Tax hikes are important for a few key reasons 1) Reduces need to borrow to finance budget deficit 2) Reduces excess demand in the economy to reduce imports and support the LKR 3) Allows the financing of strong social spending programs (especially safety nets in a crisis) (2/5)
Sri Lanka has had falling tax revenue and low tax collection for a while now, and this was worsened by the 2019 tax cuts. These charts show how this compares with other countries and over time. (3/5)
While these tax measures are a positive step due to these reasons, there are still more steps to go. Sri Lanka needs to reduce as many tax exemptions as possible, while there are other quick tax wins as well, sin taxes come to the forefront here. (4/5)
Making sure the revenue earned from these taxes goes primarily to social spending programs (eg-health, education), and protecting the most vulnerable in the short term must be a key aim of overall budget policy. It should not go towards handouts to the rich and connected. (5/5)
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Ministry of Finance removed license requirements for imports and replaced it with a surcharge on the duties - as Sri Lanka struggles with both a rupee and dollar deficit. (1/5)
The surcharge on import tax (customs duty) helps manage import demand while increasing revenue for the government - an attempt to hit 2 birds with 1 stone. (2/5)
However, there seems to be some misunderstanding of the tax increase. What has happened is that tax rate has been increased by say 100% (that is times two), not a new tax of 100% of value of import. (3/5)
1/CBSL held a press conference on 29th April to provide an update about the discussion with the IMF and to announce new measures to improve the domestic forex market. The thread below👇
2/During the Washington visit, greater support was shown by the US Department of State, the Indian Government, the IMF, and the World Bank. Technical negotiation rounds with the IMF have started.
3/The next step is to attain a staff-level agreement with the IMF about the External Fund Facility Program. Where the approval will be given by the Executive Board.
Cabraal suggests a 'do-over' of one of the same catastrophic mistakes that led to #DefaultLK
What happened the last time and should we let this happen again? #EconomicCrisisLK
1/ Remittances dried up as foreign earners moved money to a grey market, massively undermining confidence in the local banking system. (2/4)
2/ Our dollar inflows from remittances are finally starting to recover, and with a critical period ahead, forcing further forex shortages will lead to massive shortages on the ground as well. (3/4)