Dan Lamothe Profile picture
May 2 16 tweets 3 min read
A background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official about the war in Ukraine concluded a short time ago. It’s Day 68 since Russia’s invasion.

Notable details:
The Pentagon now confirms that Gen. Valery Gerasimov, the top military officer in Russia, visited the Donbas region of Ukraine last week.

However, the Pentagon does NOT confirm that he was injured, as some reports have suggested.
The Pentagon is not in a position to confirm what, if anything, happened to Gerasimov while he was in Ukraine, the official said.

The U.S. official said that it’s “certainly possible” that Gerasimov’s trip was meant to provide a “manner of oversight.”
Why would that be necessary? The Pentagon also assesses today that Russia’s offensive in the Donbas region of Ukraine is “very cautious” and “very tepid.”

“In some cases, quite frankly, the best way to describe it would be anemic,” the senior U.S. defense official said.
Russia has launched a number of offensive operations east and south of Izyum, a mid-sized city in eastern Ukraine that Russia captured late in March.
But the U.S. official described a pattern in which Russia moves into an area in the Donbas region, claims victory, then withdraws.

Then Ukrainian forces often take the areas back, the U.S. official said.
Separately, Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian forces farther away from Kharkiv, in northeastern Ukraine, the senior U.S. defense official said. He described an “able job” by Ukrainian forces over the last day or two.
Elsewhere: The southern port city of Mariupol continues to get hit with airstrikes. Russian forces are now using more “dumb bombs,” meaning they must fly closer to launch, the senior U.S. defense official said.

Russia still holds other areas in the south, including Kherson.
Some number of Russian troops continue to flow out of Mariupol to the northwest, the Pentagon says. The thought is they will eventually join the Donbas campaign.
The Pentagon is NOT confirming that Ukrainian drones have attacked Russian patrol boats, but acknowledges there is video circulating that appears to show that.

“We’ve seen the video, same as you,” the official says.
On weapons transfers: More than 70 of the 90 howitzer artillery the United States promised to Ukraine have now been transferred, the U.S. defense official says. So have about tens of thousands of 155 mm rounds to go in them.
In the last day, the United States delivered 14 planes filled with military aid to the region for transfer to Ukraine, the senior U.S. defense official said. Five other nations combined to deliver 23 more shipments.
No Mi-17 helicopters approved by President Biden in recent aid packages have been delivered. But they are expected to be soon, the senior U.S. defense official said.
Training of Ukrainians on Western systems continues.

Fifty Ukrainian artillerymen are expected to complete a week-long familiarization course today on the American howitzers, bumping the total number to receive the training to about 220, the official said.
Twenty Ukrainian soldiers began receiving training yesterday on how to use the new Phoenix Ghost drone. The unmanned aircraft is a loitering munition that can be flown directly into Russian vehicles or troop formations.
Russian force levels have not fundamentally changed in the last few days.

The Pentagon now assesses there are 93 Russian battalion tactical groups in the fight, the senior defense official said.

The number was 92 last week. Many of those units are not at full strength.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dan Lamothe

Dan Lamothe Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DanLamothe

May 4
A senior U.S. defense official at the Pentagon just briefed the media on background about the war in Ukraine.

It’s Day 69 since Russia invaded.

Updates:
Lots of attention today on Russia’s missile strikes in western Ukraine around Lviv. The Pentagon assesses that Russia is trying to take out electrical power needed to operate railroads. “Both sides rely on rail for resupply,” the senior U.S. defense official said.
But the U.S. continues to assess that Ukraine is able to move weapons through the country. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin first said yesterday that Ukrainian forces already has begun to use howitzer artillery that the United States sent them.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 29
It’s Friday and a senior U.S. defense official held a background briefing at the Pentagon about the war in Ukraine a bit ago.

It’s Day 64 since Russia’s invasion.

Updates:
Up front: The military situation in the Donbas region appears to have little change. I suspect we’ll have a lot of that sort of news in days to come.
The senior defense official defined Russia’s progress as “incremental,” “slow,” and “fairly plodding.”

Russia has launched airstrikes and artillery strikes ahead of ground advances, but still run into stiff Ukrainian resistance, official says.
Read 12 tweets
Apr 28
A senior U.S. defense official just concluded the first Pentagon background briefing about Ukraine in several days.

It’s Day 63 since Russia invaded.

Some highlights:
Notable: While the Pentagon does not assess that Russia has seized control of Mariupol, the senior defense official said today that a “significant” number of Russian forces are beginning to shift from the port city to the northwest.
The shift comes as a small number of Ukrainian forces hold out in Mariupol. The Pentagon has predicted previously that when Mariupol fell, it was likely some Russian forces would join the fight in the Donbas region.
Read 14 tweets
Apr 19
A background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official concluded a bit ago. It’s Day 55 since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Some takeaways:
Russian and Ukrainian officials have both said that Russia’s new offensive of the Donbas region is underway. Pentagon appears to be taking a more nuanced view.
The Pentagon assesses today that “limited offensive operations” have begun in the Donbas region south of the cities of Izyum and Donetsk and considers them a “prelude” to a larger offensive, the senior U.S. defense official said.
Read 14 tweets
Apr 14
A background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official at the Pentagon about the war in Ukraine has concluded.

Some key points:
Lots of eyes today on the explosion yesterday aboard the Russian warship Moskva. The Pentagon confirms the ship “experienced an explosion,” and that the vessel is still on fire as it makes its way east to the Black Sea port of Sevastopol for apparent repairs.
The senior U.S. defense official said the Moskva was roughly 70 to 75 miles south of the port city of Odessa in the Black Sea when the explosion occurred. The Pentagon is not yet offering an assessment for what caused the explosion.

No clear assessment for Russian casualties.
Read 17 tweets
Apr 12
A senior U.S. defense official at the Pentagon held a background briefing about the war in Ukraine this morning. It’s Day 45 of Russia’s invasion.

A few key updates:
Lots of attention, for obvious reasons, today on allegations that Russia has deployed some kind of chemical weapon in the southern city of Mariupol.

These allegations are not verified, and it will be difficult to assess them, the senior defense official said.
“These are difficult things to prove even when you are more proximate, and we are not,” the senior U.S. defense official said of chemical weapons allegations in Ukraine. “And so I think you can understand we want to be very careful here before making a proclamation.”
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(