(1/4) Russian ground operations remain tightly focused, with the weight of fire power concentrated within a small sector of Luhansk Oblast. Over 30-31 May, fighting intensified in the streets of Sieverodonetsk, with Russian forces pushing closer to the town centre.
(2/4) Over half of the town is likely now occupied by Russian forces, including Chechen fighters.
(3/4) Beyond the Donbas, Russia continues to conduct long-range missile strikes against infrastructure across Ukraine.
(4/4) The strategically important bridge links Ukraine with Romania and with Ukraineβs ports on the Danube, which have become critical to Ukrainian exports after the blockade of Ukrainian Black Sea ports by Russia.
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(1/7) Today marks the 100th day since Russiaβs invasion of Ukraine.
(2/7) Russian forces failed to achieve their initial objectives to seize Kyiv and Ukrainian centres of government. Staunch Ukrainian resistance and the failure to secure Hostomel airfield in the first 24 hours led to Russian offensive operations being repulsed.
(1/6) Russia has taken control of most of Sieverodonetsk. The main road into the Sieverodonetsk pocket likely remains under Ukrainian control but Russia continues to make steady local gains, enabled by a heavy concentration of artillery.
(2/6) This has not been without cost, and Russian forces have sustained losses in the process.
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Russiaβs capture of Lyman supports its operational main effort, which likely remains the encirclement of Sieverodonetsk and the closure of the pocket around Ukrainian forces in Luhansk Oblast.
(2/6)
Heavy shelling continues, while street fighting is likely taking place on the outskirts of Sieverodonetsk town.
(1/5) Russia has likely suffered devastating losses amongst its mid and junior ranking officers in the conflict. Brigade and battalion commanders likely deploy forwards into harmβs way because they are held to an uncompromising level of responsibility for their unitsβ performance
(2/5) Similarly, junior officers have had to lead the lowest level tactical actions, as the army lacks the cadre of highly trained and empowered non-commissioned officers (NCOs) who fulfil that role in Western forces.
(1/6) On 25 May, Russiaβs deputy foreign minister, Andrei Rudenko, said Russia is ready to provide a humanitarian corridor for vessels carrying food through the Black Sea in return for the lifting of sanctions.
(2/6) The minister also requested Ukraine de-mine the area around the port of Odesa to allow the passage of ships.
(1/7) By 27 May, Russian forces had likely captured most of the town of Lyman, in the north of Donetsk Oblast, in what is likely a preliminary operation for the next stage of Russiaβs Donbas offensive.
(2/7) Lyman is strategically important because it is the site of a major railway junction, and also gives access to important rail and road bridges over the Siverskyy Donets River.