For the next few weeks, I’ll post a daily #RegenesisFact: an astonishing thing I learnt while researching the book. Here’s #1.
Up to 40% of the rain in parts of East Africa seems to be caused by farmers watering their fields in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh, 4000-6000 km away.🧵
When farmers pump water out of a river or the ground, then spread it across their fields, they greatly increase its surface area. Evaporation and transpiration from their crop plants cause a vast release of water vapour.
From Feb to April, the vapour released from the irrigated fields is picked up by the prevailing winds, blowing SW across the Arabian Sea. After travelling 000s of kilometres, this air hits the coast of Africa, rises and cools. The vapour condenses, and some of it falls as rain.
This extra rainfall might now be crucial to the survival of farmers and herders in arid parts of East Africa. The water vapour also reduces temperatures by about half a degree, through evaporation and cloud cover.
Source: Philipp de Vrese, Stefan Hagemann and Martin Claussen, 2016. Asian irrigation, African rain: Remote impacts of irrigation. Geophysical Research Letters, volume 43, issue 8, pp. 3737-3745. doi.org/10.1002/2016GL…
Sorry the rest of the thread took so long to post: wifi failure on the train.
Oh blimey, I've seen some of the responses to this thread. Talk about hostility to knowledge!
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#RegenesisFact 2. Sargassum is a floating seaweed once found mostly in the Sargasso Sea. But now, for 6 months in most years, it forms a continuous belt from the Gulf of Mexico, down the South American coast, across the Atlantic and all the way to the shores of West Africa.🧵
In other words, in most years since 2011, a 9000-kilometre blanket of floating weed now forms. That’s almost a quarter of the circumference of the Earth. The cause, scientists believe, is “increased deforestation and fertilizer use in Brazil”.
As Brazil has become a global supplier of animal feed (mostly soy), huge areas have been cleared and fertilised. Fertiliser and minerals released from the soil wash from the fields and pour down the Tapajós, Xingu, Tocantins and other rivers.
The global food system looks like the global financial system in the approach to 2008.
Years of warnings that it was heading this way were ignored by governments.
My column. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
Hunger has been rising since 2015. For most of this time, food has been super-abundant and prices have been low. So, why? Because of the escalating transmission of shocks – speculative surges, supply chain disruptions, bottlenecking – across a system that’s losing its resilience.
These shocks, until 2020, scarcely affected rich nations, so we ignored them. But they caused major issues for poor nations with weak currencies, which stand at the end of the queue.
Volunteer officers are being equipped with stun guns, and stop and search is being ramped up.
But it's not street crime that's rising.
It's white collar crime and fraud.
Which is hardly surprising, as the Conservatives have destroyed the system that detected and prosecuted it.
Even when I cornered a fraudster and persuaded him to expose the network he was working with, I still couldn't get the authorities to take action. Why? Because Tory cuts have ensured those authorities scarcely exist any more. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
As for grander frauds, such as laundering the proceeds of organised crime and setting up networks of tax-evading shell companies, well these are now so rampant that if the government moved against them, the lights would go off in the City of London.
With 10 days till publication, the Regenesis tour begins tomorrow.
First stop Bath, with the wonderful @maxjohnporter: bathfestivals.org.uk/the-bath-festi…
Other events in this 🧵
Hope to see you along the way.
Politics deniers are now a greater threat to life on Earth than climate deniers.
What are politics deniers? People who believe that the transformations needed to stop systemic collapse require no political pressure or political change.
My column.🧵 theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
They dabble in magical thinking and techno-utopian fantasy. The latest example is @GalorOded, whose new book is being feted by the media.
Like Bill Gates, Steven Pinker, Stewart Brand and Matt Ridley, Oded Galor presents a Disney version of environmental science, in which unspecified “revolutionary technologies” ensure that everything will somehow work out in the end, without the need to challenge power.
I sought to draw up a balance sheet: how the Conservatives, after 12 years in government, have made life in this country better, vs how they've made it worse.
Put it this way: I ran out of space before I got a tenth of the way through the second list. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
I might have missed one or two things, but I dug deep to think of ways in which they've made life better. Even so, it's a short list. But I had to skate through the second catalogue, using a handful of words to cover vast tracts of harm. Even so, I couldn't fit it in.
So the question that arises is why would anyone, outside a small enclave of extreme wealth and privilege, vote for them? A large part of the answer is that we're systematically misled by a concerted propaganda effort. The ultra-rich use their money to buy political persuasion.