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Clint Watts Profile picture
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May 15 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Jan 6 insurrection obviously dominated extremism discussions last year, but observations online environment have shown significant increase racially motivated extremism amongst younger, online collectives, i.e. Buffalo shooter. (Pub. Jan 3, 2022)
clintwatts.substack.com/p/where-did-al…
During nearly every hearing, speech Dir. Wray has emphasized racially motivated violent extremists as the biggest concern. Young men online supporting a mix of violent ideologies are the greatest concern.
@GIFCT_official did great job executing their post NZ mosque shooting protocol designed remove content quickly across industry. Problem younger extremists increasingly smaller, newer platforms, not traditional bigger platforms. #Buffalo shooter was @discord @Twitch 8chan 4chan
my big concern this morning is the #BuffaloNY attack could set off a contagion, inspiring those considering something similar to mobilize in the coming days, weeks msnbc.com/morning-joe/wa…

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More from @selectedwisdom

Clint Watts Profile picture
May 6
Today is episode 1 of @selectedwisdom podcast with Matt Eversmann. Matt has been a great leader in the military and civilian life. I spoke with Matt about his career & combat before/after the book & movie Blackhawk Down. Episode 1: Matt Eversmann clintwatts.substack.com/p/episode-1-ma…
A little more than a decade ago, I launched a blog called "Selected Wisdom". Today, I'm launching an audio blog - a.k.a. a podcast - of the same name seeking to share insights from amazing people I've met in my career and life.
Matt Eversmann has been a great friend and mentor to me for more than 20 years, and I have found his perspective particularly unique. Matt is a great communicator and I've always thought his military career to be fascinating.
Read 4 tweets
Clint Watts Profile picture
Mar 29
Russia pulling back from Kyiv speaks to success of Ukrainian military defense of city, Russia could not encircle Kyiv, taking serious losses, but their move here during peace talks more about concentrating combat power
apnews.com/article/russia…
Russia's ranks depleted on many fronts, need more troops to not only take but hold areas if they are to settle on taking a chunk in the east, imagine some of these troops/weapons be shifted to Sumy, Luhansk corridor. wsj.com/articles/ukrai…
The Kyiv access of advance posed many issues. Long logistical lines through Belarus, recent threats from inside Belarus potentially on these lines & Lukashenko seemed unable to get momentum to support invasion with significant forces.
Read 7 tweets
Clint Watts Profile picture
Mar 7
Reminder: Russian disinformation is like Mad Libs - the narrative template stays the same, but is updated for current context & Kremlin objectives. Russia's disinfo system is at max speed right now, Phase "Throw everything at the wall." Firehose of Falsehoods
whichever narrative sticks, Kremlin will double or triple down on that narrative inside the Russian audience space. This weekend they brought out some of their greatest hits - Biolab claims, secret laptop - same narratives were advanced in different context before
As foreign fighters arrive in Ukraine, look for Kremlin pivot to "Terrorists" as a tip.
Read 16 tweets
Clint Watts Profile picture
Feb 28
Strangest thing - entire world watching a massive Russian armor formation plow towards Kyiv, we cheer on Ukraine, but we’re holding ourselves back. NATO Air Force could end this in 48 hrs. Understand handwringing about what Putin would do, but we can see what’s coming
Putin knows stop the West throw ‘nuclear’ into discussion & we’ll come to a stop, but the world should not be held hostage to a killer of societies, the west has nuclear weapons too, and Putin’s track record is clear, every war he wins is followed by another war
There are many things we can do between nothing and nuclear Armageddon, economics is only one option
Read 10 tweets
Clint Watts Profile picture
Feb 3
Impressive counterterrorism mission by the U.S. demonstrating how far American Special Forces have come in last two decades they can maintain pressure worldwide on al Qaeda & ISIS. Great work, lots of things to consider in 2022 post Iraq & Afghanistan
some notes 1 - decentralized, intel driven global counterterrorism was a philosophy more in line with what I'd heard Biden push in 2009 when Obama decided to surge in Afghanistan. Biden ended AFG, today we see what the approach might look like. see 2009 nytimes.com/2009/10/14/wor…
2- that U.S. can do multi-hour raids into Syria, try to get a surrender, depart with no casualties, is remarkable. Question remains, can US intel & special ops do this forever
Read 12 tweets
Clint Watts Profile picture
Feb 2
note - predicting Russia invasion Ukraine based on open source/news, Kremlin knows watched from every angle (intel/public), many if not most RU maneuvers are denial/deception, moves in plain sight w/intention to deceive, trend lines matter though, anecdotes can be misleading
Hence difference in Ukraine & US assessments on possibility of invasion & Putin moving pieces progressively into place to make decision when he chooses, share that decision with few people. Don't know if he will invade, signals can be interpreted both directions
as of now, Putin played his game well, but also lost some key pieces (agent provocateurs/coup plot) & the U.S. & West have done better in recent days after being way too slow early on.
Read 6 tweets

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