Y'all, with our win in court in New Hampshire this week, the 50th state is officially done with map drawing, the congressional redistricting landscape is clear - and Democrats and #FairMaps supporters have a lot to celebrate! 🧵
Democrats are not only in a stronger position than we were last decade, we are unequivocally in a stronger position than Republicans. Most importantly, the maps overall are way more fair than last decade. The receipts: 🧾👇
Democrats officially have more seats on the congressional map than Republicans - there are now 226 Biden seats to just 209 Trump seats. (This is +1 in Biden seats compared to 2020 and a vast improvement over 2012.)
Significantly, the additional margin by which Democrats need to win the popular vote in order to win the House has drastically decreased compared to last decade - likely now closer to 2-2.5%, down from the 5-8% advantage Dems previously needed to secure a majority.
This is because of a dramatic increase in the number of #FairMaps! Using the efficiency gap as a measure of fairness, 56% of Americans saw a neutral or net improvement in the fairness of their congressional map. This will keep the House competitive for the decade. 👏
The bottom line: Republicans tried to use redistricting to secure a "durable" U.S. House majority for the decade, and they failed. Dems enter this decade in a stronger position than Reps, and the House is fairer than last decade and competitive for years to come. 🥳
Final note:
This happened because of a relentless strategy executed by thousands of people around the country - standing up for #FairMaps, pressuring elected officials, testifying to commissions, fighting in court. It was all needed, and it all mattered. That is what democracy looks like. ❤️
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Lots of chatter about how redistricting is going better for Democrats than anyone thought it would. It is. But very little understanding of why this is happening, and how @EricHolder's strategy got us here. A 🧵👇
Five years ago, @EricHolder did something that had never been done before -- he launched a comprehensive strategy on redistricting. This meant starting early and fighting for fair maps on multiple fronts: the process, the people, and the courts. It worked.
We shifted the balance of power away from the dominant control of maps Republicans had in 2011. By electing Dems at the local level and supporting redistricting reforms like commissions, we decreased Republican control on the process by more than 20%. (See: OH, MI, PA, WI, VA)
🧵🧶: We're just a few weeks into the redistricting process and Republican gerrymandering is already out in full force. Their attempts to gerrymander and rig our election system are happening from Ohio to Nebraska. A long (but important!) update ⬇️
Let's start with Ohio: Just today, Republicans released their state legislative maps. Unsurprisingly, these maps flat out ignore the spirit of the redistricting reform Ohioans passed in 2015. What does that mean?
It means Ohioans could see their political power diluted *for another decade.*
Despite the GOP winning about 55% of statewide votes across the last decade, these maps give them 66% of the state House & Senate seats. That's MORE seats than they currently have.
#RedistrictingDataDay is here! This is a big deal because it means states can officially begin drawing congressional and state legislative maps. This should mean the beginning of a fair process to draw fair maps, but that's not guaranteed.
A few things to watch for⬇️
1⃣ Map-drawing will move fast
With this official data in hand, many states will move fast to draw maps. Expect to see initial maps in early September and more than half the states done by December. This gives us a SUPER tight window to influence maps before they're finalized.
2⃣ Just because a district doesn't *look* gerrymandered doesn't mean it's fair
Republicans will try to conceal their manipulation of the maps. They will draw gerrymandered districts that seem fair. We must analyze maps based on data and community impact-not just how they look.
Democrats had big wins around the country last night, including on the redistricting front. We are in a far better position on redistricting than we were last time around. Here's the bottom line:
We won governor's races in 8 key redistricting states: Colorado, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Virginia (in 2017).
We flipped 6 legislative chambers in key redistricting states: Colorado Senate, Maine Senate, Minnesota House, New Hampshire House and Senate, and the New York Senate.