Ukraine SITREP 1. Russian air/missile strikes overnight and this morning were mostly stand off airstrikes in the south, but some yet unverified reports of impacts in the southeast and central Dnipro and Zaporizhia regions.
2. Shelling continued overnight in several locations with less reported around Kharkiv, but a significant increase on and around Mykolaiv. Shelling across the Donbas is sporadic this morning.
3. Ukrainian forces are reporting they shot down two Russian Su-25s and seven UAVs in the last 24hrs. The aircraft and five UAVs have been verified so far. Missile interceptions are not yet verified, but there were likely two.
4. Ukrainian forces continue to consolidate newly retaken positions to the east and northeast of Kharkiv with a number of other counteroffensive operations underway.
5. Ukrainian forces continue to launch counteroffensives on Russian resupply conduits to the south with more interruptions reported, but not specified as yet.
6. Russian forces around Izyum remained much less active overnight with some movements southeast again this morning. Russian manoeuvres continued this morning in the Lyman region with activity towards Oleksandrivka and Krymka.
7. It’s believed most Russian forces in this region are awaiting resupplies, orders or reinforcements as their offensive momentum has slowed. More reinforcements including mobile ADS arrived into the region in the last 12hrs.
8. In the Donbas region fighting and Russian offensives have become more fragmented and sporadic. Ukrainian forces have suffered some setbacks and casualties in some areas, but Russian offensives now seem to have slowed.
9. There continues to be some Russian activity along much of the front line in the Donetsk and Tavriya direction with an increase in shelling likely in coming days as new artillery reinforcements reportedly arriving this weekend.
10. There are reports Ukrainian forces are now getting reinforcements into the southeast regions effectively.
11. There are reports of further Russian airstrikes on the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol last night, with commercial satellite images now confirming significant damage to several buildings making it potentially dangerous to collapse.
12. The basement tunnels are significant at the plant with reports of a significant number of civilians still inside with Ukrainian forces.
13. Fighting around Kherson was reportedly fierce last night in the northeast, but only for a short period. There are some unverified reports a Ukrainian offensive near the airport may have been repelled. Ukrainian forces continue numerous operations in this region.
14. Air activity reported east of Mykolaiv this morning, it is unconfirmed if this is Russian or Ukrainian, but likely the later.
15. Russian Naval activity in the Black Sea was less active the last 24hrs with no imminent signs of any amphibious assaults.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with The Cavell Group

The Cavell Group Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TCG_CrisisRisks

May 2
Ukraine SITREP 1. Russia conducted a number of air/missile strikes today mostly in the southeast and central southern regions.
2. It is clear now that Russia is conducting food warfare operations targeting food storage, supply hubs, livestock processing and agricultural elements to increase food shortages and civil problems.
3. These types of soft targets are easier to identify and target successfully, but can still have a significant strategic impact. Other targets today included military installations and infrastructure.
Read 14 tweets
May 2
Ukraine SITREP 1. There are reports of Russian air/missile strikes again overnight and this morning, mostly in the south and southeast, but other area impact reports are coming in.
2. Russian missile strikes have slightly increased again the last few days, but still remain significantly lower than earlier in the Russian invasion.
3. We are still seeing little evidence of any Russian airforce SEAD operations, with the primary air activity over Ukrainian airspace reported in the southeast and east.
Read 19 tweets
May 1
Ukraine Update 1. Russia conducted a sortie of airstrikes Sunday morning with reports of missile impacts in numerous locations and at least two interceptions. Impacts were reportedly widespread against mostly military targets across the country.
2. We continue to not post location details unless they are of significant public interest.
3. Russia announced the shooting down of two Ukrainian aircraft and a UAV today. A Ukrainian UAV was downed, but there has been no verification on the two other reported aircraft yet.
Read 17 tweets
May 1
Iraq: Police SWAT arrested at least three PMF tribal members this morning in Hit, north of the airbase, with reports a Senior Officer and his men were responsible for the security of a section where rockets were likely launched from yesterday.
Iraq: Another rocket attack on a fuel processing facility near Erbil earlier with the launchers located near Hamdaniyah. No reports of casualties. USAF and RAF have been up on routine CAPs tonight. Reports Iraqi F16s up tonight over Hamrin. Much ISIS activity this region again.
Iraq: Several attacks by ISIS last 48hrs as more sand storms cause havoc across Iraq and aid their concealment. Attacks near Azim, Daquq, Hamrin and wadi Shay. Several Fed Police casualties in the checkpoint attack near wadi Shay.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 30
Ukraine SITREP 1. A number of Russian missile strikes today and tonight with a number of impacts reported. Reports that impacts near Odesa have significantly damaged the airport and apron.
2. Less shelling today reported in a number of areas including Kharkiv. Russian shelling continued, but appeared more sporadic on and near major cities.
3. Ukrainian forces conducted further counteroffensive operations around Kharkiv re-securing further settlements today. Significant progress has now been made around Kharkiv opening up a number of new opportunities in which Ukrainian forces can push Russian units further back.
Read 15 tweets
Apr 30
Ukraine SITREP 1. Another night and morning so far of significantly reduced Russian air/missile strikes. Only four impacts reported so far with some possible interceptions in the south.
2. Heavy fighting has been reported this morning after significant shelling overnight south east of Izyum. Significant Russian reinforcements arrived into Izyum this week including Airborne forces.
3. Some recently deployed new artillery positions in various locations in the region have increased Russian manoeuvres and the regional volatility. Russian forces are now attacking Ukrainian forces from at least two directions here.
Read 15 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(