Mwango Capital Profile picture
May 13, 2022 14 tweets 13 min read Read on X
Here is our analysis of the Safaricom [@SafaricomPLC] full-year results:

#SafaricomFYResults #MwangoInsights
2/ Here is how the share price has been the past year.

Not been a good year for it being down 11.76 for FY 2022.

#SafaricomFYResults #MwangoInsights
3/ Total revenues were up 17.1% YoY:

#SafaricomFYResults #MwangoInsights
4/ M-Pesa is growing and becoming a key revenue growth driver.

It crossed the KES 100B mark this last financial year.

M-Pesa revenues were up 30.3%% YoY to KES 107.7B.

#SafaricomFYResults #MwangoInsights
5/ Here are some of the new areas that Safaricom [@SafaricomPLC] showed us for the first time:

🟢 Digifarm Revenue:+50% to 400M
🟢 IOT Revenue: +64.5% to 1.2M
🟢 Content Revenue:+100% to 500M
🟢 ICT Revenue: +29.3% to 400M

#SafaricomFYResults #MwangoInsights #BuiltForBetter
6/ The profit after tax was down slightly by 1.7%.

#SafaricomFYResults
7/ Net profit margins were down 440 basis points Year over Year to 22.6%.

#SafaricomFYResults
8/ Dividends:

A major worry for shareholders was that dividends would be cut going into Ethiopia but seems like Safaricom has continued paying for now:

🟢Interim dividend (already paid): KES 0.64
🟢Proposed final dividend: KES 0.75

#SafaricomFYResults
9/ The company is, unsurprisingly, increasing capital expenditure (capex) and capex intensity.

▪️Capex was up jumped 42.4% to KES 49.8B for FY 2022.

▪️Group capex projected to be KES 100-108B in FY23 (Kenya only: KES 40-43B).

#SafaricomFYResults
10/ Updates on Ethiopia:
▪️Commercial launch this year.
▪️Recruited over 305 staff; plans on reaching 1,000 in FY23.
▪️Board of Directors and Executive teams fully established.

And more:
11/ Fuliza, KCB and M-Pesa YoY Growth (KES):

Disbursements
🟢Fuliza: +43.1% to 502.6B (1.37B per day)
🔴KCB-Mpesa: -9.4% to 46.3B
🔴M-Shwari: -8.9% to 6.1B

Revenues:
🟢Fuliza: +31% to 5.94B
🔴KCB-Mpesa: -18.7% to 0.7B
🔴M-Shwari: -13.4% to 1.9B

#SafaricomFYResults
12/ Increased borrowings to fund Ethiopian expansion.

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More from @MwangoCapital

Oct 15
KETRACO [@KETRACO1] has taken 3 pages in the Star Newspaper to give more details on the Adani Energy deal.

Here is a thread with a few key points we noted from the statement. Image
@MativoMJohn @arnoldi254 @kinjeketile @Jasiri_MAR @DollyOgutu @lindahoguttu @RichardOnyonka_ 1. Background:

—The Transmission Master Plan (TMP) projects the need for an additional 9,600 km of transmission lines and a $5.2B investment by 2042 to support industrial growth and electrification.
—KETRACO is exploring Public-Private Partnerships to bridge the funding gap Image
2. Why PPPs?

—KETRACO projects have historically been financed through loans from development partners like the World Bank, AfDB, JICA, and Exim banks.
—The next set of funding from these partners is estimated to be available after the financial year 2028/2029. Image
Read 12 tweets
May 11
The latest Finance Bill proposes several key changes to Kenya's tax laws.

Here is a thread of a few things we picked:🧵

[Corrections welcome] Image
@Nikhil_Hira @mwaniki_joseph @wakili_dennis @ill_dduor @coldtusker @Brianmbunde @janetmachuka_ @arnoldi254 @mmnjug @Theo_mwangi 1️⃣ Finance Bill 2024 introduces the Motor Vehicle Tax:

💰 The tax rate is set at 2.5% of the vehicle's value

🔴 Minimum tax: KES 5k. Maximum tax: KES 100k

✍️Calculation based on make, model, engine capacity, and year of manufacture.

Image
Image
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2️⃣ Withholding Tax:

The bill introduces withholding tax on goods supplied to public entities at 3% for resident persons and 5% for non-residents.
Image
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Read 21 tweets
Apr 16
We compiled a thread on SACCO's FY 23 Results that we have received so far.

Here is the thread: Image
@cheruiyotkb @the_acemt @moneyacademyKE @nderi_j @RonnyChokaa @xysist @wiseshilling @StellarSwakei @tyrus_ 1. Nation DT Sacco[@NationDTSacco]:

—Total Assets: +17.7% to 3.5B
—Net Income: +8.5% to 235M
—PAT: +3.8% to 116M
—Dividend rate on deposits: 20%
—Interest rate on member deposits: 11% Image
2. Magereza DT Sacco:

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—Net Income: +33.4% to 606M
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—Interest rate on member deposits: 6% Image
Read 21 tweets
Apr 5
10 Key Takeaways from the CBK Post-MPC Briefing by the Governor.

1. CBK is keen on the separation of Safaricom & M-Pesa:

"One of the factors that has been delaying this..is the tax liability which is fairly significant in the order of at least KES 75B & what to do with it"
2. There has been a sharp rise in remittances to Kenya this year:

"If one were to compare the first two months of 2024 (Jan & Feb 2024), we see remittances for those two months compared to the two months in 2023 have increased by more than 20%"
3. There was a slowdown in growth in credit to the private sector in Feb 2024 from 13.8% to 10.3%

"A certain amount of private sector loans is denominated in dollars & therefore, when the exchange rate appreciated the level of credit to the private sector did decline"
Read 10 tweets
Jan 7
We selected the top #MwangoMemes from 2023 for you to enjoy!

1. The Kenya shilling closed 2023 at KES ~157 against the dollar.

Earlier in the year the President had promised that it would be trading at around 115 to 120 in a few months.

#MwangoMemes Image
@coldtusker @OchiengJasper @Brianmbunde @Bebi_16 @swabrah @KenyansNoContxt @Dicksonmagecha @MugambiNandi @alexmwanzo @InvAnalystKe 2. Kenya Power [ @KenyaPower] sought to enter the internet business.

It identified some 93 hotspots in Nairobi & Mombasa where it will connect with high-speed internet through 1,331.68 km of overhead fiber optic cables in phase 1 of its data business.

#MwangoMemes Image
3. There was a proposal to make Kenyans working abroad make mandatory contributions to a new Fund.

Every migrant worker would have to register as a member of the fund before departing the country.

#MwangoMemes Image
Read 25 tweets
Dec 24, 2023
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐖𝐞𝐞𝐤'𝐬 𝐓𝐨𝐩 𝐁𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐍𝐞𝐰𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐌𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐬:

1. Kenya's backlog of incomplete projects reaches KES 1.3 T, sparking calls for a halt on new government projects until existing ones are completed

#MwangoMemes Image
@MihrThakar @KenyansNoContxt @PesaWall @alexmwanzo @swabrah @NguliMT @MwangiMaina_ @Brianmbunde @arnoldi254 @DollyOgutu 2. Taxpayers are facing a new burden as President Ruto's administration plans to secure an additional KES 362B to fund his second full-year budget, set to surpass the KES 4T mark for the first time.

More debt on the way:

#MwangoMemes Image
3. Emergency loans the Treasury has tapped directly from CBK [ @CBKKenya] have hit a historical record KES 91.13 B.

According to CBK data, GoK’s overdraft has grown from KES 61.12 B at the end of July to KES 88.33B on December 1.
#MwangoMemes Image
Read 20 tweets

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