Barack Obama (2014) said: "russia doesn’t make anything. Immigrants aren’t rushing to moscow in search of opportunity. The life expectancy of the russian male is around 60 years old. The population is shrinking." (interview in The Economist). Thread on why this matters / 1
Little discussed aspect of this war - russian demographics are going to be negatively impacted for decades because of this debacle /2
Prior to this war, demographics for russia were already looking pretty gloomy. The population is projected to shrink to 121 million by 2050, down a staggering 27 million (18.2%) from its 1995 high of 141 million people. (Source: UN report) /3
What's more, Statista just published a report that states that russia's population of 30-34 yrs old will drop from 12.5M in 2020 to 9.4M by 2050. /4
This is russia's prime work and birth giving age group that is being rapidly hollowed out. The basis of its future prosperity is literally shrinking away /5
The problem: Ukraine war has cost the lives of tens of thousands of russia's young men, a large share of whom have not fathered a child and obviously never will. The numbers here are unknown but we can all agree that this is something russia can ill afford /6
Unlike 🇨🇦 or 🇺🇸, russia is not particularly known for immigration to begin with. What little immigration they could count on to make up for their tanking population will likely decrease even more in the aftermath of shedding any pretense of being a totalitarian bully state /7
Smarter people than I will run the numbers to quantify the true impact. But the longterm prospects for economic prosperity for this mafia state just went from really bad to far, far worse.
In summary /END 
Source 2 (UN report)
Source 3 (Statista)
Source 4: Chinggis Khan quote comes from the #WisdomOfTheAncients thread
https://twitter.com/WeLoveNATO/status/1523462202262319104?t=haLhuipxNte_lHK3dDMc9w&s=19
*oops excuse the type. Meant to say 148M, not 141M 🙄
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