Don Moynihan Profile picture
May 12 7 tweets 4 min read
You can tell the story of the transformation of the Republican Party almost entirely through its embrace of conspiracy theories: Birtherism, QAnon, the Big Lie, and the Great Replacement Theory.
* Embracing birtherism was key to Trump's rise
* Only 1 in 4 Republicans accepted that Obama was born in the US as late as 2016.
* Lots of evidence rebutting the conspiracy theory did not work, because believers are not working from an evidence-based world view.
*Pizzagate posters were embraced by the GOP mainstream
*QAnon beliefs are accepted by up to about half of Republicans
*GOP leaders increasingly use QAnon tropes like "groomer" to undermine public institutions like schools
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-qanoning…
It's not just that a majority of Republicans believe the Big Lie conspiracy theory that the election was stolen. They are picking primary candidates on that basis, which is why more and more of the people overseeing elections will be conspiracy theorists. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/a-year-on-th…
"Twenty-seven states will choose a secretary of state this fall, and in 17 of those states, at least one of the Republican candidates for the office actively denies that President Biden won the 2020 election." nytimes.com/2022/05/12/opi…
Much of the partisan gap in vaccination is a partisan gap in conspiratorial thinking, leading Republicans to become less willing to made medical choices to protect themselves.
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/fox-news-is-…
Concerns about immigration exist everywhere. The idea that it is a deliberate plot by elites to undermine native borns is a conspiracy theory that has been transferred from white nationalists to the majority of Republicans via vectors like Tucker Carlson. washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…

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More from @donmoyn

May 12
New, from me: Administrative burdens are ubiquitous and annoying.

So why do we put up with them?

Research points to the role of political ideology, personal experience and perceptions of deservingness as driving our tolerance of burdens. 🧵donmoynihan.substack.com/p/why-do-we-to…
Politicians become more likely to take actions that increase or reduce the hassles people encounter based on how their supporters view burdens. So understanding burden tolerance is an important question, though we don't know much about it. 2/
With @askehalling & @pamela_herd, we sought to understand how the public feels about burdens, using a nationally representative sample. The resulting paper is open access @PMReview_ 3/ tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
Read 8 tweets
May 11
The point of aggregating incidents into numbers and framing them under a term like “cancel culture” is that the reader already has a defined idea of what cancel culture is, and imagines all of those incidents fit that category even when they don’t.
Of course, people can look into the underlying database of incidents if they want. Transparency and all that. But how many will? If they did, they might feel less certain about how they feel about the specific incident.
If cancel culture is everything, maybe it’s nothing. If it obscures more than it clarifies, it’s time to find better language. If it’s primary use is to be appropriated by people who oppose free speech, it may have passed it’s sell-by date. After all, who still uses “fake news”?
Read 4 tweets
May 10
Just gonna point out that “lib snowflakes melting down over sidewalk chalk messages” has been a staple of the campus speech wars
There was a whole bit about how students who were upset about pro Trump chalk messages were actually fueling Trumpism, as well as a sign of growing intolerance of free speech on campus. ImageImageImageImage
Students freak out about Trump chalk messages: sign of liberal intolerance on campus
Students write pro Roe chalk messages: sign of liberal intolerance on campus Image
Read 4 tweets
May 9
So much for academic freedom in Florida. State threatens to pull funds if faculty don’t talk about race consistent with the preferences of Republican officials, and University of Florida leadership agrees. insidehighered.com/news/2022/05/0…
It’s not just that Republican officials are restricting speech in the classroom, they have also put a bounty on faculty by encouraging students to record classes in the hope of suing the university.
Remember, self-censorship is bad but only for certain groups.
I’ve written elsewhere about the role of trust in creating a positive discourse in the classroom, esp. on charged topics. These laws undermine such trust. They are written to help conservative activists control universities, not for students to learn. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/fetishizing-…
Read 4 tweets
May 4
People who report bad experiences with the federal government are much more likely to express distrust in government.
ourpublicservice.org/publications/t…
Overall views of government not great. Only 37% of people agree the federal government "helps people like me." (As @SuzanneMettler1 has pointed out, lots of people benefit from government but don't recognize or acknowledge it).
Obvious partisan differences. 60% of Dems say they trust the government, only 27% of Republicans. Higher education also correlated with more trust.
Read 4 tweets
May 4
Apparently, it's only doxxing if it's factual reporting.
The Federalist Internet Accountability Project definitely seems to be a high-integrity operation.
Will Chamberlain working with the Internet Accountability Project is like the guy who floated the Kavanaugh doppelgänger theory working for the Ethics and Public Policy Center
Read 4 tweets

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