not rubbing powerful people the wrong way. Where do those ideas come from? What do most of those powerful people have in common?
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This is Othman. Othman is a Nazi who talks about things like the JQ, or "Jewish Question."
Othman also seems to work in the White House. He claims to be at the Executive Office of the President.
I don't know Othman's exact identity yet, but we've got some clues!
Othman likes to fill his days tweeting about far-right fixations like race, the "JQ" and "Aryanism." He likes to tweet bizarre and threatening things about exacting revenge on Trump's enemies.
Othman has said he specifically works at the Executive Office of the President. He also tweeted from Mar-a-Lago on Dec. 12th.
The single most galvanizing thing for public opinion is a sense of CURRENT, ONGOING crisis - the idea that something terrible is going down, right now, as we speak. 9/11, the 2008 crisis, Afghanistan withdrawal, early COVID, George Floyd, 1/6 - all shifted the public overnight.
Crisis activates people emotionally, it compels attention through fear and uncertainty, it draws people in, it gets everyone in a social network talking about a single thing.
During a crisis public opinion can shift on a dime (Afghanistan); the entire country can go from being totally ignorant on a topic to knowing all about it (COVID); formerly contested topics can become the subject of widespread consensus (George Floyd).
The important thing you need to realize, if you're a Democrat or media person talking about Trump, is that he is trying to CHANGE a bunch of fundamental rules about how America works. He is trying to dramatically alter our system of government to one more like Russia or China.
For example, it's not that Trump has a different interpretation of the 14th Amendment and we're going to find out which one is correct. Instead, we are currently a country with birthright citizenship, and he is claiming he can strip it away by fiat.
Trump isn't engaged in a voyage of constitutional discovery. There aren't competing interpretations of how the law works. There is a United States that currently exists, and has existed for centuries, and Trump is trying to end it and replace it with something else.
I know many of you believe, probably accurately, that the worst thing you can do in the eyes of the American voter is be seen as an extreme, disruptive radical.
Another bad thing is to reveal your extreme agenda AFTER being elected.
See where I'm going with this?
Trump spent his campaign explicitly denying his extreme agenda, because it was exceptionally unpopular. People HATED Project 2025. They HATED his anti-abortion radicalism. They HATED his authoritarian impulses. They wanted him to get in office, roll it back to 2019, and stop.
I know that you, as politically-engaged Democrats, understood that Trump was lying through his teeth. But he was, in fact, lying! He openly deceived the public and felt like he had to do so because he knew how the public would react to an extremist agenda.
What Trump is attempting as we speak is a radical far-right revolution, where violent supporters of the far right are turned out of prison, civil rights laws are abolished, we send troops to neighboring countries to establish a permanent state of war and destroy our alliances
They are trying to destroy the United States of America and replace it with something that shares our name and flag but isn’t a democracy, where laws don’t apply to the president or his ultra-wealthy cronies, and the Constitution is meaningless
They want armed men tearing people out of their beds at night. They want to be able to commit violence and discrimination against nonwhite people, LGBT people, and women without any fear of consequence. They want the whole country to live in constant fear of a knock on the door
@Ollisonesque @tracewoodgrains @MyDogMonkey The difference is that Trace is absolutely committed as positioning himself as the thoughtful moderate between two extremes, so he is required to describe my bog-standard political recommendation to attack the opposing party as some kind of crime against Truth and Honesty
@Ollisonesque @tracewoodgrains @MyDogMonkey Trace, however, is so self-congratulatory about taking the words of both sides seriously and thoughtfully that he has become almost impossibly gullible. He does not recognize that many, many, many loud voices on the right are acting in obvious bad faith
@Ollisonesque @tracewoodgrains @MyDogMonkey Ultimately his view of people is solipsistic, it's based in how he wants to see himself (generous, open-minded) more than his actual observations of people, which would reveal many of Trump's loudest supporters as dishonest goons who openly revel in their dishonesty, as a lark