The Northern Ireland #Protocol is top of the news. So how did we get here? The Unit's Meg Russell and @james_lisak explore.

@theresa_may as PM negotiated a Brexit deal that sought to avoid most of these problems. But it was blocked. Who by?

1/12

ukandeu.ac.uk/?p=49364&previ…
As May recalled in the Commons last week, the DUP were part of that blocking majority.

But there were "others". She refrains from saying who, but voters against included Boris Johnson, Dominic Raab, Priti Patel, Jacob Rees-Mogg & Suella Braverman.

2/12

May was forced out by the Brexit hardliners. Johnson took over and pledged to "get Brexit done". 🤔

Yes, confusing. But he meant a different Brexit. Perhaps even a no-deal Brexit.

Johnson and David Frost briefed that they were prepared for this.

3/12

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
But MPs had repeatedly rejected no deal, which threatened economic damage, and, crucially a hard Northern Ireland border.

Parliament would block no deal, so Johnson sought to prorogue it.

He didn't give that reason, but his aide admits it here.

4/12

He hit problems. The Supreme Court reinstated parliament. Also, the 'Benn-Burt Act' required him to seek an extension to the negotiations to avoid no deal.

He dubbed that the 'Surrender Act', and ejected 21 Tory MPs who voted for it. 17 of them had voted for May's deal.

5/12
Here's a list of them. Several had actually served in Theresa May's Cabinet.

[Side note: Johnson had resigned from the Cabinet over the deal, claiming that no deal would be preferable AND there must be no NI hard border - indeed, NOT possible🙄]

6/12

constitution-unit.com/2019/10/02/whi…
So Johnson was cornered. Determined to "get Brexit done" but unable to pursue a no deal, he took a deal Theresa May had rejected, treating NI differently to GB and requiring a sea border.

Though he'd publicly assured the DUP this wouldn't happen.🤨

7/12

belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-…
He then of course, during the general election based on the "get Brexit done" mantra, and his "oven ready" deal, denied that there would be border checks.

8/12

Subsequently, David Frost (Johnson's Brexit negotiator) has said that the government recognised problems with the deal but decided to "sort out the detail" later.

9/12

One DUP politician has even claimed that Johnson privately said before the 2019 election that he would "tear up" the Protocol.

Sits oddly with "oven ready"🧐

10/12

Meg Russell & Lisa James highlight @theresa_may's honesty, but say we need more.

"In retrospect, one of May’s biggest mistakes was that her commitment to keeping her party together prevented her from publicly criticising those within it who repeatedly scuppered her deal".

11/12
"while DUP members clearly have some culpability, Johnson and his allies bear even more. While the fault for negotiating an alternative deal so unacceptable to the DUP, and destabilising for Northern Ireland, lies with Johnson alone."

12/12

ukandeu.ac.uk/?p=49364&previ…
Remiss not to tag some of them, as they may wish to chip in.

Former ministers included @RoryStewartUK, @DavidGauke, @PhilipHammondUK, @AlistairBurtUK, @GregClarkMP, @JustineGreening, @SamGyimah, @AnneMilton, @carolinenokes, @edvaizey, @margot_james_, @GutoAberconwy, @S_Hammond

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More from @ConUnit_UCL

Mar 16
NEW MONITOR: The 80th edition of Monitor was published today. It provides analysis of the last 4 months of constitutional news and contains sections on parliament, elections, devolution, the courts, & the monarchy. It is free and available now:
ucl.ac.uk/constitution-u…
2/8 The PARLIAMENT section includes analysis of the fractious relationship between the government and parliament (including its own backbenchers & a record number of Lords defeats), and concerns about the proper scrutiny of delegated legislation.
3/8 The PARLIAMENT section also reports on parliamentary standards, including suggested changes to the Code of Conduct, & the Ryder review.
It discusses plans for the Restoration and Renewal of the Palace of Westminster, which once again appear to be in flux.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 10
Starting shortly! The Unit is holding a fascinating seminar on: What Kind of Democracy Do People Want?

Our panel
@alanjrenwick
@p_surridge
@jamesjohnson252
Chair: Professor Meg Russell
Professor Meg Russell begins the seminar introducing our new report: ucl.ac.uk/constitution-u…

This report, on attitudes towards democracy in the UK, is extremely timely, and have been quoted by the press and politicians. This morning, former PM John Major quoted our findings.
Professor Alan Renwick @alanjrenwick introduces key aspects of this project.

First, this report is based on our survey of around 6500 people conducted last summer. This was before the Owen Paterson affair and the “partygate” issue.
Read 17 tweets
Feb 10
NEW BLOG: What Kind of Democracy Do People Want? Putting our findings in context

Following last month's publication of the first report of the Democracy in the UK after Brexit project, @cleaver_james asks how its findings compare with previous research.

constitution-unit.com/2022/02/10/wha…
The report's findings about people's satisfaction with democracy and their trust in certain institutions chime with existing scholarship.

This is partly due to the well-established nature of this field, and partly due to the similar questions asked of survey respondents.
In contrast, the emphasis respondents placed on integrity at the expense of delivery is more novel.

The survey on which this report was based asked people to engage with trade-offs, which removed the risk of respondents simply agreeing with the statement before them.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 25
🚨| NEW REPORT: What Kind of Democracy Do People Want?

Today the Unit releases the results of a UK-wide population survey asking respondents how they thought democracy should work in the UK. (1/17)

ucl.ac.uk/constitution-u…
Fielded in July 2021 by @YouGov, with a sample size of almost 6,500 respondents who were representative of the UK voting-age population, this report provides a unique and detailed insight into public attitudes towards democracy and the constitution. (2/17)
The report’s key findings include:

People want politicians who are honest and behave with integrity.

When asked what characteristics politician should have, ‘being honest’ and ‘owning up when they make mistakes’ came top. (3/17) Image
Read 17 tweets
Jan 17
🚨| NEW: Citizens' Assembly reveals public's concern with integrity in politics

Key findings from the Citizens' Assembly on Democracy in the UK are published today 👇

ucl.ac.uk/constitution-u…
The Citizens’ Assembly on Democracy in the UK was run by the Constitution Unit and @involveUK. It brought 67 representative members of the UK public together over six weekends in late 2021. Its members sought to answer the question: ‘How should the UK’s democracy work?’
In their final weekend together, Assembly members crafted statements summing up their feelings about democracy in the UK today. Statements include:
Read 17 tweets
Nov 24, 2021
Members of the Citizens' Assembly on Democracy in the UK met on 13 and 14 November to discuss the roles of the public in democracy in the UK, and how people can participate.

Check out the presentations from expert speakers below 📺👇
Project lead @alanjrenwick introduced Weekend 4 and provided an overview of how the public is involved in the UK democratic system.

@p_surridge of @UKandEU explored the formal channels of participation in the representative system—voting, joining political parties, expressing views to representatives—and explored how participation could be improved.

Read 7 tweets

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