Dilan Esper Profile picture
May 2 8 tweets 2 min read
I will leave it to you to decide whether you think this is right or not, but the fact the Boston flag case is unanimous reflects the death of an Establishment Clause theory that a lot of people have asserted for a long time. 1/ #appellatetwitter
supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf…
That theory is the notion that the government is barred by the First Amendment from having any religious expression come out of its metaphorical mouth at all. It's a theory that has longstanding roots. 2/
Go back to the first school prayer case, Engel v. Vitale. There, SCOTUS held that public school teachers couldn't lead prayers in class. Nowadays we'd interpret that as a prohibition on religious coercion, but at the time, many people thought it stood for a much broader rule. 3/
Since Engel, the Court has stuck with the prayer rule (prohibiting graduation prayers and public address prayers at HS football games, both on coercion grounds) while rejecting its extension to other forms of religious expression associated with the government. 4/
So:

Legislative prayers? OK.
Nativity scenes? OK.
Crosses on the side of the road? OK.
The Ten Commandments? OK if they are on a big stone monument, at least.
Transportation to religious instruction? OK.

Etc. 5/
The Boston case arose, perhaps, out of a place where they still believe in the old way of thinking, that the government couldn't associate itself with religious speech at all because it violated the Establishment Clause. So the City refused to fly a religious flag. 6/
And the notable thing about today's ruling is it is 9-0. NOBODY on the Supreme Court believes in the maximal Establishment Clause anymore. NOBODY stood up for the City of Boston and their concerns about endorsing religious expression. 7/
This is really important. I think a lot of thinkers in academia and the legal world still think of the Establishment Clause as not only prohibiting religious coercion, but any connections between the government and religion. But that isn't the law and it's 9-0 not the law. End/

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More from @dilanesper

May 3
One mistake Alito makes in his discussion of history . He assumes that hundreds year old texts that didn't always mention "quickening" where therefore condemning even pre-quickening abortion.

But my understanding was pre-quickening termination was not even considered "abortion".
There are numerous texts that make clear that for abortion to be criminal at common law, it had to happen after the woman felt the fetus in the womb. Before that time, there was no criminal intent and thus no illegal abortion.
This is bad for Alito's position because the quickening doctrine was around 15 weeks- i.e., the very time set by Mississippi in its law. So you wouldn't need to disclaim constitutional protection of abortion to uphold this law if the history protected pre-quickening termination.
Read 4 tweets
May 3
This is silly. On Griswold, literally no state legislature is banning contraception. Not one. Not anywhere in the country. Even in 1966, Griswold had to be contrived as a case.

And overturning Obergefell would cause legal chaos by invalidating thousands of marriages.
There's also a bait and switch here. People are constantly telling us that the Court is nakedly political. But then, suddenly, it's going to start faithfully following its reasoning to its logical conclusion when that claim serves an argument Dems want to make about the Court?
Roe was always the target. Not Griswold. Not Obergefell. Roe.

And overturning Roe is really bad. You can talk about what that means without scaring people with phony claims about Griswold or Obergefell.
Read 4 tweets
May 2
My understanding is the big operative fact here is educational/urban-rural polarization, which is what makes gerrymanders now favor Republicans (they used to favor Democrats who used to conveniently not think they were illegal).
Gerrymandering is 200 years old. It isn't something Republicans invented 12 years ago.

Democrats' problem is they pursued a strategy of locking up smart people in cities to raise donations, and started losing the less educated.
And doing that meant that gerrymandering, which helped the Dems hold the House for 40 years, turned against them.
Read 4 tweets
May 2
Just looking at the seating charts for LA Kings playoff games, I wonder if the team is manipulating the supply of tickets. The team was drawing poorly and charging $17 to get in. For the playoffs, bad seats on the upper deck are going for $90. Are they not releasing seats?
Yes, it's the playoffs. But no way did 13,000 additional fans willing to pay $90+ materialize out of nowhere.

i bet we either see tons of empty seats or a fire sale
BTW, a big sports business story that, so far, the media has missed is that the new world of floating ticket prices allows teams and event promoters to manipulate supply in all sorts of ways. It used to be they basically had to sell a lot of tickets at face value.
Read 6 tweets
May 2
FWIW, they don't have the votes for this, and if they proposed it, it would be electoral suicide in presidential elections.
i would say one other thing, as a kind of warning to the pro-life movement. if they really did enact a national ban, some state or municipality is just going to start directly providing abortions. people feel very strongly about this issue in blue states amd cities
so the end result would be you'd have to try to punish government officials for providing this service. government officials that have their own, armed police forces. you'd be courting civil war.
Read 6 tweets
May 2
I have a certain sympathy for this position, but can think of many reasons lefties wouldn't accept this argument in less politically charged contexts

E.g.,"how can you be against people trying a crash diet?" or "how can you be against people trying out a right wing religion?" 1/
IOW, at the end of the day, yes, I think kids ought to be able to explore identities. In fact it's really important. And that definitely includes LGBT identities.

But... that doesn't mean the process is immune from criticism or that there is no way it could be going wrong. 2/
And indeed, there's several things that might be going wrong here. First, there's all the medical issues- the blockers and the hormones and the surgeries. Once you get into that area, it's a medical care issue, NOT simply exploring identity like a social transition is. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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